Joby Aviation Stock Forward View - Accumulation Distribution

JOBY Stock  USD 10.52  1.06  11.21%   
Joby Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Joby Aviation's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Joby Aviation's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Joby Aviation, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Joby Aviation's stock price prediction:
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
(0.19)
EPS Estimate Current Year
(0.70)
EPS Estimate Next Year
(0.70)
Wall Street Target Price
12.6338
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
(0.19)
Using Joby Aviation hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Joby Aviation from the perspective of Joby Aviation response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Joby Aviation using Joby Aviation's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Joby using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Joby Aviation's stock price.

Joby Aviation Short Interest

An investor who is long Joby Aviation may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Joby Aviation and may potentially protect profits, hedge Joby Aviation with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
13.2543
Short Percent
0.082
Short Ratio
2.61
Shares Short Prior Month
56.9 M
50 Day MA
14.0354

Joby Relative Strength Index

Joby Aviation Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Joby Aviation's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Joby. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Joby can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Joby Aviation. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Joby Aviation's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Joby Aviation.

Joby Aviation Implied Volatility

    
  1.03  
Joby Aviation's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Joby Aviation stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Joby Aviation's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Joby Aviation stock will not fluctuate a lot when Joby Aviation's options are near their expiration.

Joby Aviation after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 10.41  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Joby Aviation to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Joby Stock please use our How to Invest in Joby Aviation guide.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Joby contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Joby Aviation will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0644% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Joby Aviation trading at USD 10.52, that is roughly USD 0.006772 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Joby Aviation's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Joby Aviation options at the current volatility level of 1.03%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.

Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Joby Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Joby Aviation's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Joby Aviation's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Joby Aviation stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Joby Aviation's open interest, investors have to compare it to Joby Aviation's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Joby Aviation is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Joby. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Joby Aviation Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Joby price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Joby using various technical indicators. When you analyze Joby charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Joby Aviation has current Accumulation Distribution of 0.0811. The accumulation distribution (A/D) indicator shows the degree to which Joby Aviation is accumulated by the market over a given period. It uses the quote sensitivity to the highest or lowest daily price of Joby Aviation to determine if accumulation or reduction is taking place in the market. This value is adjusted by Joby Aviation trading volume to give more weight to distributions with higher volume over lower volume.
Check Joby Aviation VolatilityBacktest Joby AviationInformation Ratio  

Joby Aviation Trading Date Momentum

On February 08 2026 Joby Aviation was traded for  10.52  at the closing time. The top price for the day was 10.60  and the lowest listed price was  9.74 . There was no trading activity during the period 0.0. Lack of trading volume on February 8, 2026 did not cause price change. The trading delta at closing time against the current closing price is 6.56% .
Accumulation distribution indicator can signal that a trend is either nearing completion, at a continuation, or is about to break-outs. The actual value of this indicator is of no significance. What is significant is the change in value of over time. The formula for A/D of a given trading day can be expressed as follow: ((Close - Low) - (High - Close)) / (High - Low) X Volume
Compare Joby Aviation to competition

Other Forecasting Options for Joby Aviation

For every potential investor in Joby, whether a beginner or expert, Joby Aviation's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Joby Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Joby. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Joby Aviation's price trends.

Joby Aviation Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Joby Aviation stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Joby Aviation could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Joby Aviation by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Joby Aviation Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Joby Aviation stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Joby Aviation shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Joby Aviation stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Joby Aviation entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Joby Aviation Risk Indicators

The analysis of Joby Aviation's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Joby Aviation's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting joby stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Joby Aviation

The number of cover stories for Joby Aviation depends on current market conditions and Joby Aviation's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Joby Aviation is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Joby Aviation's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Joby Aviation Short Properties

Joby Aviation's future price predictability will typically decrease when Joby Aviation's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Joby Aviation often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Joby Aviation's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Joby Aviation's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding699.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments932.9 M

Additional Tools for Joby Stock Analysis

When running Joby Aviation's price analysis, check to measure Joby Aviation's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Joby Aviation is operating at the current time. Most of Joby Aviation's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Joby Aviation's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Joby Aviation's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Joby Aviation to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.