KKR Real Stock Forward View - Double Exponential Smoothing
| KREF Stock | USD 8.27 0.17 2.01% |
KKR Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of KKR Real's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 30th of January 2026, The RSI of KKR Real's share price is at 52. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling KKR Real, making its price go up or down. Momentum 52
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.64) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.2267 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.3004 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.6486 | Wall Street Target Price 10.15 |
Using KKR Real hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of KKR Real Estate from the perspective of KKR Real response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards KKR Real using KKR Real's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards KKR using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of KKR Real's stock price.
KKR Real Implied Volatility | 1.09 |
KKR Real's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of KKR Real Estate stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if KKR Real's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that KKR Real stock will not fluctuate a lot when KKR Real's options are near their expiration.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of KKR Real Estate on the next trading day is expected to be 8.30 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.11 and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.41. KKR Real after-hype prediction price | USD 8.39 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of KKR Real to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current KKR contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that KKR Real Estate will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0681% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With KKR Real trading at USD 8.27, that is roughly USD 0.005634 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating KKR Real's daily price movement you should consider acquiring KKR Real Estate options at the current volatility level of 1.09%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 KKR Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast KKR Real's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in KKR Real's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for KKR Real stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current KKR Real's open interest, investors have to compare it to KKR Real's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of KKR Real is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in KKR. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
KKR Real Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine KKR price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for KKR using various technical indicators. When you analyze KKR charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
KKR Real Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 31st of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of KKR Real Estate on the next trading day is expected to be 8.30 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.11, mean absolute percentage error of 0.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.41.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict KKR Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that KKR Real's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
KKR Real Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest KKR Real | KKR Real Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
KKR Real Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting KKR Real's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. KKR Real's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 6.68 and 9.93, respectively. We have considered KKR Real's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of KKR Real stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent KKR Real stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0331 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1087 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0135 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 6.415 |
Predictive Modules for KKR Real
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as KKR Real Estate. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of KKR Real's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
KKR Real After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of KKR Real at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in KKR Real or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of KKR Real, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
KKR Real Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting KKR Real's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on KKR Real's historical news coverage. KKR Real's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 6.76 and 10.02, respectively. We have considered KKR Real's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
KKR Real is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of KKR Real Estate is based on 3 months time horizon.
KKR Real Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as KKR Real is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading KKR Real backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with KKR Real, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.13 | 1.63 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 10 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
8.27 | 8.39 | 0.12 |
|
KKR Real Hype Timeline
KKR Real Estate is now traded for 8.27. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. KKR is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 8.39. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.12%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.13%. The volatility of related hype on KKR Real is about 2608.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 8.26. About 78.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.45. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. KKR Real Estate recorded a loss per share of 0.35. The entity last dividend was issued on the 31st of December 2025. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of KKR Real to cross-verify your projections.KKR Real Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to KKR Real's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict KKR Real's future price movements. Getting to know how KKR Real's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how KKR Real may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| IVR | Invesco Mortgage Capital | 0.19 | 8 per month | 0.76 | 0.21 | 2.36 | (1.76) | 8.01 | |
| RC | Ready Capital Corp | (0.14) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 5.19 | (4.92) | 14.40 | |
| CMTG | Claros Mortgage Trust | 0.06 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 6.01 | (5.50) | 17.41 | |
| NREF | Nexpoint Real Estate | (0.07) | 10 per month | 1.21 | 0.10 | 2.44 | (2.47) | 8.26 | |
| ADAM | New York Mortgage | 0.01 | 6 per month | 1.52 | 0.16 | 3.31 | (1.90) | 9.42 | |
| CTO | CTO Realty Growth | (0.32) | 10 per month | 0.95 | 0.07 | 1.73 | (1.72) | 4.98 | |
| BFS | Saul Centers | (0.28) | 9 per month | 1.17 | (0) | 1.78 | (1.75) | 4.95 | |
| TRTX | TPG RE Finance | 0.05 | 8 per month | 1.03 | 0.05 | 1.54 | (1.65) | 6.00 |
Other Forecasting Options for KKR Real
For every potential investor in KKR, whether a beginner or expert, KKR Real's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. KKR Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in KKR. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying KKR Real's price trends.KKR Real Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with KKR Real stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of KKR Real could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing KKR Real by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
KKR Real Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how KKR Real stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading KKR Real shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying KKR Real stock market strength indicators, traders can identify KKR Real Estate entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
KKR Real Risk Indicators
The analysis of KKR Real's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in KKR Real's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting kkr stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.27 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.6 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.64 | |||
| Variance | 2.69 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.92 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.56 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.36) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for KKR Real
The number of cover stories for KKR Real depends on current market conditions and KKR Real's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that KKR Real is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about KKR Real's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
KKR Real Short Properties
KKR Real's future price predictability will typically decrease when KKR Real's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of KKR Real Estate often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential KKR Real's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. KKR Real's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 69.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 104.9 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of KKR Real to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Theme Ratings module to determine theme ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis theme ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Can Mortgage Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) industry sustain growth momentum? Does KKR have expansion opportunities? Factors like these will boost the valuation of KKR Real. Expected growth trajectory for KKR significantly influences the price investors are willing to assign. Determining accurate worth demands scrutiny of both present operating results and projected expansion capacity. Evaluating KKR Real demands reviewing these metrics collectively while recognizing certain factors exert disproportionate influence.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.64) | Dividend Share 1 | Earnings Share (0.35) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 2.451 |
Investors evaluate KKR Real Estate using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating KKR Real's intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Market participants employ diverse analytical approaches to determine fair value and identify buying opportunities when prices dip below calculated worth. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause KKR Real's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Understanding that KKR Real's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether KKR Real represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Conversely, KKR Real's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.