Kish Bancorp OTC Stock Forecast - Simple Regression

KISB Stock  USD 42.63  0.33  0.78%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Kish Bancorp on the next trading day is expected to be 41.24 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.45 and the sum of the absolute errors of 27.88. Kish OTC Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Kish Bancorp stock prices and determine the direction of Kish Bancorp's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Kish Bancorp's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the value of rsi of Kish Bancorp's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the otc stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
Kish Bancorp stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Kish Bancorp shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Kish Bancorp's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Kish Bancorp and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Kish Bancorp's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Kish Bancorp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
It is a matter of debate whether otc price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Kish Bancorp based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. Using Kish Bancorp hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Kish Bancorp from the perspective of Kish Bancorp response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Kish Bancorp on the next trading day is expected to be 41.24 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.45 and the sum of the absolute errors of 27.88.

Kish Bancorp after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 42.63  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as otc price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Kish Bancorp to cross-verify your projections.

Kish Bancorp Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Kish price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Kish using various technical indicators. When you analyze Kish charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Kish Bancorp price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Kish Bancorp Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 24th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Kish Bancorp on the next trading day is expected to be 41.24 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.45, mean absolute percentage error of 0.34, and the sum of the absolute errors of 27.88.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Kish OTC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Kish Bancorp's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Kish Bancorp OTC Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Kish BancorpKish Bancorp Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Kish Bancorp Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Kish Bancorp's OTC Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Kish Bancorp's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 40.25 and 42.24, respectively. We have considered Kish Bancorp's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
42.63
41.24
Expected Value
42.24
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Kish Bancorp otc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Kish Bancorp otc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria118.862
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.4497
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.011
SAESum of the absolute errors27.8813
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Kish Bancorp historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Kish Bancorp

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kish Bancorp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Kish Bancorp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
41.6442.6343.62
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
40.8841.8742.86
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
39.6640.9942.33
Details

Kish Bancorp After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Kish Bancorp at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Kish Bancorp or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of OTC Stock prices, such as prices of Kish Bancorp, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Kish Bancorp Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Kish Bancorp's otc stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Kish Bancorp's historical news coverage. Kish Bancorp's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 41.64 and 43.62, respectively. We have considered Kish Bancorp's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
42.63
42.63
After-hype Price
43.62
Upside
Kish Bancorp is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Kish Bancorp is based on 3 months time horizon.

Kish Bancorp OTC Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a OTC Stock such as Kish Bancorp is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Kish Bancorp backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the OTC price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Kish Bancorp, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.09 
0.99
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Uncertain
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
42.63
42.63
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Kish Bancorp Hype Timeline

Kish Bancorp is now traded for 42.63. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Kish is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.09%. %. The volatility of related hype on Kish Bancorp is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 42.63. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.22. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Kish Bancorp last dividend was issued on the 12th of January 2023. The entity had 2:1 split on the 12th of October 2018. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be uncertain.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Kish Bancorp to cross-verify your projections.

Kish Bancorp Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Kish Bancorp's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Kish Bancorp's future price movements. Getting to know how Kish Bancorp's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Kish Bancorp may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
PBNCPB Financial 0.00 0 per month 0.33 (0.01) 1.34 (0.73) 4.12 
PONTPontiac Bancorp 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.71) 0.00  0.00  1.44 
CBBICBB Bancorp 0.00 0 per month 0.61  0.05  2.26 (1.43) 4.45 
DIMCDimeco Inc 0.00 0 per month 0.92  0.12  2.12 (1.74) 7.25 
SOMCSouthern Michigan Bancorp 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.14) 1.02 (1.79) 5.85 
TYFGTri County Financial Group 0.00 0 per month 0.20  0.02  1.07 (0.51) 3.79 
FFDFFFD Financial Corp 0.00 0 per month 0.66 (0.12) 0.95 (1.57) 5.40 
PBNKPinnacle Bank 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.32) 0.74 (1.04) 2.74 
PFLCPacific Financial Corp 0.00 0 per month 0.43  0.12  1.27 (1.29) 3.79 
CNBPCornerstone Bancorp 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.18  2.19  0.00  14.02 

Other Forecasting Options for Kish Bancorp

For every potential investor in Kish, whether a beginner or expert, Kish Bancorp's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Kish OTC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Kish. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Kish Bancorp's price trends.

Kish Bancorp Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Kish Bancorp otc stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Kish Bancorp could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Kish Bancorp by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Kish Bancorp Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Kish Bancorp otc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Kish Bancorp shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Kish Bancorp otc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Kish Bancorp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Kish Bancorp Risk Indicators

The analysis of Kish Bancorp's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Kish Bancorp's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting kish otc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Kish Bancorp

The number of cover stories for Kish Bancorp depends on current market conditions and Kish Bancorp's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Kish Bancorp is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Kish Bancorp's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Other Information on Investing in Kish OTC Stock

Kish Bancorp financial ratios help investors to determine whether Kish OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Kish with respect to the benefits of owning Kish Bancorp security.