Gladstone Land Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| LAND Stock | USD 9.62 0.15 1.54% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Gladstone Land on the next trading day is expected to be 9.53 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.12 and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.14. Gladstone Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Gladstone Land stock prices and determine the direction of Gladstone Land's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Gladstone Land's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the relative strength index (rsi) of Gladstone Land's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.211 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.075 | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.08) | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.45) | Wall Street Target Price 10.8333 |
Using Gladstone Land hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Gladstone Land from the perspective of Gladstone Land response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Gladstone Land using Gladstone Land's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Gladstone using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Gladstone Land's stock price.
Gladstone Land Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Gladstone Land's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Gladstone. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Gladstone Land stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 9.4657 | Short Percent 0.0507 | Short Ratio 3.44 | Shares Short Prior Month 1.9 M | 50 Day MA 9.2786 |
Gladstone Land Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Gladstone Land's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Gladstone. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Gladstone can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Gladstone Land. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Gladstone Land Implied Volatility | 1.01 |
Gladstone Land's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Gladstone Land stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Gladstone Land's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Gladstone Land stock will not fluctuate a lot when Gladstone Land's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Gladstone Land on the next trading day is expected to be 9.53 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.12 and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.14. Gladstone Land after-hype prediction price | USD 9.62 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Gladstone contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Gladstone Land will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0631% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Gladstone Land trading at USD 9.62, that is roughly USD 0.006073 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Gladstone Land's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Gladstone Land options at the current volatility level of 1.01%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Gladstone Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Gladstone Land's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Gladstone Land's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Gladstone Land stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Gladstone Land's open interest, investors have to compare it to Gladstone Land's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Gladstone Land is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Gladstone. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Gladstone Land Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Gladstone price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Gladstone using various technical indicators. When you analyze Gladstone charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Gladstone Land Cash Forecast
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Gladstone Land's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
Cash | First Reported 2010-12-31 | Previous Quarter 30.5 M | Current Value 11.3 M | Quarterly Volatility 20.7 M |
Gladstone Land Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 26th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Gladstone Land on the next trading day is expected to be 9.53 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.12, mean absolute percentage error of 0.03, and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.14.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Gladstone Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Gladstone Land's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Gladstone Land Stock Forecast Pattern
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Gladstone Land Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Gladstone Land's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Gladstone Land's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 8.17 and 10.89, respectively. We have considered Gladstone Land's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Gladstone Land stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Gladstone Land stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 114.4477 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1171 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0127 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 7.1409 |
Predictive Modules for Gladstone Land
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Gladstone Land. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Gladstone Land After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Gladstone Land at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Gladstone Land or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Gladstone Land, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Gladstone Land Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Gladstone Land's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Gladstone Land's historical news coverage. Gladstone Land's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 8.25 and 10.99, respectively. We have considered Gladstone Land's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Gladstone Land is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Gladstone Land is based on 3 months time horizon.
Gladstone Land Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Gladstone Land is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Gladstone Land backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Gladstone Land, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.11 | 1.36 | 0.04 | 0.03 | 14 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 14 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
9.62 | 9.62 | 0.00 |
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Gladstone Land Hype Timeline
Gladstone Land is now traded for 9.62. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.04, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.03. Gladstone is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.11%. %. The volatility of related hype on Gladstone Land is about 557.38%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 9.65. About 45.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.54. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Gladstone Land recorded a loss per share of 0.39. The entity last dividend was issued on the 18th of February 2026. The firm had 1:1 split on the July 7, 2014. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 14 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Gladstone Land to cross-verify your projections.Gladstone Land Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Gladstone Land's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Gladstone Land's future price movements. Getting to know how Gladstone Land's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Gladstone Land may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ILPT | Industrial Logistics Properties | (0.37) | 28 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 4.70 | (5.49) | 12.67 | |
| MLP | Maui Land Pineapple | 1.24 | 14 per month | 1.79 | 0.02 | 3.73 | (3.48) | 13.31 | |
| SVC | Service Properties Trust | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 5.49 | (5.29) | 17.15 | |
| BRT | BRT Realty Trust | 0.01 | 4 per month | 1.26 | (0.03) | 2.54 | (2.33) | 7.33 | |
| MDV | Modiv Inc | 0.04 | 9 per month | 0.95 | 0.02 | 2.23 | (2.05) | 7.01 | |
| SEG | Seaport Entertainment Group | 1.24 | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 2.08 | (4.01) | 9.38 | |
| CLDT | Chatham Lodging Trust | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.18 | 0.04 | 2.83 | (2.12) | 7.58 | |
| FVR | FrontView REIT | 0.26 | 8 per month | 1.56 | 0.11 | 2.86 | (1.97) | 9.54 | |
| CIO | City Office | 0.01 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 0.29 | (0.44) | 100.99 | |
| SITC | Site Centers Corp | 0.01 | 19 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 2.30 | (2.62) | 6.71 |
Other Forecasting Options for Gladstone Land
For every potential investor in Gladstone, whether a beginner or expert, Gladstone Land's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Gladstone Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Gladstone. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Gladstone Land's price trends.Gladstone Land Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Gladstone Land stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Gladstone Land could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Gladstone Land by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Gladstone Land Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Gladstone Land stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Gladstone Land shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Gladstone Land stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Gladstone Land entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Gladstone Land Risk Indicators
The analysis of Gladstone Land's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Gladstone Land's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting gladstone stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.07 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.17 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.37 | |||
| Variance | 1.88 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.7 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.36 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.19) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Gladstone Land
The number of cover stories for Gladstone Land depends on current market conditions and Gladstone Land's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Gladstone Land is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Gladstone Land's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Gladstone Land Short Properties
Gladstone Land's future price predictability will typically decrease when Gladstone Land's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Gladstone Land often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Gladstone Land's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Gladstone Land's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 35.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 18.3 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Gladstone Land to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Gladstone Stock refer to our How to Trade Gladstone Stock guide.You can also try the Positions Ratings module to determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Is Other Specialized REITs space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Gladstone Land. If investors know Gladstone will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Gladstone Land listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.211 | Dividend Share 0.56 | Earnings Share (0.39) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.21) |
The market value of Gladstone Land is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Gladstone that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Gladstone Land's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Gladstone Land's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Gladstone Land's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Gladstone Land's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Gladstone Land's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Gladstone Land is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Gladstone Land's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.