Korea Electric Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| KEP Stock | USD 21.39 0.28 1.29% |
Korea Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Korea Electric's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Korea Electric's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Korea Electric fundamentals over time.
The relative strength index (RSI) of Korea Electric's stock price is slightly above 62. This indicates that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of today. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Korea, making its price go up or down. Momentum 62
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.031 | EPS Estimate Current Year 5.0288 | EPS Estimate Next Year 5.9961 | Wall Street Target Price 20 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.056 |
Using Korea Electric hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Korea Electric Power from the perspective of Korea Electric response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Korea Electric using Korea Electric's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Korea using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Korea Electric's stock price.
Korea Electric Short Interest
An investor who is long Korea Electric may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Korea Electric and may potentially protect profits, hedge Korea Electric with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 13.8852 | Short Percent 0.0014 | Short Ratio 1.58 | Shares Short Prior Month 786.8 K | 50 Day MA 17.8032 |
Korea Relative Strength Index
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Korea Electric Power on the next trading day is expected to be 21.39 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.42 and the sum of the absolute errors of 24.95.Korea Electric Power Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Korea Electric's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Korea. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Korea can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Korea Electric Power. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Korea Electric's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Korea Electric.
Korea Electric Implied Volatility | 1.48 |
Korea Electric's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Korea Electric Power stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Korea Electric's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Korea Electric stock will not fluctuate a lot when Korea Electric's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Korea Electric Power on the next trading day is expected to be 21.39 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.42 and the sum of the absolute errors of 24.95. Korea Electric after-hype prediction price | USD 21.44 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Korea Electric to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Korea contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Korea Electric Power will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0925% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Korea Electric trading at USD 21.39, that is roughly USD 0.0198 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Korea Electric's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Korea Electric Power options at the current volatility level of 1.48%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Korea Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Korea Electric's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Korea Electric's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Korea Electric stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Korea Electric's open interest, investors have to compare it to Korea Electric's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Korea Electric is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Korea. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Korea Electric Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Korea price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Korea using various technical indicators. When you analyze Korea charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Korea Electric Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 31st of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Korea Electric Power on the next trading day is expected to be 21.39 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.42, mean absolute percentage error of 0.38, and the sum of the absolute errors of 24.95.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Korea Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Korea Electric's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Korea Electric Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Korea Electric | Korea Electric Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Korea Electric Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Korea Electric's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Korea Electric's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 18.12 and 24.66, respectively. We have considered Korea Electric's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Korea Electric stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Korea Electric stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.2923 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0905 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.4158 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0227 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 24.95 |
Predictive Modules for Korea Electric
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Korea Electric Power. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Korea Electric's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Korea Electric After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Korea Electric at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Korea Electric or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Korea Electric, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Korea Electric Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Korea Electric's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Korea Electric's historical news coverage. Korea Electric's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 18.17 and 24.71, respectively. We have considered Korea Electric's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Korea Electric is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Korea Electric Power is based on 3 months time horizon.
Korea Electric Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Korea Electric is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Korea Electric backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Korea Electric, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.53 | 3.27 | 0.05 | 0.03 | 9 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
21.39 | 21.44 | 0.23 |
|
Korea Electric Hype Timeline
On the 30th of January Korea Electric Power is traded for 21.39. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.05, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.03. Korea is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 21.44 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price gain on the next news is projected to be 0.23%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.53%. The volatility of related hype on Korea Electric is about 6673.47%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 21.36. The company reported the last year's revenue of 93.4 T. Total Income to common stockholders was 3.49 T with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 16.9 T. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Korea Electric to cross-verify your projections.Korea Electric Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Korea Electric's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Korea Electric's future price movements. Getting to know how Korea Electric's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Korea Electric may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| LNT | Alliant Energy Corp | 0.36 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 1.19 | (1.38) | 4.27 | |
| EVRG | Evergy | (0.51) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 1.19 | (1.31) | 4.29 | |
| AQNB | Algonquin Power Utilities | (0.01) | 8 per month | 0.08 | (0.09) | 0.40 | (0.32) | 1.36 | |
| EBR | Centrais Electricas Brasileiras | (0.02) | 5 per month | 4.49 | 0.09 | 2.80 | (3.23) | 32.39 | |
| EIX | Edison International | (0.08) | 7 per month | 1.39 | 0.06 | 1.97 | (1.80) | 6.38 | |
| EMA | Emera Incorporated | 0.33 | 9 per month | 0.78 | (0.02) | 1.35 | (1.21) | 4.23 | |
| SBS | Companhia de Saneamento | (0.18) | 8 per month | 1.91 | 0.06 | 3.76 | (4.23) | 10.23 | |
| EBR-B | Centrais Eltricas Brasileiras | 0.1 | 8 per month | 4.47 | 0.1 | 5.25 | (3.48) | 31.49 | |
| CMS | CMS Energy | (0.04) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 1.27 | (1.56) | 5.00 | |
| NEE | Nextera Energy | (0.44) | 7 per month | 1.28 | 0.02 | 1.97 | (2.20) | 5.66 |
Other Forecasting Options for Korea Electric
For every potential investor in Korea, whether a beginner or expert, Korea Electric's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Korea Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Korea. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Korea Electric's price trends.Korea Electric Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Korea Electric stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Korea Electric could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Korea Electric by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Korea Electric Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Korea Electric stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Korea Electric shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Korea Electric stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Korea Electric Power entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 21.39 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 21.39 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.14) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.28) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 62.93 |
Korea Electric Risk Indicators
The analysis of Korea Electric's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Korea Electric's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting korea stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.38 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.31 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.36 | |||
| Variance | 11.28 | |||
| Downside Variance | 7.21 | |||
| Semi Variance | 5.33 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.66) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Korea Electric
The number of cover stories for Korea Electric depends on current market conditions and Korea Electric's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Korea Electric is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Korea Electric's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Korea Electric Short Properties
Korea Electric's future price predictability will typically decrease when Korea Electric's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Korea Electric Power often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Korea Electric's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Korea Electric's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.3 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 5.1 T |
Additional Tools for Korea Stock Analysis
When running Korea Electric's price analysis, check to measure Korea Electric's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Korea Electric is operating at the current time. Most of Korea Electric's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Korea Electric's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Korea Electric's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Korea Electric to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.