Xchg Limited American Stock Price Prediction
XCH Stock | 13.30 1.40 9.52% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
50
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.51 |
Using XCHG Limited hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of XCHG Limited American from the perspective of XCHG Limited response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in XCHG Limited to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying XCHG because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
XCHG Limited after-hype prediction price | USD 13.94 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
XCHG |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of XCHG Limited's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
XCHG Limited After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of XCHG Limited at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in XCHG Limited or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of XCHG Limited, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
Expected price to next headline |
XCHG Limited Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting XCHG Limited's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on XCHG Limited's historical news coverage. XCHG Limited's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.70 and 1,344, respectively. We have considered XCHG Limited's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
XCHG Limited is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of XCHG Limited American is based on 3 months time horizon.
XCHG Limited Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as XCHG Limited is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading XCHG Limited backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with XCHG Limited, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
19.82 | 134.14 | 22.79 | 36.67 | 5 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 5 days |
Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
13.30 | 13.94 | 4.80 |
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XCHG Limited Hype Timeline
On the 25th of November XCHG Limited American is traded for 13.30. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 22.79, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -36.67. XCHG is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 13.94 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 4.8%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 19.82%. The volatility of related hype on XCHG Limited is about 7250.81%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of -23.37. XCHG Limited generates negative cash flow from operationsConsidering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 5 days. Check out XCHG Limited Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.XCHG Limited Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to XCHG Limited's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict XCHG Limited's future price movements. Getting to know how XCHG Limited's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how XCHG Limited may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
GGG | Graco Inc | (0.75) | 9 per month | 0.81 | 0.04 | 1.69 | (1.47) | 7.51 | |
FELE | Franklin Electric Co | 0.39 | 11 per month | 1.44 | 0.01 | 2.34 | (1.54) | 11.41 | |
FLS | Flowserve | (0.01) | 12 per month | 1.21 | 0.13 | 3.04 | (2.22) | 10.24 | |
DCI | Donaldson | 0.07 | 9 per month | 0.96 | (0.05) | 1.89 | (1.67) | 4.88 | |
ITW | Illinois Tool Works | (2.62) | 11 per month | 0.63 | 0.05 | 1.53 | (1.33) | 4.73 | |
PNR | Pentair PLC | (4.10) | 10 per month | 0.43 | 0.22 | 2.15 | (1.08) | 5.49 | |
PH | Parker Hannifin | (8.95) | 12 per month | 0.82 | 0.11 | 2.18 | (1.25) | 11.35 | |
AOS | Smith AO | (0.26) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 2.11 | (2.61) | 10.28 | |
CXT | Crane NXT Co | (0.42) | 9 per month | 1.90 | (0.01) | 3.21 | (2.41) | 10.37 |
XCHG Limited Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine XCHG price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for XCHG using various technical indicators. When you analyze XCHG charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.Cycle Indicators | ||
Math Operators | ||
Math Transform | ||
Momentum Indicators | ||
Overlap Studies | ||
Pattern Recognition | ||
Price Transform | ||
Statistic Functions | ||
Volatility Indicators | ||
Volume Indicators |
About XCHG Limited Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of XCHG Limited stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as XCHG Limited American, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of XCHG Limited based on analysis of XCHG Limited hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to XCHG Limited's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to XCHG Limited's related companies.
Story Coverage note for XCHG Limited
The number of cover stories for XCHG Limited depends on current market conditions and XCHG Limited's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that XCHG Limited is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about XCHG Limited's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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XCHG Limited Short Properties
XCHG Limited's future price predictability will typically decrease when XCHG Limited's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of XCHG Limited American often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential XCHG Limited's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. XCHG Limited's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Float | 146.2 M |
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When running XCHG Limited's price analysis, check to measure XCHG Limited's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy XCHG Limited is operating at the current time. Most of XCHG Limited's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of XCHG Limited's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move XCHG Limited's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of XCHG Limited to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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