Performance Food Group Stock Price Prediction
| PFGC Stock | USD 88.76 1.17 1.34% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
69
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.10) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.07 | EPS Estimate Current Year 4.22 | EPS Estimate Next Year 4.91 | Wall Street Target Price 98.035 |
Using Performance Food hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Performance Food Group from the perspective of Performance Food response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Performance Food Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Performance Food's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Performance. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Performance can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Performance Food Group. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Performance Food's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Performance Food.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Performance Food to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Performance because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Performance Food after-hype prediction price | USD 87.77 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Performance |
Performance Food After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Performance Food at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Performance Food or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Performance Food, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Performance Food Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Performance Food's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Performance Food's historical news coverage. Performance Food's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 86.39 and 89.15, respectively. We have considered Performance Food's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Performance Food is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Performance Food is based on 3 months time horizon.
Performance Food Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Performance Food is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Performance Food backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Performance Food, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.25 | 1.38 | 0.18 | 0.13 | 10 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
88.76 | 87.77 | 0.21 |
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Performance Food Hype Timeline
Performance Food is at this time traded for 88.76. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.18, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.13. Performance is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 87.77 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 189.04%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.21%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.25%. The volatility of related hype on Performance Food is about 257.68%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 88.63. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 58.28 B. Net Income was 435.9 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 6.25 B. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Performance Food Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Performance Food Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Performance Food's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Performance Food's future price movements. Getting to know how Performance Food's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Performance Food may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SYY | Sysco | (0.64) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 1.43 | (1.80) | 5.28 | |
| CHEF | The Chefs Warehouse | 0.22 | 8 per month | 1.65 | 0.03 | 3.32 | (2.71) | 8.59 | |
| UNFI | United Natural Foods | (0.44) | 10 per month | 2.51 | 0.18 | 5.19 | (4.28) | 40.04 | |
| CVGW | Calavo Growers | 0.46 | 8 per month | 1.25 | 0.05 | 4.84 | (2.39) | 14.87 | |
| SPTN | SpartanNash Co | (0.34) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 2.26 | (3.34) | 16.02 | |
| USFD | US Foods Holding | 0.53 | 9 per month | 0.91 | 0.11 | 2.20 | (1.58) | 6.32 | |
| ANDE | The Andersons | (0.53) | 8 per month | 1.84 | (0.05) | 2.61 | (2.78) | 15.56 | |
| AVO | Mission Produce | 0.08 | 12 per month | 0.97 | 0.09 | 2.43 | (2.01) | 24.92 | |
| DIT | AMCON Distributing | (4.16) | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 7.69 | (5.43) | 20.23 |
Performance Food Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Performance price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Performance using various technical indicators. When you analyze Performance charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Performance Food Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Performance Food stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Performance Food Group, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Performance Food based on analysis of Performance Food hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Performance Food's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Performance Food's related companies. | 2010 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0606 | 0.12 | 0.0775 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.16 | 0.18 | 0.1 |
Story Coverage note for Performance Food
The number of cover stories for Performance Food depends on current market conditions and Performance Food's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Performance Food is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Performance Food's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Performance Food Short Properties
Performance Food's future price predictability will typically decrease when Performance Food's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Performance Food Group often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Performance Food's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Performance Food's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 156 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 20 M |
Complementary Tools for Performance Stock analysis
When running Performance Food's price analysis, check to measure Performance Food's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Performance Food is operating at the current time. Most of Performance Food's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Performance Food's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Performance Food's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Performance Food to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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