Jeld Wen Stock Forecast - Simple Regression

JELD Stock  USD 2.48  0.02  0.81%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Jeld Wen Holding on the next trading day is expected to be 1.85 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.57 and the sum of the absolute errors of 35.01. Jeld Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Jeld Wen stock prices and determine the direction of Jeld Wen Holding's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Jeld Wen's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the relative strength index (rsi) of Jeld Wen's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Jeld Wen's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Jeld Wen and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Jeld Wen's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Jeld Wen Holding, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Jeld Wen's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.15)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.1103
EPS Estimate Current Year
(0.70)
EPS Estimate Next Year
(0.31)
Wall Street Target Price
2.95
Using Jeld Wen hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Jeld Wen Holding from the perspective of Jeld Wen response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Jeld Wen using Jeld Wen's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Jeld using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Jeld Wen's stock price.

Jeld Wen Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Jeld Wen's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Jeld. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Jeld Wen stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA
4.4687
Short Percent
0.0635
Short Ratio
1.5
Shares Short Prior Month
M
50 Day MA
2.9546

Jeld Wen Holding Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Jeld Wen's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Jeld. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Jeld can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Jeld Wen Holding. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Jeld Wen's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Jeld Wen.

Jeld Wen Implied Volatility

    
  2.26  
Jeld Wen's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Jeld Wen Holding stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Jeld Wen's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Jeld Wen stock will not fluctuate a lot when Jeld Wen's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Jeld Wen Holding on the next trading day is expected to be 1.85 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.57 and the sum of the absolute errors of 35.01.

Jeld Wen after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 2.62  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Jeld Wen to cross-verify your projections.
At present, Jeld Wen's Payables Turnover is projected to drop slightly based on the last few years of reporting. . The current year's Common Stock Shares Outstanding is expected to grow to about 103.4 M. The current year's Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is expected to grow to about 55.2 M.

Open Interest Against 2026-02-20 Jeld Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Jeld Wen's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Jeld Wen's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Jeld Wen stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Jeld Wen's open interest, investors have to compare it to Jeld Wen's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Jeld Wen is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Jeld. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Jeld Wen Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Jeld price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Jeld using various technical indicators. When you analyze Jeld charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Jeld Wen price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Jeld Wen Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 3rd of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Jeld Wen Holding on the next trading day is expected to be 1.85 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.57, mean absolute percentage error of 0.46, and the sum of the absolute errors of 35.01.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Jeld Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Jeld Wen's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Jeld Wen Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Jeld WenJeld Wen Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Jeld Wen Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Jeld Wen's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Jeld Wen's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.02 and 7.74, respectively. We have considered Jeld Wen's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
2.48
1.85
Expected Value
7.74
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Jeld Wen stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Jeld Wen stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria117.3424
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.5739
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.212
SAESum of the absolute errors35.0073
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Jeld Wen Holding historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Jeld Wen

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Jeld Wen Holding. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.132.628.56
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.142.718.65
Details
9 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
2.682.953.27
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Jeld Wen

For every potential investor in Jeld, whether a beginner or expert, Jeld Wen's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Jeld Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Jeld. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Jeld Wen's price trends.

Jeld Wen Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Jeld Wen stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Jeld Wen could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Jeld Wen by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Jeld Wen Holding Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Jeld Wen's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Jeld Wen's current price.

Jeld Wen Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Jeld Wen stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Jeld Wen shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Jeld Wen stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Jeld Wen Holding entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Jeld Wen Risk Indicators

The analysis of Jeld Wen's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Jeld Wen's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting jeld stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
When determining whether Jeld Wen Holding is a strong investment it is important to analyze Jeld Wen's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Jeld Wen's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Jeld Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Jeld Wen to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Performance Analysis module to check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation.
Is Building Products space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Jeld Wen. If investors know Jeld will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Jeld Wen listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.15)
Earnings Share
(7.62)
Revenue Per Share
38.855
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.13)
Return On Assets
(0.01)
The market value of Jeld Wen Holding is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Jeld that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Jeld Wen's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Jeld Wen's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Jeld Wen's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Jeld Wen's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Jeld Wen's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Jeld Wen is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Jeld Wen's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.