JFB Construction Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| JFB Stock | 30.87 0.91 3.04% |
JFB Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast JFB Construction stock prices and determine the direction of JFB Construction Holdings's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of JFB Construction's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the relative strength momentum indicator of JFB Construction's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.76) | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.37) |
Using JFB Construction hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of JFB Construction Holdings from the perspective of JFB Construction response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of JFB Construction Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 30.41 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.27 and the sum of the absolute errors of 75.20. JFB Construction after-hype prediction price | USD 30.38 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of JFB Construction to cross-verify your projections. JFB Construction Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine JFB price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for JFB using various technical indicators. When you analyze JFB charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
JFB Construction Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 12th of February 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of JFB Construction Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 30.41 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.27, mean absolute percentage error of 3.40, and the sum of the absolute errors of 75.20.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict JFB Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that JFB Construction's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
JFB Construction Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest JFB Construction | JFB Construction Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
JFB Construction Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting JFB Construction's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. JFB Construction's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 22.24 and 38.59, respectively. We have considered JFB Construction's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of JFB Construction stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent JFB Construction stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.6574 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.3482 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.2747 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0627 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 75.205 |
Predictive Modules for JFB Construction
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as JFB Construction Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.JFB Construction After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of JFB Construction at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in JFB Construction or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of JFB Construction, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
JFB Construction Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting JFB Construction's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on JFB Construction's historical news coverage. JFB Construction's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 22.20 and 38.56, respectively. We have considered JFB Construction's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
JFB Construction is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of JFB Construction Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.
JFB Construction Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as JFB Construction is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading JFB Construction backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with JFB Construction, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
1.29 | 8.18 | 0.49 | 0.00 | 8 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
30.87 | 30.38 | 1.59 |
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JFB Construction Hype Timeline
On the 11th of February 2026 JFB Construction Holdings is traded for 30.87. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.49, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. JFB is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 30.38. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -1.59%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 1.29%. The volatility of related hype on JFB Construction is about 818000.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 30.87. About 66.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.33. JFB Construction Holdings had not issued any dividends in recent years. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of JFB Construction to cross-verify your projections.JFB Construction Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to JFB Construction's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict JFB Construction's future price movements. Getting to know how JFB Construction's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how JFB Construction may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| STRS | Stratus Properties | (0.19) | 9 per month | 1.45 | 0.19 | 5.97 | (3.13) | 17.98 | |
| AXR | AMREP | 0.60 | 7 per month | 2.27 | 0.02 | 3.65 | (4.09) | 13.12 | |
| CHCI | Comstock Holding Companies | 0.21 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 5.41 | (5.82) | 22.69 | |
| LODE | Comstock Mining | 0.05 | 8 per month | 5.92 | 0.01 | 9.09 | (9.60) | 25.76 | |
| MDV | Modiv Inc | (0.08) | 5 per month | 1.13 | (0.01) | 2.40 | (2.18) | 7.34 | |
| ASPS | Altisource Portfolio Solutions | 0.01 | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 5.87 | (8.97) | 30.16 | |
| BHR | Braemar Hotel Resorts | 0.03 | 6 per month | 1.96 | 0.09 | 5.02 | (3.83) | 12.09 | |
| LHAI | Linkhome Holdings Common | (0.62) | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 16.20 | (23.83) | 65.22 | |
| ONL | Orion Office Reit | 0.04 | 5 per month | 2.27 | 0.03 | 4.48 | (3.83) | 24.81 | |
| FSP | Franklin Street Properties | (0.04) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 4.04 | (5.77) | 14.36 |
Other Forecasting Options for JFB Construction
For every potential investor in JFB, whether a beginner or expert, JFB Construction's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. JFB Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in JFB. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying JFB Construction's price trends.JFB Construction Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with JFB Construction stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of JFB Construction could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing JFB Construction by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
JFB Construction Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how JFB Construction stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading JFB Construction shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying JFB Construction stock market strength indicators, traders can identify JFB Construction Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
JFB Construction Risk Indicators
The analysis of JFB Construction's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in JFB Construction's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting jfb stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 6.0 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 5.88 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 7.87 | |||
| Variance | 61.9 | |||
| Downside Variance | 41.27 | |||
| Semi Variance | 34.53 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (7.31) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for JFB Construction
The number of cover stories for JFB Construction depends on current market conditions and JFB Construction's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that JFB Construction is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about JFB Construction's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
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JFB Construction Short Properties
JFB Construction's future price predictability will typically decrease when JFB Construction's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of JFB Construction Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential JFB Construction's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. JFB Construction's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 9.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.7 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of JFB Construction to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Bond Analysis module to evaluate and analyze corporate bonds as a potential investment for your portfolios..
Is Construction & Engineering space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of JFB Construction. Expected growth trajectory for JFB significantly influences the price investors are willing to assign. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive JFB Construction assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.76) | Earnings Share (0.33) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.37) | Return On Assets |
Investors evaluate JFB Construction Holdings using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating JFB Construction's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause JFB Construction's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Understanding that JFB Construction's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether JFB Construction represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Conversely, JFB Construction's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.