JIADE LIMITED Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| JDZG Stock | 1.10 0.07 5.98% |
JIADE Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of JIADE LIMITED's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 11th of February 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of JIADE LIMITED's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.91) | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.052 |
Using JIADE LIMITED hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of JIADE LIMITED Common from the perspective of JIADE LIMITED response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of JIADE LIMITED Common on the next trading day is expected to be 1.10 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.08 and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.03. JIADE LIMITED after-hype prediction price | USD 1.06 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of JIADE LIMITED to cross-verify your projections. JIADE LIMITED Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine JIADE price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for JIADE using various technical indicators. When you analyze JIADE charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
JIADE LIMITED Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 12th of February 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of JIADE LIMITED Common on the next trading day is expected to be 1.10 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.08, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.03.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict JIADE Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that JIADE LIMITED's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
JIADE LIMITED Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest JIADE LIMITED | JIADE LIMITED Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
JIADE LIMITED Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting JIADE LIMITED's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. JIADE LIMITED's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 11.47, respectively. We have considered JIADE LIMITED's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of JIADE LIMITED stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent JIADE LIMITED stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 113.8139 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.012 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0825 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0634 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 5.03 |
Predictive Modules for JIADE LIMITED
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as JIADE LIMITED Common. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.JIADE LIMITED After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of JIADE LIMITED at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in JIADE LIMITED or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of JIADE LIMITED, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
JIADE LIMITED Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting JIADE LIMITED's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on JIADE LIMITED's historical news coverage. JIADE LIMITED's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.05 and 11.37, respectively. We have considered JIADE LIMITED's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
JIADE LIMITED is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of JIADE LIMITED Common is based on 3 months time horizon.
JIADE LIMITED Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as JIADE LIMITED is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading JIADE LIMITED backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with JIADE LIMITED, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.29 | 10.37 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 3 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 3 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
1.10 | 1.06 | 3.64 |
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JIADE LIMITED Hype Timeline
JIADE LIMITED Common is currently traded for 1.10. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.03. JIADE is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 1.06. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -3.64%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.29%. The volatility of related hype on JIADE LIMITED is about 11150.54%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.13. The book value of the company was currently reported as 3.1. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.19. JIADE LIMITED Common had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 1:8 split on the 24th of June 2025. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 3 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of JIADE LIMITED to cross-verify your projections.JIADE LIMITED Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to JIADE LIMITED's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict JIADE LIMITED's future price movements. Getting to know how JIADE LIMITED's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how JIADE LIMITED may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| TDTH | Trident Digital Tech | (0.02) | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 14.89 | (14.63) | 48.92 | |
| MASK | 3 E Network | (0.03) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 27.27 | (17.07) | 63.36 | |
| QCLS | QC Technologies | 1.44 | 4 per month | 6.62 | 0.08 | 13.54 | (11.53) | 63.27 | |
| JTAI | JetAI Inc | (0.03) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.31) | 11.11 | (20.00) | 63.19 | |
| SGN | Signing Day Sports | (0.06) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 20.41 | (18.52) | 75.32 | |
| CYCU | Cycurion | (0.13) | 17 per month | 6.91 | 0.01 | 15.67 | (11.23) | 79.76 | |
| FTFT | Future Fintech Group | 0.27 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.26) | 8.18 | (12.18) | 26.43 | |
| APCX | Apptech Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 7.75 | 0.06 | 15.63 | (10.81) | 73.62 | |
| OBLG | Oblong Inc | (0.49) | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 8.84 | (10.76) | 33.41 | |
| ATCH | AtlasClear Holdings | (0.02) | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 8.70 | (8.57) | 23.25 |
Other Forecasting Options for JIADE LIMITED
For every potential investor in JIADE, whether a beginner or expert, JIADE LIMITED's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. JIADE Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in JIADE. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying JIADE LIMITED's price trends.JIADE LIMITED Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with JIADE LIMITED stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of JIADE LIMITED could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing JIADE LIMITED by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
JIADE LIMITED Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how JIADE LIMITED stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading JIADE LIMITED shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying JIADE LIMITED stock market strength indicators, traders can identify JIADE LIMITED Common entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 67751.99 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.41) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.94 | |||
| Day Median Price | 1.16 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 1.14 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.09) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.07) |
JIADE LIMITED Risk Indicators
The analysis of JIADE LIMITED's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in JIADE LIMITED's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting jiade stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 6.2 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 9.95 | |||
| Variance | 99.0 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for JIADE LIMITED
The number of cover stories for JIADE LIMITED depends on current market conditions and JIADE LIMITED's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that JIADE LIMITED is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about JIADE LIMITED's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
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JIADE LIMITED Short Properties
JIADE LIMITED's future price predictability will typically decrease when JIADE LIMITED's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of JIADE LIMITED Common often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential JIADE LIMITED's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. JIADE LIMITED's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 22.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 3.9 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of JIADE LIMITED to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Odds Of Bankruptcy module to get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years.
Can Diversified Consumer Services industry sustain growth momentum? Does JIADE have expansion opportunities? Factors like these will boost the valuation of JIADE LIMITED. Expected growth trajectory for JIADE significantly influences the price investors are willing to assign. Determining accurate worth demands scrutiny of both present operating results and projected expansion capacity. Evaluating JIADE LIMITED demands reviewing these metrics collectively while recognizing certain factors exert disproportionate influence.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.91) | Earnings Share (0.19) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.052 | Return On Assets |
The market value of JIADE LIMITED Common is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of JIADE that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of JIADE LIMITED's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is JIADE LIMITED's true underlying value. Market participants employ diverse analytical approaches to determine fair value and identify buying opportunities when prices dip below calculated worth. Because JIADE LIMITED's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect JIADE LIMITED's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Understanding that JIADE LIMITED's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether JIADE LIMITED represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Meanwhile, JIADE LIMITED's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.