Jackson Financial Stock Forecast - 20 Period Moving Average
| JXN Stock | USD 98.89 0.35 0.36% |
The 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Jackson Financial on the next trading day is expected to be 103.26 with a mean absolute deviation of 5.34 and the sum of the absolute errors of 219.01. Jackson Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Jackson Financial's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Jackson Financial's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Jackson Financial fundamentals over time.
Jackson |
Jackson Financial 20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 23rd of November
Given 90 days horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Jackson Financial on the next trading day is expected to be 103.26 with a mean absolute deviation of 5.34, mean absolute percentage error of 38.19, and the sum of the absolute errors of 219.01.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Jackson Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Jackson Financial's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Jackson Financial Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Jackson Financial | Jackson Financial Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Jackson Financial Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Jackson Financial's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Jackson Financial's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 100.55 and 105.97, respectively. We have considered Jackson Financial's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 20 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Jackson Financial stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Jackson Financial stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 84.9957 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -4.0848 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 5.3416 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0529 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 219.0065 |
Predictive Modules for Jackson Financial
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Jackson Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Jackson Financial's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for Jackson Financial
For every potential investor in Jackson, whether a beginner or expert, Jackson Financial's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Jackson Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Jackson. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Jackson Financial's price trends.Jackson Financial Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Jackson Financial stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Jackson Financial could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Jackson Financial by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Jackson Financial Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Jackson Financial's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Jackson Financial's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Jackson Financial Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Jackson Financial stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Jackson Financial shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Jackson Financial stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Jackson Financial entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Jackson Financial Risk Indicators
The analysis of Jackson Financial's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Jackson Financial's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting jackson stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.78 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.18 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.71 | |||
| Variance | 7.34 | |||
| Downside Variance | 5.86 | |||
| Semi Variance | 4.76 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.84) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Pair Trading with Jackson Financial
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Jackson Financial position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Jackson Financial will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with Jackson Stock
| 0.71 | DIST | Distoken Acquisition | PairCorr |
| 0.82 | AB | AllianceBernstein | PairCorr |
| 0.84 | AC | Associated Capital | PairCorr |
Moving against Jackson Stock
| 0.73 | RC | Ready Capital Corp | PairCorr |
| 0.72 | PT | Pintec Technology | PairCorr |
| 0.56 | RM | Regional Management Corp | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Jackson Financial could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Jackson Financial when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Jackson Financial - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Jackson Financial to buy it.
The correlation of Jackson Financial is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Jackson Financial moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Jackson Financial moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Jackson Financial can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Jackson Financial to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Jackson Stock, please use our How to Invest in Jackson Financial guide.You can also try the Headlines Timeline module to stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. Drill down to analyze hype elasticity.
Is Diversified Financial Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Jackson Financial. If investors know Jackson will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Jackson Financial listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.76) | Dividend Share 2.72 | Earnings Share (11.55) | Revenue Per Share 51.678 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.18) |
The market value of Jackson Financial is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Jackson that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Jackson Financial's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Jackson Financial's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Jackson Financial's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Jackson Financial's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Jackson Financial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Jackson Financial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Jackson Financial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.