Knife River Stock Forward View - Simple Regression
| KNF Stock | 72.85 3.69 5.34% |
Knife Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Knife River's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 4th of February 2026, the relative strength momentum indicator of Knife River's share price is approaching 49. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Knife River, making its price go up or down. Momentum 49
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.03) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.536 | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.7167 | EPS Estimate Next Year 3.3686 | Wall Street Target Price 96 |
Using Knife River hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Knife River from the perspective of Knife River response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Knife River using Knife River's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Knife using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Knife River's stock price.
Knife River Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Knife River's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Knife. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Knife River stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 79.8978 | Short Percent 0.0677 | Short Ratio 6.71 | Shares Short Prior Month 2.9 M | 50 Day MA 74.37 |
Knife Relative Strength Index
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Knife River on the next trading day is expected to be 75.38 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.60 and the sum of the absolute errors of 158.83.Knife River Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Knife River's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Knife. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Knife can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Knife River. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Knife River's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Knife River.
Knife River Implied Volatility | 0.59 |
Knife River's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Knife River stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Knife River's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Knife River stock will not fluctuate a lot when Knife River's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Knife River on the next trading day is expected to be 75.38 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.60 and the sum of the absolute errors of 158.83. Knife River after-hype prediction price | USD 72.89 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Knife River to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Knife contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Knife River will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0369% per day over the life of the 2026-05-15 option contract. With Knife River trading at USD 72.85, that is roughly USD 0.0269 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Knife River's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Knife River options at the current volatility level of 0.59%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-05-15 Knife Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Knife River's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Knife River's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Knife River stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Knife River's open interest, investors have to compare it to Knife River's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Knife River is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Knife. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Knife River Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Knife price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Knife using various technical indicators. When you analyze Knife charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Knife River Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 5th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Knife River on the next trading day is expected to be 75.38 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.60, mean absolute percentage error of 11.07, and the sum of the absolute errors of 158.83.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Knife Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Knife River's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Knife River Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Knife River | Knife River Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Knife River Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Knife River's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Knife River's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 72.90 and 77.86, respectively. We have considered Knife River's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Knife River stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Knife River stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 120.5145 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 2.6038 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0353 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 158.8298 |
Predictive Modules for Knife River
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Knife River. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Knife River After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Knife River at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Knife River or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Knife River, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Knife River Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Knife River's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Knife River's historical news coverage. Knife River's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 70.41 and 75.37, respectively. We have considered Knife River's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Knife River is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Knife River is based on 3 months time horizon.
Knife River Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Knife River is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Knife River backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Knife River, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.07 | 2.48 | 0.04 | 0.02 | 9 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
72.85 | 72.89 | 0.05 |
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Knife River Hype Timeline
On the 4th of February Knife River is traded for 72.85. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.04, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.02. Knife is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 72.89 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price rise on the next news is projected to be 0.05%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.07%. The volatility of related hype on Knife River is about 1012.24%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 72.87. The company reported the last year's revenue of 2.9 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 201.68 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 549.39 M. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Knife River to cross-verify your projections.Knife River Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Knife River's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Knife River's future price movements. Getting to know how Knife River's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Knife River may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| USLM | United States Lime | 0.96 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 3.08 | (4.00) | 8.80 | |
| TTAM | Titan America SA | 0.25 | 8 per month | 1.92 | 0.10 | 3.58 | (3.10) | 9.05 | |
| TGLS | Tecnoglass | (0.80) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 3.42 | (5.16) | 10.44 | |
| CBT | Cabot | (0.72) | 8 per month | 1.89 | 0.01 | 3.72 | (2.33) | 8.68 | |
| PRM | Perimeter Solutions SA | (0.19) | 9 per month | 2.29 | 0.1 | 3.38 | (2.61) | 30.19 | |
| BCC | Boise Cascad Llc | 0.79 | 7 per month | 1.71 | 0.07 | 6.20 | (3.06) | 11.47 | |
| SXT | Sensient Technologies | 2.03 | 9 per month | 1.59 | 0.01 | 2.93 | (2.52) | 9.53 | |
| FUL | H B Fuller | 0.96 | 10 per month | 1.37 | 0.05 | 3.48 | (2.12) | 8.23 | |
| AVNT | Avient Corp | (0.75) | 9 per month | 1.35 | 0.12 | 3.41 | (2.45) | 8.87 | |
| SAND | Sandstorm Gold | (0.08) | 5 per month | 1.80 | 0.18 | 2.89 | (2.55) | 9.52 |
Other Forecasting Options for Knife River
For every potential investor in Knife, whether a beginner or expert, Knife River's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Knife Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Knife. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Knife River's price trends.Knife River Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Knife River stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Knife River could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Knife River by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Knife River Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Knife River stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Knife River shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Knife River stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Knife River entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Knife River Risk Indicators
The analysis of Knife River's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Knife River's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting knife stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.04 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.28 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.83 | |||
| Variance | 7.99 | |||
| Downside Variance | 6.41 | |||
| Semi Variance | 5.2 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.34) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Knife River
The number of cover stories for Knife River depends on current market conditions and Knife River's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Knife River is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Knife River's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Knife River Short Properties
Knife River's future price predictability will typically decrease when Knife River's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Knife River often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Knife River's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Knife River's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 56.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 281.1 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Knife River to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in Knife Stock please use our How to Invest in Knife River guide.You can also try the Commodity Channel module to use Commodity Channel Index to analyze current equity momentum.
Can Diversified Metals & Mining industry sustain growth momentum? Does Knife have expansion opportunities? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Knife River. Expected growth trajectory for Knife significantly influences the price investors are willing to assign. Determining accurate worth demands scrutiny of both present operating results and projected expansion capacity. Evaluating Knife River demands reviewing these metrics collectively while recognizing certain factors exert disproportionate influence.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.03) | Earnings Share 2.61 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.089 | Return On Assets |
Understanding Knife River requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Knife's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what Knife River's is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Market participants employ diverse analytical approaches to determine fair value and identify buying opportunities when prices dip below calculated worth. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Knife River's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Understanding that Knife River's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Knife River represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. In contrast, Knife River's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.