Coca Cola Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average

KO Stock  USD 74.81  1.38  1.88%   
Coca Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Coca Cola's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Coca Cola's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Coca Cola fundamentals over time.
The relative strength index (RSI) of Coca Cola's stock price is about 66. This indicates that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of today. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Coca, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 66

 Buy Stretched

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Coca Cola's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with The Coca Cola, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Coca Cola's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.301
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.5922
EPS Estimate Current Year
2.9885
EPS Estimate Next Year
3.2203
Wall Street Target Price
79.2774
Using Coca Cola hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of The Coca Cola from the perspective of Coca Cola response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Coca Cola using Coca Cola's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Coca using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Coca Cola's stock price.

Coca Cola Short Interest

An investor who is long Coca Cola may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Coca Cola and may potentially protect profits, hedge Coca Cola with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
69.9888
Short Percent
0.0084
Short Ratio
2.29
Shares Short Prior Month
37.5 M
50 Day MA
70.9344

Coca Relative Strength Index

The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of The Coca Cola on the next trading day is expected to be 74.81 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.58 and the sum of the absolute errors of 34.23.

Coca Cola Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Coca Cola's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Coca. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Coca can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around The Coca Cola. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Coca Cola's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Coca Cola.

Coca Cola Implied Volatility

    
  0.22  
Coca Cola's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of The Coca Cola stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Coca Cola's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Coca Cola stock will not fluctuate a lot when Coca Cola's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of The Coca Cola on the next trading day is expected to be 74.81 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.58 and the sum of the absolute errors of 34.23.

Coca Cola after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 74.94  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Coca Cola to cross-verify your projections.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Coca contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that The Coca Cola will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0138% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Coca Cola trading at USD 74.81, that is roughly USD 0.0103 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Coca Cola's daily price movement you should consider acquiring The Coca Cola options at the current volatility level of 0.22%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.

Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Coca Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Coca Cola's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Coca Cola's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Coca Cola stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Coca Cola's open interest, investors have to compare it to Coca Cola's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Coca Cola is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Coca. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Coca Cola Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Coca price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Coca using various technical indicators. When you analyze Coca charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A two period moving average forecast for Coca Cola is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Coca Cola Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 3rd of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of The Coca Cola on the next trading day is expected to be 74.81 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.58, mean absolute percentage error of 0.62, and the sum of the absolute errors of 34.23.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Coca Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Coca Cola's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Coca Cola Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Coca Cola  Coca Cola Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Coca Cola Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Coca Cola's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Coca Cola's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 73.84 and 75.78, respectively. We have considered Coca Cola's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
74.81
74.81
Expected Value
75.78
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Coca Cola stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Coca Cola stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria113.9562
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.1631
MADMean absolute deviation0.5802
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0082
SAESum of the absolute errors34.23
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of The Coca Cola price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Coca Cola. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Coca Cola

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Coca Cola. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
73.9774.9475.91
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
73.7274.6975.66
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
67.1171.3375.55
Details
26 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
72.1479.2888.00
Details

Coca Cola After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Coca Cola at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Coca Cola or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Coca Cola, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Coca Cola Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Coca Cola's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Coca Cola's historical news coverage. Coca Cola's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 73.97 and 75.91, respectively. We have considered Coca Cola's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
74.81
74.94
After-hype Price
75.91
Upside
Coca Cola is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Coca Cola is based on 3 months time horizon.

Coca Cola Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Coca Cola is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Coca Cola backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Coca Cola, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.15 
0.97
  0.13 
  0.14 
8 Events / Month
7 Events / Month
In about 8 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
74.81
74.94
0.17 
112.79  
Notes

Coca Cola Hype Timeline

As of February 2, 2026 Coca Cola is listed for 74.81. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.13, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.14. Coca is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 74.94 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 112.79%. The price boost on the next news is projected to be 0.17%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.15%. The volatility of related hype on Coca Cola is about 107.06%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 74.95. The company generated the yearly revenue of 47.06 B. Reported Net Income was 10.63 B with gross profit of 29.38 B. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 8 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Coca Cola to cross-verify your projections.

Coca Cola Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Coca Cola's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Coca Cola's future price movements. Getting to know how Coca Cola's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Coca Cola may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
PEPPepsiCo 3.03 7 per month 0.98 (0.01) 1.72 (1.64) 5.79 
PGProcter Gamble 0.27 6 per month 1.12 (0.02) 1.84 (1.56) 5.66 
PMPhilip Morris International 2.26 9 per month 1.20  0.15  2.39 (2.22) 7.92 
CCEPCoca Cola European Partners 0.60 7 per month 1.29 (0.01) 1.95 (2.11) 5.66 
BUDAnheuser Busch Inbev 0.49 10 per month 0.79  0.17  2.23 (1.55) 4.71 
KDPKeurig Dr Pepper(0.12)5 per month 0.00 (0.08) 1.97 (1.93) 5.87 
COKECoca Cola Consolidated 2.24 9 per month 1.11  0.14  3.53 (2.25) 9.33 
ULUnilever PLC ADR 0.60 8 per month 0.00 (0.05) 1.89 (1.81) 8.92 
MNSTMonster Beverage Corp(0.40)11 per month 1.05  0.14  2.16 (1.85) 7.15 
KOFCoca Cola Femsa SAB 0.09 10 per month 0.99  0.17  2.76 (1.79) 6.00 

Other Forecasting Options for Coca Cola

For every potential investor in Coca, whether a beginner or expert, Coca Cola's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Coca Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Coca. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Coca Cola's price trends.

Coca Cola Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Coca Cola stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Coca Cola could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Coca Cola by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Coca Cola Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Coca Cola stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Coca Cola shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Coca Cola stock market strength indicators, traders can identify The Coca Cola entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Coca Cola Risk Indicators

The analysis of Coca Cola's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Coca Cola's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting coca stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Coca Cola

The number of cover stories for Coca Cola depends on current market conditions and Coca Cola's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Coca Cola is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Coca Cola's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Coca Cola Short Properties

Coca Cola's future price predictability will typically decrease when Coca Cola's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of The Coca Cola often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Coca Cola's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Coca Cola's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding4.3 B
Cash And Short Term Investments14.6 B
Will Soft Drinks & Non-alcoholic Beverages sector continue expanding? Could Coca diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Coca Cola. Expected growth trajectory for Coca significantly influences the price investors are willing to assign. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Coca Cola data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.301
Dividend Share
2.015
Earnings Share
3.07
Revenue Per Share
11.075
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.051
Investors evaluate Coca Cola using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Coca Cola's intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Coca Cola's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Understanding that Coca Cola's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Coca Cola represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Conversely, Coca Cola's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.