Maple Leaf Foods Stock Price Patterns
| MFI Stock | CAD 27.62 0.29 1.06% |
Momentum 53
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.339 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.355 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.0719 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.4655 | Wall Street Target Price 34 |
Using Maple Leaf hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Maple Leaf Foods from the perspective of Maple Leaf response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Maple Leaf to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Maple because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Maple Leaf after-hype prediction price | CAD 27.66 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Maple |
Maple Leaf After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Maple Leaf at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Maple Leaf or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Maple Leaf, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Maple Leaf Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Maple Leaf's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Maple Leaf's historical news coverage. Maple Leaf's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 26.36 and 28.96, respectively. We have considered Maple Leaf's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Maple Leaf is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Maple Leaf Foods is based on 3 months time horizon.
Maple Leaf Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Maple Leaf is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Maple Leaf backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Maple Leaf, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.26 | 1.30 | 0.04 | 0.01 | 5 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In about 5 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
27.62 | 27.66 | 0.14 |
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Maple Leaf Hype Timeline
Maple Leaf Foods is now traded for 27.62on Toronto Exchange of Canada. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.04, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. Maple is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 27.66 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price boost on the next news is estimated to be 0.14%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.26%. The volatility of related hype on Maple Leaf is about 4333.33%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 27.61. The company reported the revenue of 4.9 B. Net Income was 96.6 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 870.47 M. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 5 days. Check out Maple Leaf Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Maple Leaf Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Maple Leaf's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Maple Leaf's future price movements. Getting to know how Maple Leaf's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Maple Leaf may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| DTOL | D2L Inc | (0.08) | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.33) | 2.51 | (3.93) | 12.63 | |
| BABY | Else Nutrition Holdings | 0.02 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 20.00 | (13.64) | 40.38 |
Maple Leaf Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Maple price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Maple using various technical indicators. When you analyze Maple charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Maple Leaf Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Maple Leaf stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Maple Leaf Foods, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Maple Leaf based on analysis of Maple Leaf hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Maple Leaf's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Maple Leaf's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0301 | 0.0346 | 0.0312 | 0.0327 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.63 | 0.51 | 0.46 | 0.42 |
Pair Trading with Maple Leaf
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Maple Leaf position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Maple Leaf will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with Maple Stock
| 0.86 | BNP | BNP Paribas CDR | PairCorr |
| 0.73 | RY | Royal Bank | PairCorr |
| 0.77 | TD | Toronto Dominion Bank | PairCorr |
| 0.83 | BMO | Bank of Montreal | PairCorr |
Moving against Maple Stock
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Maple Leaf could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Maple Leaf when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Maple Leaf - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Maple Leaf Foods to buy it.
The correlation of Maple Leaf is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Maple Leaf moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Maple Leaf Foods moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Maple Leaf can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Other Information on Investing in Maple Stock
Maple Leaf financial ratios help investors to determine whether Maple Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Maple with respect to the benefits of owning Maple Leaf security.