Kinetik Holdings Stock Forward View

KNTK Stock  USD 40.91  0.22  0.54%   
Kinetik Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
The value of RSI of Kinetik Holdings' stock price is about 63. This indicates that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of now. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Kinetik, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 63

 Buy Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Kinetik Holdings' future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Kinetik Holdings, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Kinetik Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Kinetik Holdings from the perspective of Kinetik Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Kinetik Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 40.32 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.67 and the sum of the absolute errors of 41.05.

Kinetik Holdings after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 40.91  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Kinetik Holdings to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Kinetik Stock please use our How to buy in Kinetik Stock guide.

Kinetik Holdings Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Kinetik price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Kinetik using various technical indicators. When you analyze Kinetik charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for Kinetik Holdings is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Kinetik Holdings value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Kinetik Holdings Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 2nd of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Kinetik Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 40.32 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.67, mean absolute percentage error of 0.84, and the sum of the absolute errors of 41.05.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Kinetik Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Kinetik Holdings' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Kinetik Holdings Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Kinetik Holdings  Kinetik Holdings Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Kinetik Holdings Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Kinetik Holdings' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Kinetik Holdings' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 37.97 and 42.68, respectively. We have considered Kinetik Holdings' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
40.91
40.32
Expected Value
42.68
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Kinetik Holdings stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Kinetik Holdings stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria117.9388
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.6729
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0191
SAESum of the absolute errors41.0454
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Kinetik Holdings. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Kinetik Holdings. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Kinetik Holdings

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kinetik Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Kinetik Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
38.5540.9143.27
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
30.0732.4345.00
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
34.3438.0041.65
Details

Kinetik Holdings After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Kinetik Holdings at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Kinetik Holdings or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Kinetik Holdings, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Kinetik Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Kinetik Holdings' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Kinetik Holdings' historical news coverage. Kinetik Holdings' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 38.55 and 43.27, respectively. We have considered Kinetik Holdings' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
40.91
40.91
After-hype Price
43.27
Upside
Kinetik Holdings is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Kinetik Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.

Kinetik Holdings Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Kinetik Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Kinetik Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Kinetik Holdings, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.15 
2.36
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Uncertain
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
40.91
40.91
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Kinetik Holdings Hype Timeline

Kinetik Holdings is now traded for 40.91. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Kinetik is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.15%. %. The volatility of related hype on Kinetik Holdings is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 40.91. About 92.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.33. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Kinetik Holdings has Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio of 959.0. The entity last dividend was issued on the 6th of February 2026. The firm had 2:1 split on the 9th of June 2022. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be uncertain.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Kinetik Holdings to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Kinetik Stock please use our How to buy in Kinetik Stock guide.

Kinetik Holdings Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Kinetik Holdings' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Kinetik Holdings' future price movements. Getting to know how Kinetik Holdings' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Kinetik Holdings may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
DKLDelek Logistics Partners 0.00 0 per month 1.33  0.12  2.42 (1.69) 10.05 
INSWInternational Seaways 0.00 0 per month 1.31  0.12  3.52 (2.42) 14.71 
DKDelek Energy 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.18) 4.15 (3.81) 12.71 
DHTDHT Holdings 0.00 0 per month 1.33  0.08  3.00 (2.35) 12.28 
TRMDTorm PLC Class 0.00 0 per month 1.30  0.10  4.36 (2.28) 10.37 
TNKTeekay Tankers 0.00 0 per month 1.72  0.04  2.86 (2.68) 12.96 
USACUSA Compression Partners 0.00 0 per month 1.35  0.14  3.03 (2.55) 10.45 
SMSM Energy Co 0.00 0 per month 2.36  0  3.59 (3.99) 10.18 
OIIOceaneering International 0.00 0 per month 1.89  0.13  5.31 (3.35) 12.51 
PTENPatterson UTI Energy 0.00 0 per month 2.40  0.10  5.55 (3.61) 10.85 

Other Forecasting Options for Kinetik Holdings

For every potential investor in Kinetik, whether a beginner or expert, Kinetik Holdings' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Kinetik Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Kinetik. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Kinetik Holdings' price trends.

Kinetik Holdings Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Kinetik Holdings stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Kinetik Holdings could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Kinetik Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Kinetik Holdings Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Kinetik Holdings stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Kinetik Holdings shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Kinetik Holdings stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Kinetik Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Kinetik Holdings Risk Indicators

The analysis of Kinetik Holdings' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Kinetik Holdings' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting kinetik stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Kinetik Holdings

The number of cover stories for Kinetik Holdings depends on current market conditions and Kinetik Holdings' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Kinetik Holdings is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Kinetik Holdings' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Kinetik Holdings Short Properties

Kinetik Holdings' future price predictability will typically decrease when Kinetik Holdings' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Kinetik Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Kinetik Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Kinetik Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding60.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments3.6 M
When determining whether Kinetik Holdings is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Kinetik Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Kinetik Holdings Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Kinetik Holdings Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Kinetik Holdings to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Kinetik Stock please use our How to buy in Kinetik Stock guide.
You can also try the Technical Analysis module to check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data.
Is Stock space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Kinetik Holdings. Expected growth trajectory for Kinetik significantly influences the price investors are willing to assign. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Kinetik Holdings assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
The market value of Kinetik Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Kinetik that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Kinetik Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Kinetik Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Kinetik Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Kinetik Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Understanding that Kinetik Holdings' value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Kinetik Holdings represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Meanwhile, Kinetik Holdings' quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.