JBDI Holdings Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| JBDI Stock | 0.66 0.09 15.79% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of JBDI Holdings Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 0.63 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.14. JBDI Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of JBDI Holdings' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 23rd of January 2026, the relative strength index (RSI) of JBDI Holdings' share price is approaching 34. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling JBDI Holdings, making its price go up or down. Momentum 34
Sell Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.54) | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.12) |
Using JBDI Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of JBDI Holdings Limited from the perspective of JBDI Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of JBDI Holdings Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 0.63 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.14. JBDI Holdings after-hype prediction price | USD 0.62 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of JBDI Holdings to cross-verify your projections. JBDI Holdings Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine JBDI price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for JBDI using various technical indicators. When you analyze JBDI charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
JBDI Holdings Cash Forecast
Predicting cash flow or other financial metrics requires analysts to utilize a variety of statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools help uncover hidden patterns in the JBDI Holdings' financial statements, enabling forecasts of their impact on future stock prices.
Cash | First Reported 2010-12-31 | Previous Quarter 171 K | Current Value 162.4 K | Quarterly Volatility 474.9 K |
JBDI Holdings Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of JBDI Holdings Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 0.63 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.14.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict JBDI Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that JBDI Holdings' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
JBDI Holdings Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest JBDI Holdings | JBDI Holdings Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
JBDI Holdings Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting JBDI Holdings' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. JBDI Holdings' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 6.51, respectively. We have considered JBDI Holdings' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of JBDI Holdings stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent JBDI Holdings stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 113.8242 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0345 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0371 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 2.1406 |
Predictive Modules for JBDI Holdings
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as JBDI Holdings Limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of JBDI Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
JBDI Holdings After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of JBDI Holdings at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in JBDI Holdings or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of JBDI Holdings, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
JBDI Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting JBDI Holdings' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on JBDI Holdings' historical news coverage. JBDI Holdings' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.03 and 6.50, respectively. We have considered JBDI Holdings' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
JBDI Holdings is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of JBDI Holdings Limited is based on 3 months time horizon.
JBDI Holdings Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as JBDI Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading JBDI Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with JBDI Holdings, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
1.18 | 5.88 | 0.04 | 0.10 | 7 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
0.66 | 0.62 | 6.06 |
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JBDI Holdings Hype Timeline
JBDI Holdings Limited is currently traded for 0.66. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.04, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.1. JBDI is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 0.62. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -6.06%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -1.18%. The volatility of related hype on JBDI Holdings is about 7259.26%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.76. About 76.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The book value of JBDI Holdings was currently reported as 0.21. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.14. JBDI Holdings Limited had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of JBDI Holdings to cross-verify your projections.JBDI Holdings Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to JBDI Holdings' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict JBDI Holdings' future price movements. Getting to know how JBDI Holdings' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how JBDI Holdings may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SBDS | SBDS | 0.04 | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 13.79 | (14.61) | 50.66 | |
| EVGO | Evgo Inc | 0.04 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 5.77 | (5.03) | 16.24 | |
| TLF | Tandy Leather Factory | 0.06 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 2.68 | (2.63) | 9.10 | |
| MI | NFT Limited | 0.01 | 10 per month | 3.73 | 0.02 | 7.41 | (6.98) | 23.69 | |
| MOGU | MOGU Inc | (0.06) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 5.36 | (5.81) | 22.31 | |
| FORD | Forward Industries | 0.25 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 14.99 | (12.08) | 84.00 | |
| ARKR | Ark Restaurants Corp | 0.25 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 3.15 | (5.82) | 12.34 | |
| LGCB | Linkage Global Ordinary | 0.09 | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 10.23 | (6.84) | 25.01 | |
| ROLR | High Roller Technologies | 0.15 | 8 per month | 9.11 | 0.11 | 16.89 | (13.97) | 465.57 | |
| TBHC | The Brand House | (0.02) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 5.13 | (5.07) | 16.01 |
Other Forecasting Options for JBDI Holdings
For every potential investor in JBDI, whether a beginner or expert, JBDI Holdings' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. JBDI Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in JBDI. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying JBDI Holdings' price trends.JBDI Holdings Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with JBDI Holdings stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of JBDI Holdings could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing JBDI Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
JBDI Holdings Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how JBDI Holdings stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading JBDI Holdings shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying JBDI Holdings stock market strength indicators, traders can identify JBDI Holdings Limited entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
JBDI Holdings Risk Indicators
The analysis of JBDI Holdings' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in JBDI Holdings' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting jbdi stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 4.33 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 5.8 | |||
| Variance | 33.61 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for JBDI Holdings
The number of cover stories for JBDI Holdings depends on current market conditions and JBDI Holdings' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that JBDI Holdings is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about JBDI Holdings' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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JBDI Holdings Short Properties
JBDI Holdings' future price predictability will typically decrease when JBDI Holdings' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of JBDI Holdings Limited often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential JBDI Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. JBDI Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 19.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 190 K |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of JBDI Holdings to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Analyst Advice module to analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories.
Is Trading Companies & Distributors space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of JBDI Holdings. If investors know JBDI will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about JBDI Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.54) | Earnings Share (0.14) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.12) | Return On Assets |
The market value of JBDI Holdings Limited is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of JBDI that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of JBDI Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is JBDI Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because JBDI Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect JBDI Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between JBDI Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if JBDI Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, JBDI Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.