Nordstrom Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| J1WN34 Stock | 141.04 5.97 4.42% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Nordstrom on the next trading day is expected to be 141.04 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.97 and the sum of the absolute errors of 58.28. Nordstrom Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Nordstrom stock prices and determine the direction of Nordstrom's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Nordstrom's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Nordstrom |
Nordstrom Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 27th of November
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Nordstrom on the next trading day is expected to be 141.04 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.97, mean absolute percentage error of 10.90, and the sum of the absolute errors of 58.28.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Nordstrom Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Nordstrom's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Nordstrom Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Nordstrom | Nordstrom Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Nordstrom Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Nordstrom's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Nordstrom's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 138.33 and 143.75, respectively. We have considered Nordstrom's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Nordstrom stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Nordstrom stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 118.6618 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.5147 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.9713 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0073 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 58.28 |
Predictive Modules for Nordstrom
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nordstrom. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Nordstrom
For every potential investor in Nordstrom, whether a beginner or expert, Nordstrom's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Nordstrom Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Nordstrom. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Nordstrom's price trends.Nordstrom Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Nordstrom stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Nordstrom could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Nordstrom by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Nordstrom Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Nordstrom's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Nordstrom's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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Nordstrom Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Nordstrom stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Nordstrom shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Nordstrom stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Nordstrom entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Daily Balance Of Power | 9.2 T | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.04 | |||
| Day Median Price | 141.04 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 141.04 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 2.98 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 5.97 |
Nordstrom Risk Indicators
The analysis of Nordstrom's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Nordstrom's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting nordstrom stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.9456 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.362 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.58 | |||
| Variance | 6.64 | |||
| Downside Variance | 5.69 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.131 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (8.13) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Nordstrom Stock
When determining whether Nordstrom offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Nordstrom's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Nordstrom Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Nordstrom Stock:Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Nordstrom to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Nordstrom Stock refer to our How to Trade Nordstrom Stock guide.You can also try the Portfolio Backtesting module to avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios.