Jiuzi Holdings Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average

JZXN Stock  USD 1.36  0.02  1.49%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Jiuzi Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 1.36 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.07 and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.88. Jiuzi Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Jiuzi Holdings' naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Jiuzi Holdings' systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Jiuzi Holdings fundamentals over time.
  
At this time, Jiuzi Holdings' Inventory Turnover is very stable compared to the past year. As of the 26th of November 2024, Payables Turnover is likely to grow to 873.60, while Receivables Turnover is likely to drop 0.96. . As of the 26th of November 2024, Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to grow to about 4.9 M, though Net Loss is likely to grow to (14.4 M).
A two period moving average forecast for Jiuzi Holdings is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Jiuzi Holdings Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 27th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Jiuzi Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 1.36 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.07, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.88.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Jiuzi Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Jiuzi Holdings' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Jiuzi Holdings Stock Forecast Pattern

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Jiuzi Holdings Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Jiuzi Holdings' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Jiuzi Holdings' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 6.80, respectively. We have considered Jiuzi Holdings' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
1.36
1.36
Expected Value
6.80
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Jiuzi Holdings stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Jiuzi Holdings stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria109.3832
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.007
MADMean absolute deviation0.0658
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0454
SAESum of the absolute errors3.885
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Jiuzi Holdings price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Jiuzi Holdings. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Jiuzi Holdings

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Jiuzi Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Jiuzi Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.071.316.79
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.061.166.64
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Jiuzi Holdings

For every potential investor in Jiuzi, whether a beginner or expert, Jiuzi Holdings' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Jiuzi Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Jiuzi. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Jiuzi Holdings' price trends.

Jiuzi Holdings Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Jiuzi Holdings stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Jiuzi Holdings could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Jiuzi Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Jiuzi Holdings Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Jiuzi Holdings' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Jiuzi Holdings' current price.

Jiuzi Holdings Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Jiuzi Holdings stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Jiuzi Holdings shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Jiuzi Holdings stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Jiuzi Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Jiuzi Holdings Risk Indicators

The analysis of Jiuzi Holdings' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Jiuzi Holdings' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting jiuzi stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with Jiuzi Holdings

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Jiuzi Holdings position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Jiuzi Holdings will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Jiuzi Holdings could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Jiuzi Holdings when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Jiuzi Holdings - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Jiuzi Holdings to buy it.
The correlation of Jiuzi Holdings is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Jiuzi Holdings moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Jiuzi Holdings moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Jiuzi Holdings can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
When determining whether Jiuzi Holdings offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Jiuzi Holdings' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Jiuzi Holdings Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Jiuzi Holdings Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Jiuzi Holdings to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in Jiuzi Stock, please use our How to Invest in Jiuzi Holdings guide.
You can also try the Portfolio Center module to all portfolio management and optimization tools to improve performance of your portfolios.
Is Automotive Retail space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Jiuzi Holdings. If investors know Jiuzi will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Jiuzi Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.872
Earnings Share
10.09
Revenue Per Share
1.396
Quarterly Revenue Growth
2.71
Return On Assets
(0.36)
The market value of Jiuzi Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Jiuzi that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Jiuzi Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Jiuzi Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Jiuzi Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Jiuzi Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Jiuzi Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Jiuzi Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Jiuzi Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.