Lixil Group Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

JSGRY Stock  USD 22.86  0.06  0.26%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Lixil Group Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 22.86 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.19 and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.70. Lixil Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Lixil Group simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Lixil Group Corp are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Lixil Group Corp prices get older.

Lixil Group Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 29th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Lixil Group Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 22.86 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.19, mean absolute percentage error of 0.09, and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.70.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Lixil Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Lixil Group's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Lixil Group Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Lixil Group Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Lixil Group's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Lixil Group's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 21.54 and 24.18, respectively. We have considered Lixil Group's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
22.86
22.86
Expected Value
24.18
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Lixil Group pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Lixil Group pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria113.8707
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0173
MADMean absolute deviation0.195
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0085
SAESum of the absolute errors11.7
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Lixil Group Corp forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Lixil Group observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Lixil Group

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lixil Group Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
21.5422.8624.18
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
19.0220.3425.15
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
21.3922.5723.74
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Lixil Group

For every potential investor in Lixil, whether a beginner or expert, Lixil Group's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Lixil Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Lixil. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Lixil Group's price trends.

Lixil Group Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Lixil Group pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Lixil Group could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Lixil Group by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Lixil Group Corp Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Lixil Group's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Lixil Group's current price.

Lixil Group Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Lixil Group pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Lixil Group shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Lixil Group pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Lixil Group Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Lixil Group Risk Indicators

The analysis of Lixil Group's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Lixil Group's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting lixil pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Lixil Pink Sheet Analysis

When running Lixil Group's price analysis, check to measure Lixil Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Lixil Group is operating at the current time. Most of Lixil Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Lixil Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Lixil Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Lixil Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.