JS Investments Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average
| JSIL Stock | 42.43 2.86 6.31% |
JSIL Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast JS Investments stock prices and determine the direction of JS Investments's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of JS Investments' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of today, the value of RSI of JS Investments' share price is approaching 48. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling JS Investments, making its price go up or down. Momentum 48
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using JS Investments hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of JS Investments from the perspective of JS Investments response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of JS Investments on the next trading day is expected to be 42.43 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.06 and the sum of the absolute errors of 63.73. JS Investments after-hype prediction price | PKR 42.43 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
JSIL |
JS Investments Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine JSIL price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for JSIL using various technical indicators. When you analyze JSIL charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
JS Investments Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 28th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of JS Investments on the next trading day is expected to be 42.43 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.06, mean absolute percentage error of 1.85, and the sum of the absolute errors of 63.73.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict JSIL Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that JS Investments' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
JS Investments Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest JS Investments | JS Investments Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
JS Investments Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting JS Investments' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. JS Investments' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 38.59 and 46.27, respectively. We have considered JS Investments' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of JS Investments stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent JS Investments stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.888 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0163 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.0622 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0247 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 63.73 |
Predictive Modules for JS Investments
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as JS Investments. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.JS Investments After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of JS Investments at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in JS Investments or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of JS Investments, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
JS Investments Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting JS Investments' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on JS Investments' historical news coverage. JS Investments' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 38.62 and 46.24, respectively. We have considered JS Investments' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
JS Investments is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of JS Investments is based on 3 months time horizon.
JS Investments Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as JS Investments is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading JS Investments backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with JS Investments, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.06 | 3.84 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
42.43 | 42.43 | 0.00 |
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JS Investments Hype Timeline
JS Investments is currently traded for 42.43on Karachi Stock Exchange of Pakistan. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. JSIL is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.06%. %. The volatility of related hype on JS Investments is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 42.43. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be uncertain. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of JS Investments to cross-verify your projections.JS Investments Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to JS Investments' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict JS Investments' future price movements. Getting to know how JS Investments' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how JS Investments may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| DAAG | Data Agro | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 2.79 | (2.89) | 11.67 | |
| FFL-CJAN | Fauji Foods | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.97 | 0.15 | 6.60 | (2.17) | 11.71 | |
| SIBL | Security Investment Bank | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 5.47 | (5.73) | 13.16 | |
| EPCL | Engro Polymer Chemicals | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.64 | 0.04 | 4.40 | (2.33) | 14.10 | |
| NATF-CJAN | National Foods | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.90 | 0.01 | 2.73 | (1.90) | 9.14 | |
| HTL | Hi Tech Lubricants | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.36 | (0.01) | 4.12 | (3.70) | 15.05 | |
| AIRLINK | Air Link Communication | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.69 | 0.05 | 3.80 | (2.54) | 16.94 | |
| FSWL | Fateh Sports Wear | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.06 | (0.01) | 8.70 | (7.92) | 19.67 |
Other Forecasting Options for JS Investments
For every potential investor in JSIL, whether a beginner or expert, JS Investments' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. JSIL Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in JSIL. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying JS Investments' price trends.JS Investments Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with JS Investments stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of JS Investments could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing JS Investments by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
JS Investments Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how JS Investments stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading JS Investments shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying JS Investments stock market strength indicators, traders can identify JS Investments entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
JS Investments Risk Indicators
The analysis of JS Investments' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in JS Investments' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting jsil stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.97 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 3.27 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.95 | |||
| Variance | 15.63 | |||
| Downside Variance | 15.04 | |||
| Semi Variance | 10.72 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (3.51) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for JS Investments
The number of cover stories for JS Investments depends on current market conditions and JS Investments' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that JS Investments is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about JS Investments' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in JSIL Stock
JS Investments financial ratios help investors to determine whether JSIL Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in JSIL with respect to the benefits of owning JS Investments security.