Korea Closed Fund Forecast - Naive Prediction

KF Fund  USD 44.20  0.80  1.84%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Korea Closed on the next trading day is expected to be 44.53 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.61 and the sum of the absolute errors of 36.92. Korea Fund Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Korea Closed's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 25th of January 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of Korea Closed's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the fund is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Korea Closed's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Korea Closed and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Korea Closed's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Korea Closed, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Korea Closed hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Korea Closed from the perspective of Korea Closed response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Korea Closed on the next trading day is expected to be 44.53 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.61 and the sum of the absolute errors of 36.92.

Korea Closed after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 44.27  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Korea Closed to cross-verify your projections.

Korea Closed Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Korea price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Korea using various technical indicators. When you analyze Korea charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for Korea Closed is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Korea Closed value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Korea Closed Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 26th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Korea Closed on the next trading day is expected to be 44.53 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.61, mean absolute percentage error of 0.56, and the sum of the absolute errors of 36.92.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Korea Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Korea Closed's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Korea Closed Fund Forecast Pattern

Backtest Korea ClosedKorea Closed Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Korea Closed Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Korea Closed's Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Korea Closed's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 42.73 and 46.33, respectively. We have considered Korea Closed's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
44.20
44.53
Expected Value
46.33
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Korea Closed fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Korea Closed fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria117.5218
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.6053
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0172
SAESum of the absolute errors36.9225
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Korea Closed. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Korea Closed. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Korea Closed

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Korea Closed. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
42.4744.2746.07
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
39.7846.4248.22
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
30.6737.5544.43
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Korea Closed. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Korea Closed's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Korea Closed's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Korea Closed.

Korea Closed After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Korea Closed at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Korea Closed or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Fund prices, such as prices of Korea Closed, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Korea Closed Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Korea Closed's fund value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Korea Closed's historical news coverage. Korea Closed's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 42.47 and 46.07, respectively. We have considered Korea Closed's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
44.20
44.27
After-hype Price
46.07
Upside
Korea Closed is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Korea Closed is based on 3 months time horizon.

Korea Closed Fund Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Fund such as Korea Closed is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Korea Closed backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Fund price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Korea Closed, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.43 
1.80
  0.07 
  0.25 
7 Events / Month
3 Events / Month
In about 7 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
44.20
44.27
0.16 
1,125  
Notes

Korea Closed Hype Timeline

As of January 25, 2026 Korea Closed is listed for 44.20. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.07, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.25. Korea is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 44.27 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price rise on the next news is projected to be 0.16%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.43%. The volatility of related hype on Korea Closed is about 313.95%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 43.95. The company generated the yearly revenue of 4.17 M. Annual Net Loss to common stockholders was (83.88 M) with gross profit of 4.17 M. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 7 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Korea Closed to cross-verify your projections.

Korea Closed Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Korea Closed's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Korea Closed's future price movements. Getting to know how Korea Closed's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Korea Closed may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
PHDPHD(0.24)3 per month 0.12 (0.08) 0.41 (0.41) 2.64 
SWFCXSentinel International Equity 0.04 5 per month 0.18  0.23  1.37 (1.11) 6.28 
TCMIXAmg Timessquare International 0.00 0 per month 0.69 (0.01) 1.06 (1.23) 3.60 
TPZTortoise Capital Series(0.05)1 per month 0.00 (0.12) 1.46 (1.20) 3.58 
MCNMadison Covered Call 0.02 5 per month 0.73 (0.06) 1.18 (1.32) 3.32 
RSMRXRbc Smid Cap 0.00 0 per month 0.57  0.11  2.21 (1.36) 11.09 
WEAWestern Asset Premier(4.97)7 per month 0.35 (0.04) 0.92 (0.63) 2.59 
HEQJohn Hancock Hedged 0.04 3 per month 0.36 (0) 0.86 (0.65) 1.96 
INPSXInternet Ultrasector Profund 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.15) 2.58 (3.50) 6.98 

Other Forecasting Options for Korea Closed

For every potential investor in Korea, whether a beginner or expert, Korea Closed's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Korea Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Korea. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Korea Closed's price trends.

Korea Closed Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Korea Closed fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Korea Closed could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Korea Closed by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Korea Closed Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Korea Closed fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Korea Closed shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Korea Closed fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Korea Closed entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Korea Closed Risk Indicators

The analysis of Korea Closed's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Korea Closed's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting korea fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Korea Closed

The number of cover stories for Korea Closed depends on current market conditions and Korea Closed's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Korea Closed is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Korea Closed's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Other Information on Investing in Korea Fund

Korea Closed financial ratios help investors to determine whether Korea Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Korea with respect to the benefits of owning Korea Closed security.
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