Jabil Circuit Stock Forward View
| JBL Stock | USD 243.87 0.65 0.27% |
Jabil Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Jabil Circuit's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Jabil Circuit's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Jabil Circuit fundamentals over time.
As of now, The relative strength index (RSI) of Jabil Circuit's share price is at 55. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Jabil Circuit, making its price go up or down. Momentum 55
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.534 | EPS Estimate Current Year 11.6031 | EPS Estimate Next Year 13.4852 | Wall Street Target Price 264.5 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 2.7308 |
Using Jabil Circuit hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Jabil Circuit from the perspective of Jabil Circuit response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Jabil Circuit using Jabil Circuit's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Jabil using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Jabil Circuit's stock price.
Jabil Circuit Short Interest
An investor who is long Jabil Circuit may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Jabil Circuit and may potentially protect profits, hedge Jabil Circuit with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 205.5961 | Short Percent 0.0407 | Short Ratio 2.6 | Shares Short Prior Month 4 M | 50 Day MA 226.3572 |
Jabil Relative Strength Index
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Jabil Circuit on the next trading day is expected to be 235.76 with a mean absolute deviation of 5.11 and the sum of the absolute errors of 311.99.Jabil Circuit Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Jabil Circuit's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Jabil. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Jabil can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Jabil Circuit. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Jabil Circuit's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Jabil Circuit.
Jabil Circuit Implied Volatility | 0.66 |
Jabil Circuit's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Jabil Circuit stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Jabil Circuit's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Jabil Circuit stock will not fluctuate a lot when Jabil Circuit's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Jabil Circuit on the next trading day is expected to be 235.76 with a mean absolute deviation of 5.11 and the sum of the absolute errors of 311.99. Jabil Circuit after-hype prediction price | USD 243.01 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Jabil Circuit to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Jabil contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Jabil Circuit will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0413% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Jabil Circuit trading at USD 243.87, that is roughly USD 0.1 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Jabil Circuit's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Jabil Circuit options at the current volatility level of 0.66%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Jabil Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Jabil Circuit's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Jabil Circuit's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Jabil Circuit stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Jabil Circuit's open interest, investors have to compare it to Jabil Circuit's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Jabil Circuit is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Jabil. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Jabil Circuit Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Jabil price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Jabil using various technical indicators. When you analyze Jabil charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Jabil Circuit Cash Forecast
To forecast cash or other financial indicators, analysts must employ diverse statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. This approach allows them to detect underlying patterns in the Jabil Circuit's financial statements, predicting their influence on future market prices.
Cash | First Reported 1991-08-31 | Previous Quarter 1.9 B | Current Value 1.6 B | Quarterly Volatility 542.8 M |
Jabil Circuit Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 4th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Jabil Circuit on the next trading day is expected to be 235.76 with a mean absolute deviation of 5.11, mean absolute percentage error of 40.74, and the sum of the absolute errors of 311.99.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Jabil Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Jabil Circuit's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Jabil Circuit Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Jabil Circuit | Jabil Circuit Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Jabil Circuit Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Jabil Circuit's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Jabil Circuit's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 233.35 and 238.17, respectively. We have considered Jabil Circuit's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Jabil Circuit stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Jabil Circuit stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 121.8177 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 5.1145 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0227 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 311.9856 |
Predictive Modules for Jabil Circuit
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Jabil Circuit. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Jabil Circuit After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Jabil Circuit at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Jabil Circuit or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Jabil Circuit, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Jabil Circuit Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Jabil Circuit's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Jabil Circuit's historical news coverage. Jabil Circuit's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 240.60 and 245.42, respectively. We have considered Jabil Circuit's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Jabil Circuit is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Jabil Circuit is based on 3 months time horizon.
Jabil Circuit Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Jabil Circuit is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Jabil Circuit backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Jabil Circuit, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.21 | 2.41 | 0.21 | 0.98 | 9 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
243.87 | 243.01 | 0.09 |
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Jabil Circuit Hype Timeline
On the 3rd of February Jabil Circuit is traded for 243.87. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.21, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.98. Jabil is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 243.01. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.09%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.21%. The volatility of related hype on Jabil Circuit is about 51.46%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 242.89. About 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.91. Jabil Circuit recorded earning per share (EPS) of 6.21. The entity last dividend was issued on the 17th of February 2026. The firm had 2:1 split on the 31st of March 2000. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Jabil Circuit to cross-verify your projections.Jabil Circuit Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Jabil Circuit's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Jabil Circuit's future price movements. Getting to know how Jabil Circuit's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Jabil Circuit may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| FLEX | Flex | (0.64) | 13 per month | 2.66 | (0) | 5.23 | (4.13) | 12.35 | |
| TDY | Teledyne Technologies Incorporated | (14.34) | 9 per month | 1.15 | 0.11 | 2.15 | (1.93) | 11.58 | |
| PTC | PTC Inc | (2.58) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.24) | 1.93 | (3.01) | 9.03 | |
| NTAP | NetApp Inc | (4.31) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 2.31 | (2.89) | 13.30 | |
| TRMB | Trimble | (2.81) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 2.64 | (3.70) | 9.57 | |
| STM | STMicroelectronics NV ADR | 0.63 | 6 per month | 1.92 | 0.07 | 5.16 | (3.25) | 12.93 | |
| VRSN | VeriSign | 2.95 | 10 per month | 1.31 | 0.02 | 2.35 | (1.82) | 6.57 | |
| FN | Fabrinet | (25.76) | 8 per month | 4.02 | 0.06 | 5.63 | (5.86) | 17.48 | |
| FTV | Fortive Corp | (0.92) | 10 per month | 1.33 | 0.04 | 2.40 | (2.36) | 8.01 | |
| COHR | Coherent | 0.95 | 10 per month | 3.48 | 0.18 | 7.90 | (5.22) | 28.98 |
Other Forecasting Options for Jabil Circuit
For every potential investor in Jabil, whether a beginner or expert, Jabil Circuit's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Jabil Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Jabil. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Jabil Circuit's price trends.Jabil Circuit Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Jabil Circuit stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Jabil Circuit could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Jabil Circuit by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Jabil Circuit Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Jabil Circuit stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Jabil Circuit shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Jabil Circuit stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Jabil Circuit entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Jabil Circuit Risk Indicators
The analysis of Jabil Circuit's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Jabil Circuit's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting jabil stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.85 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.56 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.5 | |||
| Variance | 6.24 | |||
| Downside Variance | 8.07 | |||
| Semi Variance | 6.54 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.81) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Jabil Circuit
The number of cover stories for Jabil Circuit depends on current market conditions and Jabil Circuit's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Jabil Circuit is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Jabil Circuit's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Jabil Circuit Short Properties
Jabil Circuit's future price predictability will typically decrease when Jabil Circuit's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Jabil Circuit often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Jabil Circuit's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Jabil Circuit's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 110.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.9 B |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Jabil Circuit to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy Jabil Stock please use our How to buy in Jabil Stock guide.You can also try the Global Markets Map module to get a quick overview of global market snapshot using zoomable world map. Drill down to check world indexes.
Is Electronic Equipment, Instruments & Components space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Jabil Circuit. Expected growth trajectory for Jabil significantly influences the price investors are willing to assign. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Jabil Circuit assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.534 | Dividend Share 0.32 | Earnings Share 6.21 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.187 |
Jabil Circuit's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Jabil's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Jabil Circuit's intrinsic value - its true economic worth - which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Since Jabil Circuit's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
Understanding that Jabil Circuit's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Jabil Circuit represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. However, Jabil Circuit's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.