Kelly Services Stock Forward View - Simple Regression
| KELYB Stock | USD 13.59 0.33 2.37% |
Kelly Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Kelly Services stock prices and determine the direction of Kelly Services B's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Kelly Services' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The relative strength index (RSI) of Kelly Services' share price is above 70 at the present time. This indicates that the stock is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling Kelly, making its price go up or down. Momentum 78
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 3.333 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.12) |
Using Kelly Services hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Kelly Services B from the perspective of Kelly Services response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Kelly Services B on the next trading day is expected to be 17.20 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.87 and the sum of the absolute errors of 113.81. Kelly Services after-hype prediction price | USD 10.69 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Kelly Services to cross-verify your projections. Kelly Services Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Kelly price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Kelly using various technical indicators. When you analyze Kelly charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Kelly Services Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 21st of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Kelly Services B on the next trading day is expected to be 17.20 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.87, mean absolute percentage error of 12.24, and the sum of the absolute errors of 113.81.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Kelly Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Kelly Services' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Kelly Services Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Kelly Services | Kelly Services Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Kelly Services Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Kelly Services' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Kelly Services' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.14 and 51.02, respectively. We have considered Kelly Services' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Kelly Services stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Kelly Services stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 120.6153 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.8657 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.1473 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 113.8062 |
Predictive Modules for Kelly Services
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kelly Services B. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Kelly Services' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Kelly Services After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Kelly Services at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Kelly Services or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Kelly Services, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Kelly Services Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Kelly Services' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Kelly Services' historical news coverage. Kelly Services' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.53 and 44.52, respectively. We have considered Kelly Services' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Kelly Services is dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Kelly Services B is based on 3 months time horizon.
Kelly Services Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Kelly Services is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Kelly Services backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Kelly Services, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
3.31 | 33.83 | 5.92 | 0.21 | 9 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
13.59 | 10.69 | 23.20 |
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Kelly Services Hype Timeline
Kelly Services B is now traded for 13.59. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -5.92, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.21. Kelly is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 10.69. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price reduction on the next news is expected to be -23.2%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 3.31%. The volatility of related hype on Kelly Services is about 54564.52%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 13.80. About 94.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.6. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Kelly Services B has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.78. The entity recorded a loss per share of 6.68. The firm last dividend was issued on the 25th of February 2026. Kelly Services had 5:4 split on the 14th of June 1993. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Kelly Services to cross-verify your projections.Kelly Services Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Kelly Services' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Kelly Services' future price movements. Getting to know how Kelly Services' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Kelly Services may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ZIP | Ziprecruiter | 0.07 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.24) | 6.64 | (8.57) | 19.52 | |
| KFRC | Kforce Inc | 0.98 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 3.73 | (4.63) | 16.78 | |
| MTRX | Matrix Service Co | (0.90) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 3.48 | (4.06) | 21.48 | |
| SRTA | Strata Critical Medical | 0.23 | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 6.22 | (6.18) | 23.54 | |
| SWBI | Smith Wesson Brands | 0.17 | 8 per month | 0.91 | 0.16 | 4.08 | (2.32) | 25.97 | |
| BW | Babcock Wilcox Enterprises | (0.55) | 9 per month | 5.59 | 0.11 | 10.72 | (8.36) | 45.75 | |
| PKE | Park Electrochemical | (0.71) | 7 per month | 1.41 | 0.17 | 4.71 | (2.80) | 13.02 | |
| TITN | Titan Machinery | 0.23 | 13 per month | 2.38 | 0.09 | 4.97 | (4.59) | 27.01 | |
| ULH | Universal Logistics Holdings | 1.16 | 6 per month | 3.95 | 0.06 | 9.11 | (6.63) | 21.53 | |
| EVTL | Vertical Aerospace | (0.06) | 11 per month | 5.40 | 0.05 | 9.51 | (7.78) | 32.52 |
Other Forecasting Options for Kelly Services
For every potential investor in Kelly, whether a beginner or expert, Kelly Services' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Kelly Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Kelly. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Kelly Services' price trends.Kelly Services Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Kelly Services stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Kelly Services could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Kelly Services by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Kelly Services Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Kelly Services stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Kelly Services shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Kelly Services stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Kelly Services B entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.98 | |||
| Day Median Price | 13.59 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 13.59 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.17) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.33) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 78.65 |
Kelly Services Risk Indicators
The analysis of Kelly Services' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Kelly Services' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting kelly stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 9.08 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 7.32 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 31.97 | |||
| Variance | 1022.31 | |||
| Downside Variance | 206.59 | |||
| Semi Variance | 53.53 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (19.78) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Kelly Services
The number of cover stories for Kelly Services depends on current market conditions and Kelly Services' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Kelly Services is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Kelly Services' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Kelly Services Short Properties
Kelly Services' future price predictability will typically decrease when Kelly Services' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Kelly Services B often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Kelly Services' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Kelly Services' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 35.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 33 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Kelly Services to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Idea Breakdown module to analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes.
Is Human Resource & Employment Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Kelly Services. Expected growth trajectory for Kelly significantly influences the price investors are willing to assign. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Kelly Services assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 3.333 | Dividend Share 0.3 | Earnings Share (6.68) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.12) |
The market value of Kelly Services B is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Kelly that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Kelly Services' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Kelly Services' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Kelly Services' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Kelly Services' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Understanding that Kelly Services' value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Kelly Services represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Meanwhile, Kelly Services' quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.