Kayne Anderson Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression
| KBDC Stock | 14.55 0.11 0.75% |
Kayne Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Kayne Anderson stock prices and determine the direction of Kayne Anderson BDC's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Kayne Anderson's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, The relative strength index (RSI) of Kayne Anderson's share price is at 50. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Kayne Anderson, making its price go up or down. Momentum 50
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.394 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.6515 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.581 | Wall Street Target Price 15.5 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 0.3951 |
Using Kayne Anderson hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Kayne Anderson BDC from the perspective of Kayne Anderson response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Kayne Anderson BDC on the next trading day is expected to be 14.70 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.21 and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.68. Kayne Anderson after-hype prediction price | USD 14.56 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Kayne Anderson to cross-verify your projections. Kayne Anderson Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Kayne price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Kayne using various technical indicators. When you analyze Kayne charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Kayne Anderson Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 27th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Kayne Anderson BDC on the next trading day is expected to be 14.70 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.21, mean absolute percentage error of 0.06, and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.68.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Kayne Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Kayne Anderson's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Kayne Anderson Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Kayne Anderson | Kayne Anderson Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Kayne Anderson Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Kayne Anderson's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Kayne Anderson's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 13.34 and 16.05, respectively. We have considered Kayne Anderson's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Kayne Anderson stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Kayne Anderson stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.3295 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2079 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0143 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 12.6838 |
Predictive Modules for Kayne Anderson
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kayne Anderson BDC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Kayne Anderson's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Kayne Anderson After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Kayne Anderson at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Kayne Anderson or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Kayne Anderson, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Kayne Anderson Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Kayne Anderson's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Kayne Anderson's historical news coverage. Kayne Anderson's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 13.22 and 15.90, respectively. We have considered Kayne Anderson's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Kayne Anderson is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Kayne Anderson BDC is based on 3 months time horizon.
Kayne Anderson Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Kayne Anderson is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Kayne Anderson backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Kayne Anderson, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.06 | 1.36 | 0.01 | 0.03 | 7 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
14.55 | 14.56 | 0.07 |
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Kayne Anderson Hype Timeline
Kayne Anderson BDC is now traded for 14.55. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.03. Kayne is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 14.56 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.07%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.06%. The volatility of related hype on Kayne Anderson is about 269.6%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 14.58. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 181.56 M. Net Income was 131.94 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Kayne Anderson to cross-verify your projections.Kayne Anderson Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Kayne Anderson's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Kayne Anderson's future price movements. Getting to know how Kayne Anderson's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Kayne Anderson may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BAC | Bank of America | (0.10) | 6 per month | 1.35 | (0.06) | 1.68 | (2.16) | 5.64 | |
| VCV | Invesco California Value | 0.16 | 8 per month | 0.78 | (0.01) | 1.53 | (1.55) | 3.42 | |
| MRK | Merck Company | 1.34 | 7 per month | 1.09 | 0.17 | 3.59 | (1.98) | 8.09 | |
| AA | Alcoa Corp | 2.39 | 7 per month | 2.42 | 0.19 | 6.55 | (4.82) | 18.46 | |
| KOS | Kosmos Energy | (0.01) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 10.27 | (5.99) | 25.11 | |
| GGG | Graco Inc | 1.63 | 6 per month | 1.19 | 0.01 | 2.46 | (1.90) | 6.74 | |
| NSSC | NAPCO Security Technologies | (0.61) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 3.98 | (4.00) | 14.26 | |
| SRTOY | Sartorius Stedim Biotech | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.97 | (0.01) | 2.92 | (3.28) | 14.94 | |
| KNX | Knight Transportation | (0.26) | 9 per month | 1.86 | 0.1 | 3.84 | (2.96) | 8.76 |
Other Forecasting Options for Kayne Anderson
For every potential investor in Kayne, whether a beginner or expert, Kayne Anderson's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Kayne Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Kayne. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Kayne Anderson's price trends.Kayne Anderson Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Kayne Anderson stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Kayne Anderson could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Kayne Anderson by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Kayne Anderson Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Kayne Anderson stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Kayne Anderson shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Kayne Anderson stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Kayne Anderson BDC entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Kayne Anderson Risk Indicators
The analysis of Kayne Anderson's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Kayne Anderson's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting kayne stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.02 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.12 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.35 | |||
| Variance | 1.82 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.57 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.26 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.14) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Kayne Anderson
The number of cover stories for Kayne Anderson depends on current market conditions and Kayne Anderson's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Kayne Anderson is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Kayne Anderson's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Kayne Anderson Short Properties
Kayne Anderson's future price predictability will typically decrease when Kayne Anderson's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Kayne Anderson BDC often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Kayne Anderson's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Kayne Anderson's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 63.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 22.4 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Kayne Anderson to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Sync Your Broker module to sync your existing holdings, watchlists, positions or portfolios from thousands of online brokerage services, banks, investment account aggregators and robo-advisors..
Is Asset Management & Custody Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Kayne Anderson. If investors know Kayne will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Kayne Anderson listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share 1.51 |
The market value of Kayne Anderson BDC is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Kayne that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Kayne Anderson's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Kayne Anderson's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Kayne Anderson's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Kayne Anderson's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Kayne Anderson's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Kayne Anderson is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Kayne Anderson's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.