Kinetik Holdings Stock Forward View - Simple Regression
| KNTK Stock | USD 40.91 0.22 0.54% |
Kinetik Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Kinetik Holdings' naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Kinetik Holdings' systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Kinetik Holdings fundamentals over time.
The value of relative strength index of Kinetik Holdings' stock price is about 62. This indicates that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of now. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Kinetik, making its price go up or down. Momentum 62
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.91) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.3921 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.7462 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.6192 | Wall Street Target Price 45.5385 |
Using Kinetik Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Kinetik Holdings from the perspective of Kinetik Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Kinetik Holdings using Kinetik Holdings' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Kinetik using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Kinetik Holdings' stock price.
Kinetik Holdings Short Interest
An investor who is long Kinetik Holdings may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Kinetik Holdings and may potentially protect profits, hedge Kinetik Holdings with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 40.2179 | Short Percent 0.1914 | Short Ratio 9.58 | Shares Short Prior Month 1.1 M | 50 Day MA 36.2824 |
Kinetik Relative Strength Index
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Kinetik Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 39.47 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.26 and the sum of the absolute errors of 77.00.Kinetik Holdings Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Kinetik Holdings' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Kinetik. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Kinetik can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Kinetik Holdings. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Kinetik Holdings' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Kinetik Holdings.
Kinetik Holdings Implied Volatility | 0.53 |
Kinetik Holdings' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Kinetik Holdings stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Kinetik Holdings' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Kinetik Holdings stock will not fluctuate a lot when Kinetik Holdings' options are near their expiration.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Kinetik Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 39.47 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.26 and the sum of the absolute errors of 77.00. Kinetik Holdings after-hype prediction price | USD 40.89 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Kinetik Holdings to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Kinetik contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Kinetik Holdings will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0331% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Kinetik Holdings trading at USD 40.91, that is roughly USD 0.0136 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Kinetik Holdings' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Kinetik Holdings options at the current volatility level of 0.53%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Kinetik Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Kinetik Holdings' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Kinetik Holdings' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Kinetik Holdings stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Kinetik Holdings' open interest, investors have to compare it to Kinetik Holdings' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Kinetik Holdings is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Kinetik. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Kinetik Holdings Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Kinetik price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Kinetik using various technical indicators. When you analyze Kinetik charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Kinetik Holdings Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 3rd of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Kinetik Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 39.47 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.26, mean absolute percentage error of 2.14, and the sum of the absolute errors of 77.00.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Kinetik Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Kinetik Holdings' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Kinetik Holdings Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Kinetik Holdings | Kinetik Holdings Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Kinetik Holdings Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Kinetik Holdings' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Kinetik Holdings' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 37.12 and 41.82, respectively. We have considered Kinetik Holdings' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Kinetik Holdings stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Kinetik Holdings stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 118.8722 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.2623 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0351 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 77.0005 |
Predictive Modules for Kinetik Holdings
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kinetik Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Kinetik Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Kinetik Holdings After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Kinetik Holdings at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Kinetik Holdings or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Kinetik Holdings, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Kinetik Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Kinetik Holdings' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Kinetik Holdings' historical news coverage. Kinetik Holdings' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 38.54 and 43.24, respectively. We have considered Kinetik Holdings' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Kinetik Holdings is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Kinetik Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.
Kinetik Holdings Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Kinetik Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Kinetik Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Kinetik Holdings, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.17 | 2.35 | 0.02 | 0.08 | 9 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
40.91 | 40.89 | 0.05 |
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Kinetik Holdings Hype Timeline
Kinetik Holdings is now traded for 40.91. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.08. Kinetik is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 40.89. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.05%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.17%. The volatility of related hype on Kinetik Holdings is about 495.78%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 40.99. About 92.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.33. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Kinetik Holdings has Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio of 959.0. The entity last dividend was issued on the 6th of February 2026. The firm had 2:1 split on the 9th of June 2022. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Kinetik Holdings to cross-verify your projections.Kinetik Holdings Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Kinetik Holdings' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Kinetik Holdings' future price movements. Getting to know how Kinetik Holdings' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Kinetik Holdings may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| DKL | Delek Logistics Partners | 0.98 | 8 per month | 1.39 | 0.09 | 2.42 | (1.92) | 10.05 | |
| INSW | International Seaways | (0.24) | 9 per month | 1.31 | 0.14 | 3.52 | (2.42) | 14.71 | |
| DK | Delek Energy | 0.16 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 4.15 | (3.81) | 12.71 | |
| DHT | DHT Holdings | 0.27 | 9 per month | 1.36 | 0.09 | 3.00 | (2.35) | 12.28 | |
| TRMD | Torm PLC Class | 0.15 | 8 per month | 1.29 | 0.12 | 4.36 | (2.28) | 10.37 | |
| TNK | Teekay Tankers | 3.50 | 9 per month | 1.71 | 0.05 | 2.94 | (2.68) | 12.96 | |
| USAC | USA Compression Partners | 0.08 | 9 per month | 1.33 | 0.13 | 3.03 | (2.55) | 10.45 | |
| SM | SM Energy Co | 0.20 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 3.59 | (4.49) | 10.18 | |
| OII | Oceaneering International | (0.42) | 9 per month | 1.88 | 0.15 | 5.31 | (3.35) | 12.51 | |
| PTEN | Patterson UTI Energy | 0.06 | 9 per month | 2.52 | 0.08 | 5.55 | (4.64) | 10.85 |
Other Forecasting Options for Kinetik Holdings
For every potential investor in Kinetik, whether a beginner or expert, Kinetik Holdings' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Kinetik Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Kinetik. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Kinetik Holdings' price trends.Kinetik Holdings Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Kinetik Holdings stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Kinetik Holdings could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Kinetik Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Kinetik Holdings Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Kinetik Holdings stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Kinetik Holdings shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Kinetik Holdings stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Kinetik Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Kinetik Holdings Risk Indicators
The analysis of Kinetik Holdings' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Kinetik Holdings' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting kinetik stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.82 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.78 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.41 | |||
| Variance | 5.79 | |||
| Downside Variance | 8.17 | |||
| Semi Variance | 7.76 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.63) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Kinetik Holdings
The number of cover stories for Kinetik Holdings depends on current market conditions and Kinetik Holdings' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Kinetik Holdings is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Kinetik Holdings' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Kinetik Holdings Short Properties
Kinetik Holdings' future price predictability will typically decrease when Kinetik Holdings' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Kinetik Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Kinetik Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Kinetik Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 60.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 3.6 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Kinetik Holdings to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy Kinetik Stock please use our How to buy in Kinetik Stock guide.You can also try the My Watchlist Analysis module to analyze my current watchlist and to refresh optimization strategy. Macroaxis watchlist is based on self-learning algorithm to remember stocks you like.
Is Oil & Gas Storage & Transportation space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Kinetik Holdings. Expected growth trajectory for Kinetik significantly influences the price investors are willing to assign. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Kinetik Holdings assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.91) | Dividend Share 3.12 | Earnings Share 0.41 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.171 |
The market value of Kinetik Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Kinetik that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Kinetik Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Kinetik Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Kinetik Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Kinetik Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Understanding that Kinetik Holdings' value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Kinetik Holdings represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Meanwhile, Kinetik Holdings' quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.