JSW Steel Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| JSWSTEEL | 966.00 11.85 1.24% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of JSW Steel Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 965.77 with a mean absolute deviation of 11.54 and the sum of the absolute errors of 692.51. JSW Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast JSW Steel stock prices and determine the direction of JSW Steel Limited's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of JSW Steel's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
JSW |
JSW Steel Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 2nd of December
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of JSW Steel Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 965.77 with a mean absolute deviation of 11.54, mean absolute percentage error of 213.84, and the sum of the absolute errors of 692.51.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict JSW Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that JSW Steel's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
JSW Steel Stock Forecast Pattern
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JSW Steel Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting JSW Steel's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. JSW Steel's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 964.26 and 967.29, respectively. We have considered JSW Steel's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of JSW Steel stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent JSW Steel stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 121.6378 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.6433 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 11.5419 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0118 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 692.5112 |
Predictive Modules for JSW Steel
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as JSW Steel Limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of JSW Steel's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for JSW Steel
For every potential investor in JSW, whether a beginner or expert, JSW Steel's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. JSW Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in JSW. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying JSW Steel's price trends.JSW Steel Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with JSW Steel stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of JSW Steel could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing JSW Steel by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
JSW Steel Limited Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of JSW Steel's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of JSW Steel's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
JSW Steel Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how JSW Steel stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading JSW Steel shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying JSW Steel stock market strength indicators, traders can identify JSW Steel Limited entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
JSW Steel Risk Indicators
The analysis of JSW Steel's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in JSW Steel's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting jsw stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.14 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.2 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.48 | |||
| Variance | 2.2 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.58 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.45 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.26) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Other Information on Investing in JSW Stock
JSW Steel financial ratios help investors to determine whether JSW Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in JSW with respect to the benefits of owning JSW Steel security.