JBS SA Stock Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average
| JBSS3 Stock | BRL 35.65 1.99 5.91% |
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of JBS SA on the next trading day is expected to be 34.70 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.62 and the sum of the absolute errors of 35.31. JBS Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
JBS |
JBS SA 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 26th of November
Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of JBS SA on the next trading day is expected to be 34.70 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.62, mean absolute percentage error of 0.58, and the sum of the absolute errors of 35.31.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict JBS Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that JBS SA's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
JBS SA Stock Forecast Pattern
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JBS SA Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting JBS SA's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. JBS SA's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 32.92 and 36.48, respectively. We have considered JBS SA's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of JBS SA stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent JBS SA stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 110.2208 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0765 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.6195 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0186 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 35.3125 |
Predictive Modules for JBS SA
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as JBS SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for JBS SA
For every potential investor in JBS, whether a beginner or expert, JBS SA's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. JBS Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in JBS. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying JBS SA's price trends.JBS SA Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with JBS SA stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of JBS SA could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing JBS SA by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
JBS SA Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of JBS SA's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of JBS SA's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
JBS SA Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how JBS SA stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading JBS SA shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying JBS SA stock market strength indicators, traders can identify JBS SA entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
JBS SA Risk Indicators
The analysis of JBS SA's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in JBS SA's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting jbs stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.38 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.76 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.81 | |||
| Variance | 3.28 | |||
| Downside Variance | 3.21 | |||
| Semi Variance | 3.09 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.40) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Additional Tools for JBS Stock Analysis
When running JBS SA's price analysis, check to measure JBS SA's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy JBS SA is operating at the current time. Most of JBS SA's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of JBS SA's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move JBS SA's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of JBS SA to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.