SPDR Kensho Etf Forward View - Simple Regression
| KOMP Etf | USD 63.05 0.00 0.00% |
SPDR Etf outlook is based on your current time horizon.
As of today, the relative strength momentum indicator of SPDR Kensho's share price is approaching 48. This indicates that the etf is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling SPDR Kensho, making its price go up or down. Momentum 48
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using SPDR Kensho hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of SPDR Kensho New from the perspective of SPDR Kensho response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards SPDR Kensho using SPDR Kensho's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards SPDR using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of SPDR Kensho's stock price.
SPDR Kensho Implied Volatility | 0.31 |
SPDR Kensho's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of SPDR Kensho New stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if SPDR Kensho's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that SPDR Kensho stock will not fluctuate a lot when SPDR Kensho's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of SPDR Kensho New on the next trading day is expected to be 64.74 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.58 and the sum of the absolute errors of 97.97. SPDR Kensho after-hype prediction price | USD 63.06 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of SPDR Kensho to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current SPDR contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that SPDR Kensho New will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0194% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With SPDR Kensho trading at USD 63.05, that is roughly USD 0.0122 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating SPDR Kensho's daily price movement you should consider acquiring SPDR Kensho New options at the current volatility level of 0.31%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 SPDR Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast SPDR Kensho's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in SPDR Kensho's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for SPDR Kensho stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current SPDR Kensho's open interest, investors have to compare it to SPDR Kensho's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of SPDR Kensho is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in SPDR. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
SPDR Kensho Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine SPDR price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for SPDR using various technical indicators. When you analyze SPDR charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
SPDR Kensho Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 1st of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of SPDR Kensho New on the next trading day is expected to be 64.74 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.58, mean absolute percentage error of 3.60, and the sum of the absolute errors of 97.97.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict SPDR Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that SPDR Kensho's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
SPDR Kensho Etf Forecast Pattern
| Backtest SPDR Kensho | SPDR Kensho Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
SPDR Kensho Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting SPDR Kensho's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. SPDR Kensho's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 63.23 and 66.26, respectively. We have considered SPDR Kensho's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of SPDR Kensho etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent SPDR Kensho etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 121.2296 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.5802 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0257 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 97.9707 |
Predictive Modules for SPDR Kensho
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SPDR Kensho New. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.SPDR Kensho After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of SPDR Kensho at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in SPDR Kensho or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Etf prices, such as prices of SPDR Kensho, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
SPDR Kensho Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting SPDR Kensho's etf value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on SPDR Kensho's historical news coverage. SPDR Kensho's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 61.55 and 64.57, respectively. We have considered SPDR Kensho's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
SPDR Kensho is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of SPDR Kensho New is based on 3 months time horizon.
SPDR Kensho Etf Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a ETF such as SPDR Kensho is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading SPDR Kensho backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Etf price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with SPDR Kensho, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.01 | 1.51 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 4 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 4 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
63.05 | 63.06 | 0.02 |
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SPDR Kensho Hype Timeline
SPDR Kensho New is now traded for 63.05. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. SPDR is expected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 63.06 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 186.42%. The price gain on the next news is projected to be 0.02%, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.01%. The volatility of related hype on SPDR Kensho is about 161.67%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 63.04. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in about 4 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of SPDR Kensho to cross-verify your projections.SPDR Kensho Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to SPDR Kensho's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict SPDR Kensho's future price movements. Getting to know how SPDR Kensho's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how SPDR Kensho may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| QLTY | The 2023 ETF | 0.09 | 3 per month | 0.61 | 0.04 | 1.44 | (1.22) | 3.43 | |
| MDYG | SPDR SP 400 | 0.89 | 5 per month | 0.84 | 0.02 | 1.70 | (1.60) | 3.81 | |
| COWG | Pacer Large Cap | (1.40) | 6 per month | 1.12 | (0.06) | 1.76 | (2.31) | 4.25 | |
| FHLC | Fidelity MSCI Health | (0.12) | 4 per month | 0.56 | 0.04 | 2.02 | (1.13) | 3.74 | |
| AOA | iShares Core Aggressive | 0.43 | 4 per month | 0.52 | 0.01 | 0.95 | (1.03) | 2.70 | |
| USCL | iShares Climate Conscious | (0.1) | 6 per month | 0.87 | (0.07) | 1.09 | (1.35) | 3.84 | |
| PRFZ | Invesco FTSE RAFI | 0.36 | 3 per month | 0.94 | 0.01 | 1.80 | (1.71) | 4.59 | |
| ARKW | ARK Next Generation | (9.71) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 2.78 | (4.22) | 8.12 | |
| CQQQ | Invesco China Technology | 0.04 | 1 per month | 1.41 | (0) | 2.82 | (2.19) | 7.84 | |
| SPYX | SPDR SP 500 | 0.18 | 4 per month | 0.81 | (0.03) | 1.10 | (1.24) | 3.65 |
Other Forecasting Options for SPDR Kensho
For every potential investor in SPDR, whether a beginner or expert, SPDR Kensho's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. SPDR Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in SPDR. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying SPDR Kensho's price trends.SPDR Kensho Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with SPDR Kensho etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of SPDR Kensho could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing SPDR Kensho by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
SPDR Kensho Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how SPDR Kensho etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading SPDR Kensho shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying SPDR Kensho etf market strength indicators, traders can identify SPDR Kensho New entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 1475.82 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 63.75 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 63.51 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.70) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 48.1 |
SPDR Kensho Risk Indicators
The analysis of SPDR Kensho's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in SPDR Kensho's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting spdr etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.16 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.52 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.45 | |||
| Variance | 2.11 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.58 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.32 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.18) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for SPDR Kensho
The number of cover stories for SPDR Kensho depends on current market conditions and SPDR Kensho's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that SPDR Kensho is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about SPDR Kensho's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of SPDR Kensho to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the FinTech Suite module to use AI to screen and filter profitable investment opportunities.
SPDR Kensho New's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on SPDR's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate SPDR Kensho's intrinsic value—its true economic worth—which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Market participants employ diverse analytical approaches to determine fair value and identify buying opportunities when prices dip below calculated worth. Since SPDR Kensho's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
Understanding that SPDR Kensho's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether SPDR Kensho represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. However, SPDR Kensho's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.