Knight-Swift Transportation Stock Forward View - Simple Regression

KSX Stock  EUR 50.00  0.20  0.40%   
Knight-Swift Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Knight-Swift Transportation's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The value of relative strength index of Knight-Swift Transportation's stock price is roughly 65. This indicates that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of 22nd of February 2026. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Knight-Swift, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 65

 Buy Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Knight-Swift Transportation's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Knight-Swift Transportation and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Knight-Swift Transportation's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Knight Swift Transportation Holdings, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Knight-Swift Transportation's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.74)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0)
Using Knight-Swift Transportation hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Knight Swift Transportation Holdings from the perspective of Knight-Swift Transportation response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Knight Swift Transportation Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 51.72 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.26 and the sum of the absolute errors of 76.57.

Knight-Swift Transportation after-hype prediction price

    
  EUR 50.0  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Knight-Swift Transportation to cross-verify your projections.

Knight-Swift Transportation Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Knight-Swift price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Knight-Swift using various technical indicators. When you analyze Knight-Swift charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Knight-Swift Transportation price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Knight-Swift Transportation Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 23rd of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Knight Swift Transportation Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 51.72 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.26, mean absolute percentage error of 2.27, and the sum of the absolute errors of 76.57.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Knight-Swift Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Knight-Swift Transportation's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Knight-Swift Transportation Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Knight-Swift Transportation  Knight-Swift Transportation Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Knight-Swift Transportation Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Knight-Swift Transportation's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Knight-Swift Transportation's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 49.37 and 54.07, respectively. We have considered Knight-Swift Transportation's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
50.00
51.72
Expected Value
54.07
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Knight-Swift Transportation stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Knight-Swift Transportation stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria118.9318
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation1.2553
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0278
SAESum of the absolute errors76.572
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Knight Swift Transportation Holdings historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Knight-Swift Transportation

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Knight-Swift Transportation. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
47.6550.0052.35
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
45.0055.7158.06
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
43.9349.9555.97
Details

Knight-Swift Transportation After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Knight-Swift Transportation at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Knight-Swift Transportation or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Knight-Swift Transportation, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Knight-Swift Transportation Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Knight-Swift Transportation's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Knight-Swift Transportation's historical news coverage. Knight-Swift Transportation's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 47.65 and 52.35, respectively. We have considered Knight-Swift Transportation's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
50.00
50.00
After-hype Price
52.35
Upside
Knight-Swift Transportation is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Knight-Swift Transportation is based on 3 months time horizon.

Knight-Swift Transportation Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Knight-Swift Transportation is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Knight-Swift Transportation backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Knight-Swift Transportation, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.48 
2.35
 0.00  
 0.00  
10 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
In about 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
50.00
50.00
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Knight-Swift Transportation Hype Timeline

Knight-Swift Transportation is now traded for 50.00on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Knight-Swift is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.48%. %. The volatility of related hype on Knight-Swift Transportation is about 58024.69%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 50.00. About 97.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.36. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Knight-Swift Transportation has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.82. The entity last dividend was issued on the 6th of March 2026. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 10 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Knight-Swift Transportation to cross-verify your projections.

Knight-Swift Transportation Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Knight-Swift Transportation's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Knight-Swift Transportation's future price movements. Getting to know how Knight-Swift Transportation's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Knight-Swift Transportation may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
HX1AHEXINDO ADIPERKASA 0.02 1 per month 0.00 (0.04) 0.00  0.00  15.29 
3IBPT Indo Tambangraya(0.12)2 per month 2.52 (0.02) 7.27 (6.78) 18.02 
OAIARAMAYANA LESTARI 0.00 3 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
T9QTOTAL BANGUN PERSAD 0.00 0 per month 3.81  0.03  8.99 (6.25) 22.00 
IUAASTRA GRAPHIA(0.0005)2 per month 3.60  0.1  19.42 (4.71) 42.26 
T9QTOTAL BANGUN PERSAD 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.15  0.00  0.00  8.89 
2P0NPETROSEA 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
BNBBAYAN RESOURCES 0.06 1 per month 0.00 (0.14) 1.19 (2.30) 20.54 
BNBBAYAN RESOURCES(0.02)1 per month 0.00 (0.61) 0.00 (2.27) 2.50 
3IBINDO TAMBANGRAYA MG 0.02 3 per month 0.00 (0.18) 0.87 (0.85) 5.06 

Other Forecasting Options for Knight-Swift Transportation

For every potential investor in Knight-Swift, whether a beginner or expert, Knight-Swift Transportation's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Knight-Swift Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Knight-Swift. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Knight-Swift Transportation's price trends.

Knight-Swift Transportation Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Knight-Swift Transportation stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Knight-Swift Transportation could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Knight-Swift Transportation by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Knight-Swift Transportation Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Knight-Swift Transportation stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Knight-Swift Transportation shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Knight-Swift Transportation stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Knight Swift Transportation Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Knight-Swift Transportation Risk Indicators

The analysis of Knight-Swift Transportation's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Knight-Swift Transportation's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting knight-swift stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Knight-Swift Transportation

The number of cover stories for Knight-Swift Transportation depends on current market conditions and Knight-Swift Transportation's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Knight-Swift Transportation is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Knight-Swift Transportation's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Other Information on Investing in Knight-Swift Stock

Knight-Swift Transportation financial ratios help investors to determine whether Knight-Swift Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Knight-Swift with respect to the benefits of owning Knight-Swift Transportation security.