Kimco Realty Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average

KIM Stock  USD 20.41  0.21  1.02%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Kimco Realty on the next trading day is expected to be 20.52 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.19 and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.25. Kimco Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
As of now the relative strength index (rsi) of Kimco Realty's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Kimco Realty's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Kimco Realty and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Kimco Realty's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Kimco Realty, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Kimco Realty hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Kimco Realty from the perspective of Kimco Realty response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Kimco Realty on the next trading day is expected to be 20.52 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.19 and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.25.

Kimco Realty after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 20.41  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Kimco Realty to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in Kimco Stock, please use our How to Invest in Kimco Realty guide.

Kimco Realty Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Kimco price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Kimco using various technical indicators. When you analyze Kimco charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A two period moving average forecast for Kimco Realty is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Kimco Realty Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 10th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Kimco Realty on the next trading day is expected to be 20.52 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.19, mean absolute percentage error of 0.06, and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.25.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Kimco Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Kimco Realty's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Kimco Realty Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Kimco RealtyKimco Realty Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Kimco Realty Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Kimco Realty's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Kimco Realty's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 19.40 and 21.63, respectively. We have considered Kimco Realty's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
20.41
20.52
Expected Value
21.63
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Kimco Realty stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Kimco Realty stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria111.6569
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0215
MADMean absolute deviation0.1907
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0093
SAESum of the absolute errors11.25
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Kimco Realty price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Kimco Realty. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Kimco Realty

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kimco Realty. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
19.3020.4121.52
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
19.5320.6421.75
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
19.7520.1820.62
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Kimco Realty

For every potential investor in Kimco, whether a beginner or expert, Kimco Realty's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Kimco Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Kimco. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Kimco Realty's price trends.

Kimco Realty Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Kimco Realty stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Kimco Realty could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Kimco Realty by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Kimco Realty Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Kimco Realty's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Kimco Realty's current price.

Kimco Realty Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Kimco Realty stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Kimco Realty shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Kimco Realty stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Kimco Realty entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Kimco Realty Risk Indicators

The analysis of Kimco Realty's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Kimco Realty's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting kimco stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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When determining whether Kimco Realty is a strong investment it is important to analyze Kimco Realty's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Kimco Realty's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Kimco Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Kimco Realty to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in Kimco Stock, please use our How to Invest in Kimco Realty guide.
You can also try the Theme Ratings module to determine theme ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis theme ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Is Retail REITs space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Kimco Realty. If investors know Kimco will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Kimco Realty listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Kimco Realty is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Kimco that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Kimco Realty's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Kimco Realty's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Kimco Realty's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Kimco Realty's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Kimco Realty's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Kimco Realty is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Kimco Realty's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.