Joby Aviation Stock Performance

JOBY Stock  USD 9.90  0.02  0.20%   
The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 3.12, which attests to a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Joby Aviation will likely underperform. At this point, Joby Aviation has a negative expected return of -0.44%. Please make sure to check out Joby Aviation's treynor ratio, as well as the relationship between the accumulation distribution and price action indicator , to decide if Joby Aviation performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Joby Aviation has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of unsteady performance in the last few months, the Stock's fundamental drivers remain fairly strong which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long term up-swing for the company investors. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
0.2
Five Day Return
(5.26)
Year To Date Return
(31.06)
Ten Year Return
(5.71)
All Time Return
(5.71)
1
Disposition of 83666 shares by JoeBen Bevirt of Joby Aviation subject to Rule 16b-3
12/19/2025
2
Acquisition by Didier Papadopoulos of 9960 shares of Joby Aviation subject to Rule 16b-3
01/02/2026
3
Disposition of 5029 shares by Didier Papadopoulos of Joby Aviation at 16.01 subject to Rule 16b-3
01/08/2026
4
Insider Selling Joby Aviation Insider Sells 7,092 Shares of Stock
01/15/2026
5
Mitsubishi UFJ Trust Banking Corp Sells 45,896 Shares of Joby Aviation, Inc. JOBY
01/28/2026
6
Disposition of 22547 shares by Kate DeHoff of Joby Aviation subject to Rule 16b-3
01/30/2026
7
Will 2026 Be the Year Joby Aviation Takes Off
02/02/2026
8
Joby Stock Climbs After Major Capital Market Moves
02/03/2026
9
IQ EQ FUND MANAGEMENT IRELAND Ltd Increases Stock Holdings in Joby Aviation, Inc. JOBY
02/06/2026
10
Disposition of 3663 shares by Didier Papadopoulos of Joby Aviation subject to Rule 16b-3
02/09/2026
11
Joby Aviation Trading Up 1.6 percent Heres Why
02/10/2026
12
Joby Aviation to Report Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2025 Financial Results
02/11/2026
13
Bold Prediction Joby Aviation Is About to Soar. Heres Why.
02/12/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow204.8 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities70.8 M

Joby Aviation Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,389  in Joby Aviation on November 17, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (399.00) from holding Joby Aviation or give up 28.73% of portfolio value over 90 days. Joby Aviation is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 4.5858% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 41% of stocks are less volatile than Joby, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Joby Aviation is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 6.0 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.1 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.13 per unit of volatility.

Joby Aviation Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Joby Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 9.90 90 days 9.90 
about 98.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Joby Aviation to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 98.0 (This Joby Aviation probability density function shows the probability of Joby Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 3.12 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Joby Aviation will likely underperform. Additionally Joby Aviation has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Joby Aviation Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Joby Aviation

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Joby Aviation. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
5.209.7914.38
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
6.2310.8215.41
Details
9 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
11.5012.6314.02
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.2-0.18-0.15
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Joby Aviation. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Joby Aviation's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Joby Aviation's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Joby Aviation.

Joby Aviation Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Joby Aviation is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Joby Aviation's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Joby Aviation, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Joby Aviation within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.79
β
Beta against Dow Jones3.12
σ
Overall volatility
1.83
Ir
Information ratio -0.14

Joby Aviation Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Joby Aviation for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Joby Aviation can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Joby Aviation generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Joby Aviation has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Joby Aviation has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 136 K. Net Loss for the year was (608.03 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 12.55 M.
Joby Aviation currently holds about 1.15 B in cash with (436.27 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.89.
Joby Aviation has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Roughly 34.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from fool.com: Bold Prediction Joby Aviation Is About to Soar. Heres Why.

Joby Aviation Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Joby Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Joby Aviation's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Joby Aviation's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding699.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments932.9 M

Joby Aviation Fundamentals Growth

Joby Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Joby Aviation, and Joby Aviation fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Joby Stock performance.

About Joby Aviation Performance

Evaluating Joby Aviation's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Joby Aviation has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Joby Aviation has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets(0.59)(0.62)
Return On Capital Employed(0.59)(0.62)
Return On Assets(0.58)(0.61)
Return On Equity(0.77)(0.73)

Things to note about Joby Aviation performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Joby Aviation for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Joby Aviation help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Joby Aviation generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Joby Aviation has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Joby Aviation has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 136 K. Net Loss for the year was (608.03 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 12.55 M.
Joby Aviation currently holds about 1.15 B in cash with (436.27 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.89.
Joby Aviation has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Roughly 34.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from fool.com: Bold Prediction Joby Aviation Is About to Soar. Heres Why.
Evaluating Joby Aviation's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Joby Aviation's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Joby Aviation's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Joby Aviation's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Joby Aviation's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Joby Aviation's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Joby Aviation's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Joby Aviation's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Joby Aviation's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Joby Aviation's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Joby Aviation's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for Joby Stock Analysis

When running Joby Aviation's price analysis, check to measure Joby Aviation's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Joby Aviation is operating at the current time. Most of Joby Aviation's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Joby Aviation's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Joby Aviation's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Joby Aviation to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.