KB Financial Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

KB Stock  USD 69.13  1.21  1.78%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of KB Financial Group on the next trading day is expected to be 70.21 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.11 and the sum of the absolute errors of 67.66. KB Financial Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast KB Financial stock prices and determine the direction of KB Financial Group's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of KB Financial's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
The current year's Fixed Asset Turnover is expected to grow to 4.51, whereas Payables Turnover is forecasted to decline to (1.7 K). . The current year's Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is expected to grow to about 5.3 T, whereas Common Stock Shares Outstanding is forecasted to decline to about 380.2 M.

KB Financial Cash Forecast

Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the KB Financial's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2000-12-31
Previous Quarter
31.1 T
Current Value
26.2 T
Quarterly Volatility
10.5 T
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for KB Financial is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of KB Financial Group value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

KB Financial Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 22nd of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of KB Financial Group on the next trading day is expected to be 70.21 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.11, mean absolute percentage error of 2.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 67.66.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict KB Financial Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that KB Financial's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

KB Financial Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest KB FinancialKB Financial Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

KB Financial Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting KB Financial's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. KB Financial's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 67.77 and 72.65, respectively. We have considered KB Financial's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
69.13
70.21
Expected Value
72.65
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of KB Financial stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent KB Financial stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria118.8068
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation1.1092
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0172
SAESum of the absolute errors67.6639
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of KB Financial Group. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict KB Financial. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for KB Financial

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as KB Financial Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
66.7469.1871.62
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
56.2158.6576.04
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
63.2066.1069.00
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
45.5050.0055.50
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as KB Financial. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against KB Financial's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, KB Financial's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in KB Financial Group.

Other Forecasting Options for KB Financial

For every potential investor in KB Financial, whether a beginner or expert, KB Financial's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. KB Financial Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in KB Financial. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying KB Financial's price trends.

KB Financial Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with KB Financial stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of KB Financial could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing KB Financial by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

KB Financial Group Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of KB Financial's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of KB Financial's current price.

KB Financial Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how KB Financial stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading KB Financial shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying KB Financial stock market strength indicators, traders can identify KB Financial Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

KB Financial Risk Indicators

The analysis of KB Financial's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in KB Financial's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting kb financial stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of KB Financial to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Content Syndication module to quickly integrate customizable finance content to your own investment portal.
Is Diversified Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of KB Financial. If investors know KB Financial will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about KB Financial listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.185
Earnings Share
8.31
Revenue Per Share
8.9 K
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.069
Return On Assets
0.006
The market value of KB Financial Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of KB Financial that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of KB Financial's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is KB Financial's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because KB Financial's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect KB Financial's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between KB Financial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if KB Financial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, KB Financial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.