Jollibee Foods Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| JBFCY Stock | USD 18.25 0.26 1.45% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Jollibee Foods Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 18.21 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.14 and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.69. Jollibee Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
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Jollibee Foods Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 29th of November
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Jollibee Foods Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 18.21 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.14, mean absolute percentage error of 0.14, and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.69.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Jollibee Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Jollibee Foods' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Jollibee Foods Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
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Jollibee Foods Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Jollibee Foods' Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Jollibee Foods' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 16.06 and 20.35, respectively. We have considered Jollibee Foods' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Jollibee Foods pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Jollibee Foods pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 114.315 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0253 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1449 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0081 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 8.693 |
Predictive Modules for Jollibee Foods
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Jollibee Foods Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Jollibee Foods' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for Jollibee Foods
For every potential investor in Jollibee, whether a beginner or expert, Jollibee Foods' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Jollibee Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Jollibee. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Jollibee Foods' price trends.Jollibee Foods Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Jollibee Foods pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Jollibee Foods could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Jollibee Foods by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Jollibee Foods Corp Technical and Predictive Analytics
The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Jollibee Foods' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Jollibee Foods' current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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Jollibee Foods Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Jollibee Foods pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Jollibee Foods shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Jollibee Foods pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Jollibee Foods Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Daily Balance Of Power | 9.2 T | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.01 | |||
| Day Median Price | 18.25 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 18.25 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.13 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.26 |
Jollibee Foods Risk Indicators
The analysis of Jollibee Foods' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Jollibee Foods' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting jollibee pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.8243 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.47 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.14 | |||
| Variance | 4.58 | |||
| Downside Variance | 26.86 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.17 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (4.64) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Additional Tools for Jollibee Pink Sheet Analysis
When running Jollibee Foods' price analysis, check to measure Jollibee Foods' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Jollibee Foods is operating at the current time. Most of Jollibee Foods' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Jollibee Foods' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Jollibee Foods' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Jollibee Foods to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.