JPMorgan Chase Preferred Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| JPM-PL Preferred Stock | USD 20.07 0.11 0.55% |
JPMorgan Preferred Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
As of now, The value of RSI of JPMorgan Chase's share price is at 59. This indicates that the preferred stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling JPMorgan Chase, making its price go up or down. Momentum 59
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using JPMorgan Chase hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of JPMorgan Chase Co from the perspective of JPMorgan Chase response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of JPMorgan Chase Co on the next trading day is expected to be 20.07 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.07 and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.56. JPMorgan Chase after-hype prediction price | USD 20.07 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as preferred stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
JPMorgan |
JPMorgan Chase Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine JPMorgan price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for JPMorgan using various technical indicators. When you analyze JPMorgan charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
JPMorgan Chase Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 21st of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of JPMorgan Chase Co on the next trading day is expected to be 20.07 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.07, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.56.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict JPMorgan Preferred Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that JPMorgan Chase's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
JPMorgan Chase Preferred Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest JPMorgan Chase | JPMorgan Chase Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
JPMorgan Chase Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting JPMorgan Chase's Preferred Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. JPMorgan Chase's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 19.60 and 20.54, respectively. We have considered JPMorgan Chase's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of JPMorgan Chase preferred stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent JPMorgan Chase preferred stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 113.3372 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0151 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0748 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0038 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 4.56 |
Predictive Modules for JPMorgan Chase
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as JPMorgan Chase. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the preferred stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the preferred stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.JPMorgan Chase After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of JPMorgan Chase at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in JPMorgan Chase or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Preferred Stock prices, such as prices of JPMorgan Chase, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
JPMorgan Chase Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting JPMorgan Chase's preferred stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on JPMorgan Chase's historical news coverage. JPMorgan Chase's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 19.60 and 20.54, respectively. We have considered JPMorgan Chase's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
JPMorgan Chase is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of JPMorgan Chase is based on 3 months time horizon.
JPMorgan Chase Preferred Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as JPMorgan Chase is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading JPMorgan Chase backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Preferred Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with JPMorgan Chase, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.07 | 0.47 | 0.04 | 0.03 | 16 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 16 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
20.07 | 20.07 | 0.00 |
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JPMorgan Chase Hype Timeline
JPMorgan Chase is currently traded for 20.07. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.04, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.03. JPMorgan is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 87.04%. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.07%. %. The volatility of related hype on JPMorgan Chase is about 106.82%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 20.04. About 21.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company recorded earning per share (EPS) of 13.48. JPMorgan Chase last dividend was issued on the 1st of August 2023. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next expected press release will be in about 16 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of JPMorgan Chase to cross-verify your projections.JPMorgan Chase Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to JPMorgan Chase's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict JPMorgan Chase's future price movements. Getting to know how JPMorgan Chase's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how JPMorgan Chase may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| WFC | Wells Fargo | 0.48 | 4 per month | 1.67 | (0) | 2.23 | (2.85) | 8.11 | |
| SMFG | Sumitomo Mitsui Financial | 0.11 | 9 per month | 1.22 | 0.26 | 2.99 | (2.39) | 11.75 | |
| TFC | Truist Financial Corp | (2.32) | 6 per month | 1.06 | 0.14 | 2.40 | (1.85) | 7.08 | |
| ALL | The Allstate | 3.73 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 2.32 | (2.97) | 8.07 | |
| MFC | Manulife Financial Corp | (0.46) | 8 per month | 1.34 | 0.03 | 1.96 | (2.11) | 7.69 | |
| MET | MetLife | (4.18) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 2.15 | (2.98) | 6.64 |
Other Forecasting Options for JPMorgan Chase
For every potential investor in JPMorgan, whether a beginner or expert, JPMorgan Chase's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. JPMorgan Preferred Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in JPMorgan. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying JPMorgan Chase's price trends.JPMorgan Chase Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with JPMorgan Chase preferred stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of JPMorgan Chase could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing JPMorgan Chase by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
JPMorgan Chase Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how JPMorgan Chase preferred stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading JPMorgan Chase shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying JPMorgan Chase preferred stock market strength indicators, traders can identify JPMorgan Chase Co entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 1068.1 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (1.00) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 20.04 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 20.05 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.02) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.11) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 59.14 |
JPMorgan Chase Risk Indicators
The analysis of JPMorgan Chase's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in JPMorgan Chase's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting jpmorgan preferred stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.3926 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.434 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.4914 | |||
| Variance | 0.2415 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.2352 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.1884 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.41) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for JPMorgan Chase
The number of cover stories for JPMorgan Chase depends on current market conditions and JPMorgan Chase's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that JPMorgan Chase is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about JPMorgan Chase's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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JPMorgan Chase Short Properties
JPMorgan Chase's future price predictability will typically decrease when JPMorgan Chase's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of JPMorgan Chase Co often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential JPMorgan Chase's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. JPMorgan Chase's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 3 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 773.1 B |
Other Information on Investing in JPMorgan Preferred Stock
JPMorgan Chase financial ratios help investors to determine whether JPMorgan Preferred Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in JPMorgan with respect to the benefits of owning JPMorgan Chase security.