Carpenter Technology Stock Price Patterns
| CRS Stock | USD 310.39 0.00 0.00% |
Momentum 58
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.455 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 2.2102 | EPS Estimate Current Year 10.1378 | EPS Estimate Next Year 11.3347 | Wall Street Target Price 382.37 |
Using Carpenter Technology hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Carpenter Technology from the perspective of Carpenter Technology response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Carpenter Technology using Carpenter Technology's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Carpenter using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Carpenter Technology's stock price.
Carpenter Technology Short Interest
An investor who is long Carpenter Technology may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Carpenter Technology and may potentially protect profits, hedge Carpenter Technology with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 269.0574 | Short Percent 0.0699 | Short Ratio 3.79 | Shares Short Prior Month 3.2 M | 50 Day MA 324.7212 |
Carpenter Technology Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Carpenter Technology's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Carpenter. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Carpenter can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Carpenter Technology. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Carpenter Technology's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Carpenter Technology.
Carpenter Technology Implied Volatility | 0.63 |
Carpenter Technology's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Carpenter Technology stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Carpenter Technology's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Carpenter Technology stock will not fluctuate a lot when Carpenter Technology's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Carpenter Technology to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Carpenter because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Carpenter Technology after-hype prediction price | USD 310.48 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Carpenter contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Carpenter Technology will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0394% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Carpenter Technology trading at USD 310.39, that is roughly USD 0.12 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Carpenter Technology's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Carpenter Technology options at the current volatility level of 0.63%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Carpenter | Build AI portfolio with Carpenter Stock |
Carpenter Technology After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Carpenter Technology at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Carpenter Technology or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Carpenter Technology, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Carpenter Technology Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Carpenter Technology's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Carpenter Technology's historical news coverage. Carpenter Technology's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 307.93 and 313.03, respectively. We have considered Carpenter Technology's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Carpenter Technology is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Carpenter Technology is based on 3 months time horizon.
Carpenter Technology Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Carpenter Technology is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Carpenter Technology backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Carpenter Technology, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.03 | 2.55 | 0.09 | 0.00 | 8 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
310.39 | 310.48 | 0.03 |
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Carpenter Technology Hype Timeline
On the 30th of January Carpenter Technology is traded for 310.39. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.09, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Carpenter is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 310.48 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 81.21%. The price appreciation on the next news is projected to be 0.03%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.03%. The volatility of related hype on Carpenter Technology is about 2236.84%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 310.39. The company reported the last year's revenue of 2.88 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 376 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 808.7 M. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Carpenter Technology Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Carpenter Technology Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Carpenter Technology's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Carpenter Technology's future price movements. Getting to know how Carpenter Technology's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Carpenter Technology may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ATI | Allegheny Technologies Incorporated | (4.41) | 13 per month | 0.87 | 0.22 | 4.54 | (1.96) | 10.82 | |
| TRU | TransUnion | (1.06) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 3.72 | (3.03) | 9.21 | |
| WWD | Woodward | (4.92) | 7 per month | 1.28 | 0.11 | 3.42 | (2.14) | 16.03 | |
| ULS | UL Solutions | 0.50 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 2.60 | (3.28) | 21.27 | |
| LUV | Southwest Airlines | 0.47 | 8 per month | 1.04 | 0.20 | 5.29 | (2.51) | 9.54 | |
| MTZ | MasTec Inc | 2.30 | 11 per month | 2.40 | 0.08 | 4.38 | (4.58) | 13.07 | |
| JBHT | JB Hunt Transport | 1.00 | 8 per month | 0.77 | 0.19 | 3.32 | (1.54) | 6.61 | |
| MLI | Mueller Industries | (1.02) | 11 per month | 0.76 | 0.33 | 2.11 | (1.65) | 4.16 | |
| ITT | ITT Inc | (0.21) | 8 per month | 1.76 | 0.02 | 2.20 | (2.11) | 17.49 | |
| WSO | Watsco Inc | 8.49 | 8 per month | 1.40 | 0.03 | 4.05 | (2.21) | 7.55 |
Carpenter Technology Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Carpenter price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Carpenter using various technical indicators. When you analyze Carpenter charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Carpenter Technology Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Carpenter Technology stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Carpenter Technology, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Carpenter Technology based on analysis of Carpenter Technology hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Carpenter Technology's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Carpenter Technology's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.007524 | 0.002905 | 0.00334 | 0.003173 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.93 | 4.82 | 4.34 | 4.56 |
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Additional Tools for Carpenter Stock Analysis
When running Carpenter Technology's price analysis, check to measure Carpenter Technology's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Carpenter Technology is operating at the current time. Most of Carpenter Technology's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Carpenter Technology's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Carpenter Technology's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Carpenter Technology to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.