JB Hunt Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average

JBHT Stock  USD 204.61  0.45  0.22%   
JBHT Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, The value of relative strength index of JB Hunt's share price is at 59. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling JB Hunt, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 59

 Buy Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of JB Hunt's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with JB Hunt Transport, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting JB Hunt's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.24
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
1.4391
EPS Estimate Current Year
7.2164
EPS Estimate Next Year
8.8437
Wall Street Target Price
210.3044
Using JB Hunt hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of JB Hunt Transport from the perspective of JB Hunt response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards JB Hunt using JB Hunt's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards JBHT using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of JB Hunt's stock price.

JB Hunt Short Interest

An investor who is long JB Hunt may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about JB Hunt and may potentially protect profits, hedge JB Hunt with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
156.3848
Short Percent
0.0358
Short Ratio
2.97
Shares Short Prior Month
2.8 M
50 Day MA
191.5852

JBHT Relative Strength Index

The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of JB Hunt Transport on the next trading day is expected to be 204.84 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.58 and the sum of the absolute errors of 152.09.

JB Hunt Transport Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to JB Hunt's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in JBHT. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding JBHT can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around JB Hunt Transport. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of JB Hunt's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about JB Hunt.

JB Hunt Implied Volatility

    
  0.4  
JB Hunt's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of JB Hunt Transport stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if JB Hunt's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that JB Hunt stock will not fluctuate a lot when JB Hunt's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of JB Hunt Transport on the next trading day is expected to be 204.84 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.58 and the sum of the absolute errors of 152.09.

JB Hunt after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 205.39  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of JB Hunt to cross-verify your projections.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current JBHT contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that JB Hunt Transport will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.025% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With JB Hunt trading at USD 204.61, that is roughly USD 0.0512 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating JB Hunt's daily price movement you should consider acquiring JB Hunt Transport options at the current volatility level of 0.4%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.

Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 JBHT Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast JB Hunt's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in JB Hunt's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for JB Hunt stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current JB Hunt's open interest, investors have to compare it to JB Hunt's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of JB Hunt is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in JBHT. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

JB Hunt Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine JBHT price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for JBHT using various technical indicators. When you analyze JBHT charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A two period moving average forecast for JB Hunt is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

JB Hunt Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 30th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of JB Hunt Transport on the next trading day is expected to be 204.84 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.58, mean absolute percentage error of 11.27, and the sum of the absolute errors of 152.09.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict JBHT Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that JB Hunt's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

JB Hunt Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest JB Hunt  JB Hunt Price Prediction  Buy or Sell Advice  

JB Hunt Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting JB Hunt's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. JB Hunt's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 203.34 and 206.33, respectively. We have considered JB Hunt's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
204.61
203.34
Downside
204.84
Expected Value
206.33
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of JB Hunt stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent JB Hunt stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.857
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.9088
MADMean absolute deviation2.5778
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0138
SAESum of the absolute errors152.09
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of JB Hunt Transport price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of JB Hunt. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for JB Hunt

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as JB Hunt Transport. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
203.89205.39206.89
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
184.55220.22221.72
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
194.97203.42211.87
Details
26 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
191.38210.30233.44
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as JB Hunt. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against JB Hunt's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, JB Hunt's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in JB Hunt Transport.

JB Hunt After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of JB Hunt at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in JB Hunt or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of JB Hunt, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

JB Hunt Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting JB Hunt's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on JB Hunt's historical news coverage. JB Hunt's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 203.89 and 206.89, respectively. We have considered JB Hunt's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
204.61
203.89
Downside
205.39
After-hype Price
206.89
Upside
JB Hunt is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of JB Hunt Transport is based on 3 months time horizon.

JB Hunt Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as JB Hunt is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading JB Hunt backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with JB Hunt, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.33 
1.50
  0.33 
  0.21 
8 Events / Month
7 Events / Month
In about 8 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
204.61
205.39
0.16 
150.00  
Notes

JB Hunt Hype Timeline

JB Hunt Transport is currently traded for 204.61. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.33, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.21. JBHT is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 205.39 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 150.0%. The price appreciation on the next news is projected to be 0.16%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.33%. The volatility of related hype on JB Hunt is about 233.64%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 204.40. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 12 B. Net Income was 570.89 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.27 B. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of JB Hunt to cross-verify your projections.

JB Hunt Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to JB Hunt's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict JB Hunt's future price movements. Getting to know how JB Hunt's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how JB Hunt may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
XPOXPO Logistics 3.65 9 per month 2.01  0.08  5.39 (3.88) 14.63 
EXPDExpeditors International of(0.59)10 per month 0.62  0.22  2.46 (1.63) 13.29 
CHRWCH Robinson Worldwide(0.75)12 per month 0.51  0.20  2.87 (1.70) 22.91 
ZTOZTO Express(0.01)9 per month 0.94  0.11  2.73 (1.81) 7.33 
MTZMasTec Inc(16.66)10 per month 2.39  0.09  4.38 (4.58) 13.07 
WWDWoodward 4.61 9 per month 1.22  0.12  3.42 (2.14) 16.03 
TRUTransUnion 1.84 10 per month 0.00 (0.05) 3.72 (3.03) 9.21 
LUVSouthwest Airlines(0.68)7 per month 1.22  0.16  4.42 (2.51) 9.54 
ACMAecom Technology(0.97)11 per month 0.00 (0.27) 1.46 (2.59) 12.17 
CRSCarpenter Technology 3.14 8 per month 2.17  0.04  4.64 (2.90) 13.05 

Other Forecasting Options for JB Hunt

For every potential investor in JBHT, whether a beginner or expert, JB Hunt's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. JBHT Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in JBHT. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying JB Hunt's price trends.

JB Hunt Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with JB Hunt stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of JB Hunt could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing JB Hunt by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

JB Hunt Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how JB Hunt stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading JB Hunt shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying JB Hunt stock market strength indicators, traders can identify JB Hunt Transport entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

JB Hunt Risk Indicators

The analysis of JB Hunt's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in JB Hunt's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting jbht stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for JB Hunt

The number of cover stories for JB Hunt depends on current market conditions and JB Hunt's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that JB Hunt is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about JB Hunt's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Additional Tools for JBHT Stock Analysis

When running JB Hunt's price analysis, check to measure JB Hunt's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy JB Hunt is operating at the current time. Most of JB Hunt's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of JB Hunt's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move JB Hunt's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of JB Hunt to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.