Transport International Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| KWO Stock | EUR 1.15 0.02 1.77% |
Transport Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Transport International's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 24th of February 2026, the value of relative strength index of Transport International's share price is approaching 44. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Transport International, making its price go up or down. Momentum 44
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.534 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.04 |
Using Transport International hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Transport International Holdings from the perspective of Transport International response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Transport International Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 1.14 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.96. Transport International after-hype prediction price | EUR 1.15 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Transport |
Transport International Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Transport price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Transport using various technical indicators. When you analyze Transport charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Transport International Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 25th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Transport International Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 1.14 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0006, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.96.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Transport Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Transport International's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Transport International Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Transport International | Transport International Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Transport International Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Transport International's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Transport International's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 3.72, respectively. We have considered Transport International's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Transport International stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Transport International stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 108.8615 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 7.0E-4 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.016 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0143 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.9582 |
Predictive Modules for Transport International
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Transport International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Transport International After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Transport International at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Transport International or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Transport International, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Transport International Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Transport International's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Transport International's historical news coverage. Transport International's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.06 and 3.72, respectively. We have considered Transport International's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Transport International is very risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Transport International is based on 3 months time horizon.
Transport International Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Transport International is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Transport International backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Transport International, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.02 | 2.57 | 0.00 | 0.15 | 7 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
1.15 | 1.15 | 0.00 |
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Transport International Hype Timeline
Transport International is now traded for 1.15on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.15. Transport is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.02%. %. The volatility of related hype on Transport International is about 33.49%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.30. About 57.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.31. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Transport International last dividend was issued on the 8th of September 2025. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Transport International to cross-verify your projections.Transport International Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Transport International's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Transport International's future price movements. Getting to know how Transport International's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Transport International may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| 690D | Haier Smart Home | 0.05 | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 1.00 | (0.99) | 7.63 | |
| 4MI | MI Homes | 3.65 | 8 per month | 1.83 | 0.04 | 4.54 | (2.73) | 10.54 | |
| 16U | Upland Software | (0.02) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.25) | 4.76 | (7.30) | 19.08 | |
| MUM | Mensch und Maschine | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 1.97 | (2.55) | 9.93 | |
| W9C | Constellation Software | 50.00 | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 4.05 | (6.13) | 13.26 | |
| 4IV | INVITATION HOMES DL | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 2.56 | (2.56) | 9.37 | |
| F3J | FORMPIPE SOFTWARE AB | 0.04 | 2 per month | 2.14 | (0.02) | 4.55 | (3.96) | 16.64 |
Other Forecasting Options for Transport International
For every potential investor in Transport, whether a beginner or expert, Transport International's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Transport Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Transport. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Transport International's price trends.Transport International Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Transport International stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Transport International could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Transport International by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Transport International Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Transport International stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Transport International shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Transport International stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Transport International Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Daily Balance Of Power | 9.2 T | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.02 | |||
| Day Median Price | 1.15 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 1.15 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.01 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.02 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 44.38 |
Transport International Risk Indicators
The analysis of Transport International's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Transport International's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting transport stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.29 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.09 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.44 | |||
| Variance | 5.95 | |||
| Downside Variance | 9.5 | |||
| Semi Variance | 4.39 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.96) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Transport International
The number of cover stories for Transport International depends on current market conditions and Transport International's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Transport International is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Transport International's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in Transport Stock
Transport International financial ratios help investors to determine whether Transport Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Transport with respect to the benefits of owning Transport International security.