Kingfisher Plc OTC Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| KGFHF Stock | USD 4.61 0.00 0.00% |
Kingfisher OTC Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Kingfisher Plc's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The value of RSI of Kingfisher Plc's otc stock price is roughly 62. This indicates that the otc stock is rather overbought by investors as of 2nd of February 2026. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Kingfisher, making its price go up or down. Momentum 62
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
It is a matter of debate whether otc price prediction based on information in financial news can generate signals. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Kingfisher Plc based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. Using Kingfisher Plc hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Kingfisher plc from the perspective of Kingfisher Plc response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Kingfisher plc on the next trading day is expected to be 4.61 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05 and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.14. Kingfisher Plc after-hype prediction price | USD 4.61 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as otc price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Kingfisher |
Kingfisher Plc Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Kingfisher price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Kingfisher using various technical indicators. When you analyze Kingfisher charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Kingfisher Plc Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 3rd of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Kingfisher plc on the next trading day is expected to be 4.61 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.14.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Kingfisher OTC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Kingfisher Plc's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Kingfisher Plc OTC Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Kingfisher Plc | Kingfisher Plc Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Kingfisher Plc Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Kingfisher Plc's OTC Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Kingfisher Plc's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 1.87 and 7.35, respectively. We have considered Kingfisher Plc's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Kingfisher Plc otc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Kingfisher Plc otc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 112.0188 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0126 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0523 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0119 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 3.1382 |
Predictive Modules for Kingfisher Plc
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kingfisher plc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Kingfisher Plc After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Kingfisher Plc at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Kingfisher Plc or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of OTC Stock prices, such as prices of Kingfisher Plc, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Kingfisher Plc Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Kingfisher Plc's otc stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Kingfisher Plc's historical news coverage. Kingfisher Plc's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 1.89 and 7.33, respectively. We have considered Kingfisher Plc's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Kingfisher Plc is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Kingfisher plc is based on 3 months time horizon.
Kingfisher Plc OTC Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a OTC Stock such as Kingfisher Plc is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Kingfisher Plc backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the OTC price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Kingfisher Plc, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.27 | 2.74 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 12 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In about 12 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
4.61 | 4.61 | 0.00 |
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Kingfisher Plc Hype Timeline
Kingfisher plc is now traded for 4.61. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Kingfisher is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.27%. %. The volatility of related hype on Kingfisher Plc is about 18266.67%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 4.61. About 85.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.68. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Kingfisher plc last dividend was issued on the 6th of October 2022. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 12 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Kingfisher Plc to cross-verify your projections.Kingfisher Plc Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Kingfisher Plc's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Kingfisher Plc's future price movements. Getting to know how Kingfisher Plc's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Kingfisher Plc may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| LTRCF | The Lottery | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.72 | |
| GMWKF | Games Workshop Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.09 | 0.09 | 4.94 | (3.34) | 17.22 | |
| BTDPF | Barratt Developments plc | 0.05 | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.09 | |
| MONOY | Monotaro Co | 0.05 | 8 per month | 2.74 | 0 | 3.98 | (4.93) | 14.72 | |
| ZLNDY | ZALANDO SE ADR | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 4.07 | (3.57) | 11.88 | |
| YMHAY | Yamaha Motor Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.06 | (0.01) | 3.50 | (3.45) | 7.73 | |
| ATZAF | Aritzia | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.12 | 0.09 | 4.14 | (3.24) | 11.56 | |
| WTBDY | Whitbread PLC ADR | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 3.21 | (2.96) | 16.08 | |
| BSDGF | Bosideng International Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.44 | 0.01 | 7.27 | (6.45) | 15.66 | |
| BCUCF | Brunello Cucinelli SpA | 0.05 | 8 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Other Forecasting Options for Kingfisher Plc
For every potential investor in Kingfisher, whether a beginner or expert, Kingfisher Plc's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Kingfisher OTC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Kingfisher. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Kingfisher Plc's price trends.Kingfisher Plc Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Kingfisher Plc otc stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Kingfisher Plc could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Kingfisher Plc by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Kingfisher Plc Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Kingfisher Plc otc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Kingfisher Plc shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Kingfisher Plc otc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Kingfisher plc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Kingfisher Plc Risk Indicators
The analysis of Kingfisher Plc's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Kingfisher Plc's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting kingfisher otc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.15 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.7 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.64 | |||
| Variance | 6.96 | |||
| Downside Variance | 35.08 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.88 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (4.06) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Kingfisher Plc
The number of cover stories for Kingfisher Plc depends on current market conditions and Kingfisher Plc's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Kingfisher Plc is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Kingfisher Plc's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in Kingfisher OTC Stock
Kingfisher Plc financial ratios help investors to determine whether Kingfisher OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Kingfisher with respect to the benefits of owning Kingfisher Plc security.