Koppers Holdings Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| KOP Stock | USD 31.50 1.19 3.93% |
Koppers Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Koppers Holdings' naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Koppers Holdings' systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Koppers Holdings fundamentals over time.
As of today the relative strength index (rsi) of Koppers Holdings' share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.073 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.59 | EPS Estimate Current Year 4.02 | EPS Estimate Next Year 4.745 | Wall Street Target Price 52.5 |
Using Koppers Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Koppers Holdings from the perspective of Koppers Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Koppers Holdings using Koppers Holdings' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Koppers using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Koppers Holdings' stock price.
Koppers Holdings Implied Volatility | 1.16 |
Koppers Holdings' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Koppers Holdings stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Koppers Holdings' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Koppers Holdings stock will not fluctuate a lot when Koppers Holdings' options are near their expiration.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Koppers Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 31.50 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.49 and the sum of the absolute errors of 29.18. Koppers Holdings after-hype prediction price | USD 30.21 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Koppers Holdings to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Koppers contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Koppers Holdings will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0725% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Koppers Holdings trading at USD 31.5, that is roughly USD 0.0228 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Koppers Holdings' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Koppers Holdings options at the current volatility level of 1.16%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Koppers Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Koppers Holdings' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Koppers Holdings' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Koppers Holdings stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Koppers Holdings' open interest, investors have to compare it to Koppers Holdings' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Koppers Holdings is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Koppers. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Koppers Holdings Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Koppers price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Koppers using various technical indicators. When you analyze Koppers charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Koppers Holdings Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 6th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Koppers Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 31.50 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.49, mean absolute percentage error of 0.39, and the sum of the absolute errors of 29.18.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Koppers Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Koppers Holdings' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Koppers Holdings Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Koppers Holdings | Koppers Holdings Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Koppers Holdings Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Koppers Holdings' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Koppers Holdings' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 29.54 and 33.46, respectively. We have considered Koppers Holdings' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Koppers Holdings stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Koppers Holdings stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 113.5059 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.1069 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.4945 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0173 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 29.175 |
Predictive Modules for Koppers Holdings
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Koppers Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Koppers Holdings After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Koppers Holdings at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Koppers Holdings or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Koppers Holdings, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Koppers Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Koppers Holdings' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Koppers Holdings' historical news coverage. Koppers Holdings' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 28.30 and 32.12, respectively. We have considered Koppers Holdings' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Koppers Holdings is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Koppers Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.
Koppers Holdings Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Koppers Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Koppers Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Koppers Holdings, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.29 | 1.96 | 0.12 | 0.28 | 10 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
31.50 | 30.21 | 0.33 |
|
Koppers Holdings Hype Timeline
On the 5th of February Koppers Holdings is traded for 31.50. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.12, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.28. Koppers is estimated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 30.21. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.33%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.29%. The volatility of related hype on Koppers Holdings is about 200.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 31.78. About 97.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.09. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Koppers Holdings has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.35. The entity last dividend was issued on the 28th of November 2025. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Koppers Holdings to cross-verify your projections.Koppers Holdings Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Koppers Holdings' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Koppers Holdings' future price movements. Getting to know how Koppers Holdings' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Koppers Holdings may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| AMG | Affiliated Managers Group | 6.68 | 9 per month | 1.03 | 0.20 | 3.07 | (2.25) | 10.78 | |
| JHG | Janus Henderson Group | (0.10) | 9 per month | 0.62 | 0.14 | 1.57 | (1.08) | 4.84 | |
| PSEC | Prospect Capital | 0.03 | 7 per month | 1.57 | 0.05 | 4.67 | (2.76) | 11.08 | |
| OTF | Blue Owl Technology | (0.21) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 2.48 | (2.85) | 7.65 | |
| STEP | Stepstone Group | (0.63) | 11 per month | 2.40 | 0.01 | 3.30 | (2.96) | 13.68 | |
| FCFS | FirstCash | (0.24) | 9 per month | 1.65 | 0.05 | 2.22 | (2.65) | 7.55 | |
| VOYA | Voya Financial | 0.89 | 9 per month | 1.66 | (0.03) | 2.25 | (2.99) | 8.14 | |
| CBSH | Commerce Bancshares | 1.42 | 8 per month | 1.14 | 0.06 | 2.40 | (2.03) | 6.30 |
Other Forecasting Options for Koppers Holdings
For every potential investor in Koppers, whether a beginner or expert, Koppers Holdings' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Koppers Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Koppers. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Koppers Holdings' price trends.Koppers Holdings Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Koppers Holdings stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Koppers Holdings could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Koppers Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Koppers Holdings Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Koppers Holdings stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Koppers Holdings shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Koppers Holdings stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Koppers Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 3795.54 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 1.416667 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.04 | |||
| Day Median Price | 31.25 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 31.33 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.85 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 1.19 |
Koppers Holdings Risk Indicators
The analysis of Koppers Holdings' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Koppers Holdings' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting koppers stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.55 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.87 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.05 | |||
| Variance | 4.2 | |||
| Downside Variance | 3.69 | |||
| Semi Variance | 3.5 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.78) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Koppers Holdings
The number of cover stories for Koppers Holdings depends on current market conditions and Koppers Holdings' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Koppers Holdings is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Koppers Holdings' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Koppers Holdings Short Properties
Koppers Holdings' future price predictability will typically decrease when Koppers Holdings' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Koppers Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Koppers Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Koppers Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 21.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 43.9 M |
Additional Tools for Koppers Stock Analysis
When running Koppers Holdings' price analysis, check to measure Koppers Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Koppers Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Koppers Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Koppers Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Koppers Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Koppers Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.