Joint Stock Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

KSPI Stock   83.58  0.59  0.70%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Joint Stock on the next trading day is expected to be 84.90 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.10 and the sum of the absolute errors of 66.89. Joint Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Joint Stock's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 8th of January 2026 the relative strength indicator of Joint Stock's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Joint Stock's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Joint Stock, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Joint Stock's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.035
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
1.8 K
EPS Estimate Current Year
5.8 K
EPS Estimate Next Year
6.7 K
Wall Street Target Price
107.8645
Using Joint Stock hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Joint Stock from the perspective of Joint Stock response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Joint Stock using Joint Stock's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Joint using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Joint Stock's stock price.

Joint Stock Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Joint Stock's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Joint. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Joint Stock stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA
83.2168
Short Percent
0.0169
Short Ratio
2.85
Shares Short Prior Month
1.2 M
50 Day MA
75.5619

Joint Stock Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Joint Stock's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Joint. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Joint can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Joint Stock. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Joint Stock's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Joint Stock.

Joint Stock Implied Volatility

    
  0.45  
Joint Stock's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Joint Stock stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Joint Stock's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Joint Stock stock will not fluctuate a lot when Joint Stock's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Joint Stock on the next trading day is expected to be 84.90 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.10 and the sum of the absolute errors of 66.89.

Joint Stock after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 83.98  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Joint Stock to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Joint Stock please use our How to Invest in Joint Stock guide.The Joint Stock's current Inventory Turnover is estimated to increase to 55.40, while Payables Turnover is projected to decrease to 0.08. . The current Common Stock Shares Outstanding is estimated to decrease to about 154.6 M.

Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Joint Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Joint Stock's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Joint Stock's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Joint Stock stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Joint Stock's open interest, investors have to compare it to Joint Stock's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Joint Stock is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Joint. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Joint Stock Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Joint price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Joint using various technical indicators. When you analyze Joint charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

Joint Stock Cash Forecast

Predicting cash flow or other financial metrics requires analysts to utilize a variety of statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools help uncover hidden patterns in the Joint Stock's financial statements, enabling forecasts of their impact on future stock prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2010-12-31
Previous Quarter
712.4 B
Current Value
543.9 B
Quarterly Volatility
200.9 B
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for Joint Stock is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Joint Stock value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Joint Stock Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 9th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Joint Stock on the next trading day is expected to be 84.90 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.10, mean absolute percentage error of 1.90, and the sum of the absolute errors of 66.89.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Joint Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Joint Stock's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Joint Stock Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Joint StockJoint Stock Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Joint Stock Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Joint Stock's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Joint Stock's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 83.22 and 86.59, respectively. We have considered Joint Stock's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
83.58
84.90
Expected Value
86.59
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Joint Stock stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Joint Stock stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria118.7534
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation1.0966
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0145
SAESum of the absolute errors66.8912
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Joint Stock. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Joint Stock. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Joint Stock

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Joint Stock. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
82.3083.9885.66
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
75.2294.2695.94
Details
8 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
98.16107.86119.73
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
1,2931,6581,520
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Joint Stock

For every potential investor in Joint, whether a beginner or expert, Joint Stock's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Joint Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Joint. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Joint Stock's price trends.

Joint Stock Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Joint Stock stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Joint Stock could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Joint Stock by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Joint Stock Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Joint Stock's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Joint Stock's current price.

Joint Stock Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Joint Stock stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Joint Stock shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Joint Stock stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Joint Stock entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Joint Stock Risk Indicators

The analysis of Joint Stock's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Joint Stock's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting joint stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether Joint Stock offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Joint Stock's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Joint Stock Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Joint Stock Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Joint Stock to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Joint Stock please use our How to Invest in Joint Stock guide.
You can also try the My Watchlist Analysis module to analyze my current watchlist and to refresh optimization strategy. Macroaxis watchlist is based on self-learning algorithm to remember stocks you like.
Is Consumer Finance space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Joint Stock. If investors know Joint will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Joint Stock listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.035
Earnings Share
11.15
Revenue Per Share
19.1 K
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.731
Return On Assets
0.1529
The market value of Joint Stock is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Joint that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Joint Stock's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Joint Stock's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Joint Stock's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Joint Stock's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Joint Stock's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Joint Stock is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Joint Stock's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.