Kyivstar Group Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

KYIV Stock   12.08  0.37  2.97%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Kyivstar Group Ltd on the next trading day is expected to be 13.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.50 and the sum of the absolute errors of 31.09. Kyivstar Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Kyivstar Group's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Kyivstar Group's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Kyivstar Group and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Kyivstar Group's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Kyivstar Group Ltd, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Kyivstar Group's stock price prediction:
EPS Estimate Current Year
1.3422
EPS Estimate Next Year
1.5011
Wall Street Target Price
17.2429
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.209
Using Kyivstar Group hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Kyivstar Group Ltd from the perspective of Kyivstar Group response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Kyivstar Group using Kyivstar Group's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Kyivstar using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Kyivstar Group's stock price.

Kyivstar Group Short Interest

An investor who is long Kyivstar Group may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Kyivstar Group and may potentially protect profits, hedge Kyivstar Group with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
11.6502
Short Ratio
2.18
Shares Short Prior Month
1.8 M
50 Day MA
12.236
Shares Short
M

Kyivstar Group Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Kyivstar Group's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Kyivstar. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Kyivstar can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Kyivstar Group Ltd. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Kyivstar Group's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Kyivstar Group.

Kyivstar Group Implied Volatility

    
  1.29  
Kyivstar Group's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Kyivstar Group Ltd stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Kyivstar Group's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Kyivstar Group stock will not fluctuate a lot when Kyivstar Group's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Kyivstar Group Ltd on the next trading day is expected to be 13.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.50 and the sum of the absolute errors of 31.09.

Kyivstar Group after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 12.05  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Kyivstar Group to cross-verify your projections.
Asset Turnover is likely to climb to 0.48 in 2026, whereas Inventory Turnover is likely to drop 87.74 in 2026. . Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to drop to about 180.9 M in 2026.

Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Kyivstar Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Kyivstar Group's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Kyivstar Group's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Kyivstar Group stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Kyivstar Group's open interest, investors have to compare it to Kyivstar Group's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Kyivstar Group is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Kyivstar. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Kyivstar Group Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Kyivstar price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Kyivstar using various technical indicators. When you analyze Kyivstar charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Kyivstar Group's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2010-12-31
Previous Quarter
493.4 M
Current Value
518 M
Quarterly Volatility
188.5 M
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for Kyivstar Group is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Kyivstar Group Ltd value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Kyivstar Group Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 16th of January 2026

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Kyivstar Group Ltd on the next trading day is expected to be 13.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.50, mean absolute percentage error of 0.37, and the sum of the absolute errors of 31.09.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Kyivstar Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Kyivstar Group's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Kyivstar Group Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Kyivstar GroupKyivstar Group Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Kyivstar Group Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Kyivstar Group's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Kyivstar Group's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 9.34 and 16.65, respectively. We have considered Kyivstar Group's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
12.08
13.00
Expected Value
16.65
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Kyivstar Group stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Kyivstar Group stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria118.9566
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.5015
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0385
SAESum of the absolute errors31.0941
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Kyivstar Group Ltd. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Kyivstar Group. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Kyivstar Group

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kyivstar Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8.4012.0515.70
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
6.9010.5514.20
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.330.380.47
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Kyivstar Group

For every potential investor in Kyivstar, whether a beginner or expert, Kyivstar Group's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Kyivstar Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Kyivstar. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Kyivstar Group's price trends.

Kyivstar Group Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Kyivstar Group stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Kyivstar Group could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Kyivstar Group by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Kyivstar Group Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Kyivstar Group's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Kyivstar Group's current price.

Kyivstar Group Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Kyivstar Group stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Kyivstar Group shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Kyivstar Group stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Kyivstar Group Ltd entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Kyivstar Group Risk Indicators

The analysis of Kyivstar Group's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Kyivstar Group's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting kyivstar stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
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Additional Tools for Kyivstar Stock Analysis

When running Kyivstar Group's price analysis, check to measure Kyivstar Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Kyivstar Group is operating at the current time. Most of Kyivstar Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Kyivstar Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Kyivstar Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Kyivstar Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.