Knight-Swift Transportation Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

KSX Stock  EUR 48.20  0.20  0.41%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Knight Swift Transportation Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 49.52 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.81 and the sum of the absolute errors of 49.65. Knight-Swift Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Knight-Swift Transportation's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 14th of January 2026 the value of rsi of Knight-Swift Transportation's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Knight-Swift Transportation's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Knight-Swift Transportation and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Knight-Swift Transportation's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Knight Swift Transportation Holdings, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Knight-Swift Transportation hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Knight Swift Transportation Holdings from the perspective of Knight-Swift Transportation response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Knight Swift Transportation Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 49.52 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.81 and the sum of the absolute errors of 49.65.

Knight-Swift Transportation after-hype prediction price

    
  EUR 48.2  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Knight-Swift Transportation to cross-verify your projections.

Knight-Swift Transportation Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Knight-Swift price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Knight-Swift using various technical indicators. When you analyze Knight-Swift charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for Knight-Swift Transportation is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Knight Swift Transportation Holdings value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Knight-Swift Transportation Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 15th of January 2026

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Knight Swift Transportation Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 49.52 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.81, mean absolute percentage error of 1.04, and the sum of the absolute errors of 49.65.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Knight-Swift Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Knight-Swift Transportation's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Knight-Swift Transportation Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Knight-Swift TransportationKnight-Swift Transportation Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Knight-Swift Transportation Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Knight-Swift Transportation's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Knight-Swift Transportation's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 47.29 and 51.74, respectively. We have considered Knight-Swift Transportation's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
48.20
49.52
Expected Value
51.74
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Knight-Swift Transportation stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Knight-Swift Transportation stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria118.1482
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.8139
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0205
SAESum of the absolute errors49.6496
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Knight Swift Transportation Holdings. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Knight-Swift Transportation. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Knight-Swift Transportation

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Knight-Swift Transportation. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
45.9848.2050.42
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
35.6437.8653.02
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Knight-Swift Transportation

For every potential investor in Knight-Swift, whether a beginner or expert, Knight-Swift Transportation's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Knight-Swift Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Knight-Swift. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Knight-Swift Transportation's price trends.

Knight-Swift Transportation Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Knight-Swift Transportation stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Knight-Swift Transportation could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Knight-Swift Transportation by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Knight-Swift Transportation Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Knight-Swift Transportation's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Knight-Swift Transportation's current price.

Knight-Swift Transportation Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Knight-Swift Transportation stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Knight-Swift Transportation shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Knight-Swift Transportation stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Knight Swift Transportation Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Knight-Swift Transportation Risk Indicators

The analysis of Knight-Swift Transportation's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Knight-Swift Transportation's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting knight-swift stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Knight-Swift Stock

Knight-Swift Transportation financial ratios help investors to determine whether Knight-Swift Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Knight-Swift with respect to the benefits of owning Knight-Swift Transportation security.