Kalleback Property Stock Forward View - Simple Regression

KAPIAB Stock  SEK 202.00  2.00  1.00%   
Kalleback Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Kalleback Property stock prices and determine the direction of Kalleback Property Invest's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Kalleback Property's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At this time, the value of RSI of Kalleback Property's share price is approaching 43. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Kalleback Property, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 43

 Sell Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Kalleback Property's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Kalleback Property Invest, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Kalleback Property hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Kalleback Property Invest from the perspective of Kalleback Property response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Kalleback Property Invest on the next trading day is expected to be 204.03 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.62 and the sum of the absolute errors of 159.56.

Kalleback Property after-hype prediction price

    
  SEK 202.0  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Kalleback Property to cross-verify your projections.

Kalleback Property Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Kalleback price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Kalleback using various technical indicators. When you analyze Kalleback charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Kalleback Property price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Kalleback Property Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 24th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Kalleback Property Invest on the next trading day is expected to be 204.03 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.62, mean absolute percentage error of 9.51, and the sum of the absolute errors of 159.56.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Kalleback Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Kalleback Property's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Kalleback Property Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Kalleback Property  Kalleback Property Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Kalleback Property Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Kalleback Property's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Kalleback Property's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 203.27 and 204.79, respectively. We have considered Kalleback Property's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
202.00
203.27
Downside
204.03
Expected Value
204.79
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Kalleback Property stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Kalleback Property stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria120.3629
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation2.6157
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0129
SAESum of the absolute errors159.56
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Kalleback Property Invest historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Kalleback Property

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kalleback Property Invest. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
201.24202.00202.76
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
201.77202.53203.29
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
174.60200.60226.60
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Kalleback Property. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Kalleback Property's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Kalleback Property's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Kalleback Property Invest.

Kalleback Property After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Kalleback Property at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Kalleback Property or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Kalleback Property, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Kalleback Property Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Kalleback Property's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Kalleback Property's historical news coverage. Kalleback Property's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 201.24 and 202.76, respectively. We have considered Kalleback Property's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
202.00
201.24
Downside
202.00
After-hype Price
202.76
Upside
Kalleback Property is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Kalleback Property Invest is based on 3 months time horizon.

Kalleback Property Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Kalleback Property is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Kalleback Property backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Kalleback Property, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.04 
0.76
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Uncertain
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
202.00
202.00
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Kalleback Property Hype Timeline

Kalleback Property Invest is now traded for 202.00on Stockholm Exchange of Sweden. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Kalleback is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.04%. %. The volatility of related hype on Kalleback Property is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 202.00. About 32.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.22. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Kalleback Property Invest recorded earning per share (EPS) of 34.95. The entity last dividend was issued on the 30th of March 2023. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next projected press release will be uncertain.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Kalleback Property to cross-verify your projections.

Kalleback Property Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Kalleback Property's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Kalleback Property's future price movements. Getting to know how Kalleback Property's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Kalleback Property may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Other Forecasting Options for Kalleback Property

For every potential investor in Kalleback, whether a beginner or expert, Kalleback Property's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Kalleback Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Kalleback. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Kalleback Property's price trends.

Kalleback Property Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Kalleback Property stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Kalleback Property could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Kalleback Property by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Kalleback Property Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Kalleback Property stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Kalleback Property shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Kalleback Property stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Kalleback Property Invest entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Kalleback Property Risk Indicators

The analysis of Kalleback Property's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Kalleback Property's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting kalleback stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Kalleback Property

The number of cover stories for Kalleback Property depends on current market conditions and Kalleback Property's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Kalleback Property is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Kalleback Property's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Kalleback Property Short Properties

Kalleback Property's future price predictability will typically decrease when Kalleback Property's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Kalleback Property Invest often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Kalleback Property's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Kalleback Property's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding3.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments71.5 M

Other Information on Investing in Kalleback Stock

Kalleback Property financial ratios help investors to determine whether Kalleback Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Kalleback with respect to the benefits of owning Kalleback Property security.