Kingsgate Consolidated Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression
| KCN Stock | 1.43 0.02 1.42% |
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Kingsgate Consolidated on the next trading day is expected to be 1.33 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.08 and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.73. Kingsgate Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
Kingsgate |
Kingsgate Consolidated Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 2nd of December
Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Kingsgate Consolidated on the next trading day is expected to be 1.33 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.08, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.73.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Kingsgate Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Kingsgate Consolidated's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Kingsgate Consolidated Stock Forecast Pattern
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Kingsgate Consolidated Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Kingsgate Consolidated's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Kingsgate Consolidated's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 4.93, respectively. We have considered Kingsgate Consolidated's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Kingsgate Consolidated stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Kingsgate Consolidated stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 113.3665 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0776 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0552 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 4.7325 |
Predictive Modules for Kingsgate Consolidated
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kingsgate Consolidated. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Kingsgate Consolidated
For every potential investor in Kingsgate, whether a beginner or expert, Kingsgate Consolidated's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Kingsgate Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Kingsgate. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Kingsgate Consolidated's price trends.Kingsgate Consolidated Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Kingsgate Consolidated stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Kingsgate Consolidated could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Kingsgate Consolidated by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Kingsgate Consolidated Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Kingsgate Consolidated's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Kingsgate Consolidated's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
Kingsgate Consolidated Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Kingsgate Consolidated stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Kingsgate Consolidated shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Kingsgate Consolidated stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Kingsgate Consolidated entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Kingsgate Consolidated Risk Indicators
The analysis of Kingsgate Consolidated's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Kingsgate Consolidated's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting kingsgate stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.67 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 3.09 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.62 | |||
| Variance | 13.11 | |||
| Downside Variance | 13.16 | |||
| Semi Variance | 9.52 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (3.44) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Additional Tools for Kingsgate Stock Analysis
When running Kingsgate Consolidated's price analysis, check to measure Kingsgate Consolidated's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Kingsgate Consolidated is operating at the current time. Most of Kingsgate Consolidated's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Kingsgate Consolidated's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Kingsgate Consolidated's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Kingsgate Consolidated to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.