Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Stock Price Prediction
| SMFG Stock | USD 14.69 0.04 0.27% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
53
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.525 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.0984 | Wall Street Target Price 16.464 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 0.1034 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.183 |
Using Sumitomo Mitsui hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Sumitomo Mitsui Financial from the perspective of Sumitomo Mitsui response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Sumitomo Mitsui using Sumitomo Mitsui's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Sumitomo using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Sumitomo Mitsui's stock price.
Sumitomo Mitsui Implied Volatility | 0.9 |
Sumitomo Mitsui's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Sumitomo Mitsui Financial stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Sumitomo Mitsui's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Sumitomo Mitsui stock will not fluctuate a lot when Sumitomo Mitsui's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Sumitomo Mitsui to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Sumitomo because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Sumitomo Mitsui after-hype prediction price | USD 14.7 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Sumitomo contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Sumitomo Mitsui Financial will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0563% per day over the life of the 2025-04-17 option contract. With Sumitomo Mitsui trading at USD 14.69, that is roughly USD 0.008263 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Sumitomo Mitsui's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Sumitomo Mitsui Financial options at the current volatility level of 0.9%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Sumitomo |
Sumitomo Mitsui After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Sumitomo Mitsui at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Sumitomo Mitsui or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Sumitomo Mitsui, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Sumitomo Mitsui Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Sumitomo Mitsui's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Sumitomo Mitsui's historical news coverage. Sumitomo Mitsui's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 12.90 and 16.50, respectively. We have considered Sumitomo Mitsui's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Sumitomo Mitsui is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Sumitomo Mitsui Financial is based on 3 months time horizon.
Sumitomo Mitsui Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Sumitomo Mitsui is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Sumitomo Mitsui backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Sumitomo Mitsui, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.25 | 1.80 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 10 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
14.69 | 14.70 | 0.07 |
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Sumitomo Mitsui Hype Timeline
Sumitomo Mitsui Financial is at this time traded for 14.69. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Sumitomo is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 14.7 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price rise on the next news is projected to be 0.07%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.25%. The volatility of related hype on Sumitomo Mitsui is about 39600.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 14.69. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 4.43 T. Net Income was 962.95 B with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 3.75 T. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Sumitomo Mitsui Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Sumitomo Mitsui Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Sumitomo Mitsui's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Sumitomo Mitsui's future price movements. Getting to know how Sumitomo Mitsui's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Sumitomo Mitsui may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BCS | Barclays PLC ADR | 0.01 | 10 per month | 1.65 | 0.1 | 3.35 | (2.63) | 10.17 | |
| MUFG | Mitsubishi UFJ Financial | 0.02 | 9 per month | 1.33 | 0.10 | 2.85 | (2.40) | 9.15 | |
| ING | ING Group NV | (0.06) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 1.68 | (2.16) | 6.28 | |
| HSBC | HSBC Holdings PLC | (0.23) | 9 per month | 0.89 | 0.19 | 1.55 | (1.46) | 6.87 | |
| NWG | Natwest Group PLC | 0.06 | 11 per month | 1.70 | 0.07 | 2.79 | (2.54) | 9.19 | |
| SAN | Banco Santander SA | 0.02 | 11 per month | 1.70 | (0.01) | 2.55 | (2.86) | 8.57 | |
| UBS | UBS Group AG | 0.23 | 8 per month | 1.56 | 0.04 | 2.68 | (2.65) | 8.46 | |
| JPM-PC | JPMorgan Chase Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.21 | (0.01) | 0.79 | (0.43) | 1.47 | |
| JPM-PD | JPMorgan Chase Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.39 | (0.02) | 0.93 | (0.77) | 2.65 | |
| BAC-PL | Bank of America | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 1.50 | (1.18) | 4.57 | |
| BAC-PB | Bank of America | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.18 | (0.01) | 0.56 | (0.40) | 1.31 |
Sumitomo Mitsui Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Sumitomo price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Sumitomo using various technical indicators. When you analyze Sumitomo charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
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| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
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| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Sumitomo Mitsui Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Sumitomo Mitsui stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Sumitomo Mitsui Financial, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Sumitomo Mitsui based on analysis of Sumitomo Mitsui hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Sumitomo Mitsui's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Sumitomo Mitsui's related companies. | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0417 | 0.0305 | 0.0274 | 0.0266 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.91 | 2.58 | 2.96 | 1.79 |
Story Coverage note for Sumitomo Mitsui
The number of cover stories for Sumitomo Mitsui depends on current market conditions and Sumitomo Mitsui's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Sumitomo Mitsui is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Sumitomo Mitsui's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Sumitomo Mitsui Short Properties
Sumitomo Mitsui's future price predictability will typically decrease when Sumitomo Mitsui's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Sumitomo Mitsui Financial often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Sumitomo Mitsui's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sumitomo Mitsui's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 4 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 117.9 T |
Complementary Tools for Sumitomo Stock analysis
When running Sumitomo Mitsui's price analysis, check to measure Sumitomo Mitsui's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Sumitomo Mitsui is operating at the current time. Most of Sumitomo Mitsui's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Sumitomo Mitsui's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Sumitomo Mitsui's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Sumitomo Mitsui to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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