Kennametal Stock Forward View - Price Action Indicator
| KMT Stock | USD 39.59 0.29 0.74% |
Kennametal Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Kennametal's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.913 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.5343 | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.2982 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.4094 | Wall Street Target Price 35.5 |
Using Kennametal hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Kennametal from the perspective of Kennametal response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Kennametal using Kennametal's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Kennametal using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Kennametal's stock price.
Kennametal Short Interest
An investor who is long Kennametal may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Kennametal and may potentially protect profits, hedge Kennametal with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 25.0064 | Short Percent 0.0479 | Short Ratio 2.19 | Shares Short Prior Month 2.6 M | 50 Day MA 32.0936 |
Kennametal Relative Strength Index
Kennametal Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Kennametal's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Kennametal. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Kennametal can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Kennametal. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Kennametal's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Kennametal.
Kennametal Implied Volatility | 0.78 |
Kennametal's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Kennametal stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Kennametal's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Kennametal stock will not fluctuate a lot when Kennametal's options are near their expiration.
Kennametal after-hype prediction price | USD 40.55 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Kennametal | Build AI portfolio with Kennametal Stock |
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Kennametal contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Kennametal will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0488% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Kennametal trading at USD 39.59, that is roughly USD 0.0193 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Kennametal's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Kennametal options at the current volatility level of 0.78%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Kennametal Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Kennametal's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Kennametal's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Kennametal stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Kennametal's open interest, investors have to compare it to Kennametal's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Kennametal is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Kennametal. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Kennametal Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Kennametal price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Kennametal using various technical indicators. When you analyze Kennametal charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Previous Price Action Indicator | Price Action Indicator | Trend |
| (2.08) | 0.51 |
| Check Kennametal Volatility | Backtest Kennametal | Information Ratio |
Kennametal Trading Date Momentum
| On February 13 2026 Kennametal was traded for 39.59 at the closing time. Highest Kennametal's price during the trading hours was 39.93 and the lowest price during the day was 38.52 . The net volume was 2.2 M. The overall trading history on the 13th of February 2026 did not cause price change. The trading delta at closing time to current price is 0.56% . |
Price Action Indicator (or PAIN) was developed by Michael B. Geraty and published in 'Futures' magazine in August 1997.
| Compare Kennametal to competition |
Other Forecasting Options for Kennametal
For every potential investor in Kennametal, whether a beginner or expert, Kennametal's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Kennametal Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Kennametal. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Kennametal's price trends.Kennametal Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Kennametal stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Kennametal could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Kennametal by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Kennametal Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Kennametal stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Kennametal shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Kennametal stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Kennametal entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 78401.97 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.2057 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.01 | |||
| Day Median Price | 39.23 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 39.35 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.51 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.29 |
Kennametal Risk Indicators
The analysis of Kennametal's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Kennametal's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting kennametal stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.56 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.825 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.15 | |||
| Variance | 4.64 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.75 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.6806 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.98) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Kennametal
The number of cover stories for Kennametal depends on current market conditions and Kennametal's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Kennametal is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Kennametal's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Kennametal Short Properties
Kennametal's future price predictability will typically decrease when Kennametal's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Kennametal often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Kennametal's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Kennametal's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 77.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 140.5 M |
Additional Tools for Kennametal Stock Analysis
When running Kennametal's price analysis, check to measure Kennametal's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Kennametal is operating at the current time. Most of Kennametal's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Kennametal's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Kennametal's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Kennametal to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.