GEE Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average

JOB Stock  USD 0.24  0.0005  0.21%   
GEE Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast GEE stock prices and determine the direction of GEE Group's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of GEE's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The relative strength index (RSI) of GEE's stock price is about 62. This indicates that the stock is rather overbought by investors at the present time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling GEE, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 62

 Buy Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of GEE's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with GEE Group, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting GEE's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
2.447
Wall Street Target Price
2
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.10)
Using GEE hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of GEE Group from the perspective of GEE response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of GEE Group on the next trading day is expected to be 0.24 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.24.

GEE after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 0.23  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of GEE to cross-verify your projections.

GEE Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine GEE price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for GEE using various technical indicators. When you analyze GEE charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A two period moving average forecast for GEE is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

GEE Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 30th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of GEE Group on the next trading day is expected to be 0.24 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0.000086, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.24.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict GEE Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that GEE's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

GEE Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest GEE  GEE Price Prediction  Buy or Sell Advice  

GEE Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting GEE's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. GEE's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 5.09, respectively. We have considered GEE's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.24
0.24
Expected Value
5.09
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of GEE stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent GEE stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria105.0748
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0013
MADMean absolute deviation0.004
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0186
SAESum of the absolute errors0.2355
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of GEE Group price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of GEE. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for GEE

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as GEE Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.235.08
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.030.675.52
Details
0 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
1.822.002.22
Details

GEE After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of GEE at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in GEE or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of GEE, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

GEE Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting GEE's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on GEE's historical news coverage. GEE's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.01 and 5.08, respectively. We have considered GEE's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.24
0.23
After-hype Price
5.08
Upside
GEE is abnormally volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of GEE Group is based on 3 months time horizon.

GEE Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as GEE is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading GEE backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with GEE, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.50 
4.85
  0.01 
  0.38 
7 Events / Month
5 Events / Month
In about 7 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.24
0.23
4.17 
48,500  
Notes

GEE Hype Timeline

On the 29th of January GEE Group is traded for 0.24. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.38. GEE is estimated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 0.23. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -4.17%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.5%. The volatility of related hype on GEE is about 642.86%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of -0.14. About 17.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.56. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. GEE Group has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.22. The entity recorded a loss per share of 0.32. The firm last dividend was issued on the 12th of December 2007. GEE had 1:10 split on the 9th of October 2015. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 7 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of GEE to cross-verify your projections.

GEE Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to GEE's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict GEE's future price movements. Getting to know how GEE's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how GEE may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
BAThe Boeing 4.60 8 per month 1.73  0.05  2.79 (3.18) 13.01 
DIDIYDidi Global ADR(4.51)1 per month 0.00 (0.13) 4.86 (4.86) 13.51 
ZETAZeta Global Holdings(0.84)12 per month 3.68  0.03  8.32 (5.77) 28.98 
MRKMerck Company(1.60)6 per month 1.14  0.16  3.59 (1.98) 8.09 
RTTGFRTG Mining 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.06  10.67  0.00  95.83 
AGFirst Majestic Silver 0.67 11 per month 3.00  0.25  8.86 (5.18) 17.91 
NMEXNorthern Minerals Exploration 2.04 4 per month 8.71  0.10  25.00 (15.00) 83.85 
SRSNXSierra Tactical Risk(5.79)2 per month 0.44 (0.02) 0.79 (0.98) 2.35 
AAAlcoa Corp(1.36)7 per month 2.43  0.18  6.40 (4.96) 14.55 

Other Forecasting Options for GEE

For every potential investor in GEE, whether a beginner or expert, GEE's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. GEE Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in GEE. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying GEE's price trends.

GEE Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with GEE stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of GEE could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing GEE by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

GEE Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how GEE stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading GEE shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying GEE stock market strength indicators, traders can identify GEE Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

GEE Risk Indicators

The analysis of GEE's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in GEE's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting gee stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for GEE

The number of cover stories for GEE depends on current market conditions and GEE's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that GEE is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about GEE's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

GEE Short Properties

GEE's future price predictability will typically decrease when GEE's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of GEE Group often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential GEE's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. GEE's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding109.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments21.4 M
When determining whether GEE Group offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of GEE's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Gee Group Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Gee Group Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of GEE to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Portfolio Optimization module to compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk.
Is Human Resource & Employment Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of GEE. Expected growth trajectory for GEE significantly influences the price investors are willing to assign. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive GEE assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
2.447
Earnings Share
(0.32)
Revenue Per Share
0.882
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.10)
Return On Assets
(0.02)
Investors evaluate GEE Group using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating GEE's intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause GEE's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Understanding that GEE's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether GEE represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Conversely, GEE's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.