Julong Holding Stock Forward View - Simple Regression
| JLHL Stock | 3.50 0.51 12.72% |
Julong Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Julong Holding's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Julong Holding's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Julong Holding fundamentals over time.
As of now, the relative strength index (RSI) of Julong Holding's share price is approaching 44. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Julong Holding, making its price go up or down. Momentum 44
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.301 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.1 |
Using Julong Holding hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Julong Holding Limited from the perspective of Julong Holding response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Julong Holding Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 4.03 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.30 and the sum of the absolute errors of 18.45. Julong Holding after-hype prediction price | USD 3.5 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Julong Holding to cross-verify your projections. Julong Holding Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Julong price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Julong using various technical indicators. When you analyze Julong charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Julong Holding Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 1st of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Julong Holding Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 4.03 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.30, mean absolute percentage error of 0.14, and the sum of the absolute errors of 18.45.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Julong Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Julong Holding's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Julong Holding Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Julong Holding | Julong Holding Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Julong Holding Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Julong Holding's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Julong Holding's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.04 and 11.20, respectively. We have considered Julong Holding's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Julong Holding stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Julong Holding stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.1414 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.3025 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0812 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 18.4516 |
Predictive Modules for Julong Holding
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Julong Holding. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Julong Holding After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Julong Holding at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Julong Holding or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Julong Holding, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Julong Holding Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Julong Holding's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Julong Holding's historical news coverage. Julong Holding's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.18 and 10.73, respectively. We have considered Julong Holding's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Julong Holding is dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Julong Holding is based on 3 months time horizon.
Julong Holding Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Julong Holding is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Julong Holding backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Julong Holding, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.06 | 7.17 | 0.01 | 0.02 | 3 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 3 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
3.50 | 3.50 | 0.00 |
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Julong Holding Hype Timeline
Julong Holding is currently traded for 3.50. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.02. Julong is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.06%. %. The volatility of related hype on Julong Holding is about 2811.76%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 3.48. About 87.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 3 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Julong Holding to cross-verify your projections.Julong Holding Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Julong Holding's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Julong Holding's future price movements. Getting to know how Julong Holding's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Julong Holding may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SHIM | Shimmick Common | (0.25) | 6 per month | 4.01 | 0.16 | 12.69 | (6.83) | 26.47 | |
| VATE | Innovate Corp | (0.14) | 8 per month | 3.19 | 0.04 | 6.67 | (4.88) | 25.66 | |
| SFWL | Shengfeng Development Limited | (0.05) | 8 per month | 3.78 | 0.02 | 5.56 | (5.21) | 43.33 | |
| SUGP | SU Group Holdings | (0.43) | 8 per month | 6.08 | (0) | 17.52 | (9.68) | 43.26 | |
| CBAT | CBAK Energy Technology | (0.03) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 2.38 | (3.33) | 7.92 | |
| DLHC | DLH Holdings Corp | (0.02) | 8 per month | 2.11 | (0.01) | 5.09 | (4.12) | 13.48 | |
| FTEK | Fuel Tech | (0.04) | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.25) | 6.45 | (6.98) | 19.15 | |
| OPTT | Ocean Power Technologies | (0.02) | 7 per month | 6.72 | 0.05 | 22.81 | (9.43) | 36.47 | |
| RYM | RYTHM Inc | (1.58) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 10.94 | (15.38) | 63.12 | |
| XCH | XCHG Limited American | 0.01 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 8.76 | (8.50) | 32.99 |
Other Forecasting Options for Julong Holding
For every potential investor in Julong, whether a beginner or expert, Julong Holding's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Julong Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Julong. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Julong Holding's price trends.Julong Holding Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Julong Holding stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Julong Holding could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Julong Holding by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Julong Holding Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Julong Holding stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Julong Holding shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Julong Holding stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Julong Holding Limited entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Julong Holding Risk Indicators
The analysis of Julong Holding's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Julong Holding's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting julong stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 5.03 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 7.95 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 7.1 | |||
| Variance | 50.43 | |||
| Downside Variance | 67.83 | |||
| Semi Variance | 63.14 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (4.62) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Julong Holding
The number of cover stories for Julong Holding depends on current market conditions and Julong Holding's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Julong Holding is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Julong Holding's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Julong Holding Short Properties
Julong Holding's future price predictability will typically decrease when Julong Holding's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Julong Holding Limited often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Julong Holding's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Julong Holding's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 21.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 20.6 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Julong Holding to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Equity Valuation module to check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data.
Is Building Products & Equipment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Julong Holding. Expected growth trajectory for Julong significantly influences the price investors are willing to assign. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Julong Holding assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.301 | Earnings Share 0.13 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.1 | Return On Assets |
The market value of Julong Holding is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Julong that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Julong Holding's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Julong Holding's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Julong Holding's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Julong Holding's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Understanding that Julong Holding's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Julong Holding represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Meanwhile, Julong Holding's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.