Kimco Realty Stock Forecast - Simple Regression
| KIM Stock | USD 20.85 0.11 0.52% |
Kimco Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Kimco Realty's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Kimco Realty's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Kimco Realty fundamentals over time.
As of now, The relative strength index (RSI) of Kimco Realty's share price is at 51. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Kimco Realty, making its price go up or down. Momentum 51
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.002 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.1944 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.7127 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.7723 | Wall Street Target Price 23.75 |
Using Kimco Realty hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Kimco Realty from the perspective of Kimco Realty response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Kimco Realty using Kimco Realty's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Kimco using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Kimco Realty's stock price.
Kimco Realty Short Interest
An investor who is long Kimco Realty may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Kimco Realty and may potentially protect profits, hedge Kimco Realty with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 21.0679 | Short Percent 0.047 | Short Ratio 5.32 | Shares Short Prior Month 25 M | 50 Day MA 20.3842 |
Kimco Relative Strength Index
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Kimco Realty on the next trading day is expected to be 20.55 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.25 and the sum of the absolute errors of 15.42.Kimco Realty Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Kimco Realty's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Kimco. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Kimco can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Kimco Realty. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Kimco Realty's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Kimco Realty.
Kimco Realty Implied Volatility | 0.46 |
Kimco Realty's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Kimco Realty stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Kimco Realty's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Kimco Realty stock will not fluctuate a lot when Kimco Realty's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Kimco Realty on the next trading day is expected to be 20.55 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.25 and the sum of the absolute errors of 15.42. Kimco Realty after-hype prediction price | USD 20.85 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Kimco Realty to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Kimco contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Kimco Realty will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0288% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Kimco Realty trading at USD 20.85, that is roughly USD 0.005994 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Kimco Realty's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Kimco Realty options at the current volatility level of 0.46%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Kimco Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Kimco Realty's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Kimco Realty's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Kimco Realty stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Kimco Realty's open interest, investors have to compare it to Kimco Realty's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Kimco Realty is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Kimco. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Kimco Realty Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Kimco price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Kimco using various technical indicators. When you analyze Kimco charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Kimco Realty Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 28th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Kimco Realty on the next trading day is expected to be 20.55 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.25, mean absolute percentage error of 0.12, and the sum of the absolute errors of 15.42.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Kimco Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Kimco Realty's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Kimco Realty Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Kimco Realty | Kimco Realty Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Kimco Realty Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Kimco Realty's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Kimco Realty's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 19.53 and 21.58, respectively. We have considered Kimco Realty's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Kimco Realty stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Kimco Realty stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.7919 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2487 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0122 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 15.4188 |
Predictive Modules for Kimco Realty
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kimco Realty. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Kimco Realty After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Kimco Realty at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Kimco Realty or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Kimco Realty, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Kimco Realty Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Kimco Realty's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Kimco Realty's historical news coverage. Kimco Realty's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 19.81 and 21.89, respectively. We have considered Kimco Realty's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Kimco Realty is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Kimco Realty is based on 3 months time horizon.
Kimco Realty Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Kimco Realty is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Kimco Realty backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Kimco Realty, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.02 | 1.02 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 4 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 4 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
20.85 | 20.85 | 0.00 |
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Kimco Realty Hype Timeline
On the 27th of January Kimco Realty is traded for 20.85. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. Kimco is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 178.95%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.02%. %. The volatility of related hype on Kimco Realty is about 230.08%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 20.86. About 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.35. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Kimco Realty last dividend was issued on the 5th of December 2025. The entity had 2:1 split on the 24th of August 2005. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 4 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Kimco Realty to cross-verify your projections.Kimco Realty Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Kimco Realty's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Kimco Realty's future price movements. Getting to know how Kimco Realty's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Kimco Realty may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| REG | Regency Centers | (0.57) | 11 per month | 1.01 | (0.08) | 1.67 | (1.60) | 3.79 | |
| RITM | Rithm Capital Corp | 0.21 | 11 per month | 0.80 | 0.1 | 2.15 | (1.62) | 5.69 | |
| NLY | Annaly Capital Management | 0.01 | 16 per month | 0.72 | 0.15 | 2.39 | (1.46) | 5.24 | |
| MAA | Mid America Apartment Communities | 3.43 | 10 per month | 1.09 | (0.02) | 2.05 | (1.91) | 5.24 | |
| JLL | Jones Lang LaSalle | 1.54 | 8 per month | 1.36 | 0.08 | 3.97 | (2.74) | 7.53 | |
| AMH | American Homes 4 | (0.45) | 14 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 2.00 | (2.06) | 7.05 | |
| WPC | W P Carey | (0.19) | 19 per month | 0.81 | 0.01 | 1.67 | (1.42) | 4.48 | |
| OHI | Omega Healthcare Investors | (0.51) | 11 per month | 1.06 | 0.07 | 2.13 | (1.70) | 8.67 | |
| GLPI | Gaming Leisure Properties | 0.52 | 10 per month | 1.09 | (0.03) | 2.80 | (2.06) | 7.00 |
Other Forecasting Options for Kimco Realty
For every potential investor in Kimco, whether a beginner or expert, Kimco Realty's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Kimco Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Kimco. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Kimco Realty's price trends.Kimco Realty Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Kimco Realty stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Kimco Realty could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Kimco Realty by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Kimco Realty Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Kimco Realty stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Kimco Realty shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Kimco Realty stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Kimco Realty entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 33313.99 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.46) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 20.96 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 20.92 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.16) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.11) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 51.95 |
Kimco Realty Risk Indicators
The analysis of Kimco Realty's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Kimco Realty's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting kimco stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.8469 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.06 | |||
| Variance | 1.12 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Kimco Realty
The number of cover stories for Kimco Realty depends on current market conditions and Kimco Realty's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Kimco Realty is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Kimco Realty's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Kimco Realty Short Properties
Kimco Realty's future price predictability will typically decrease when Kimco Realty's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Kimco Realty often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Kimco Realty's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Kimco Realty's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 672.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 690.9 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Kimco Realty to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Kimco Stock, please use our How to Invest in Kimco Realty guide.You can also try the Odds Of Bankruptcy module to get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years.
Is Retail REITs space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Kimco Realty. If investors know Kimco will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Kimco Realty listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.002 | Dividend Share 1 | Earnings Share 0.83 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.056 |
The market value of Kimco Realty is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Kimco that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Kimco Realty's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Kimco Realty's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Kimco Realty's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Kimco Realty's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Kimco Realty's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Kimco Realty is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Kimco Realty's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.