Luminar Technologies Stock Forward View

LAZRDelisted Stock  USD 0.09  0.08  47.06%   
Luminar Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
As of today, the value of RSI of Luminar Technologies' share price is approaching 32. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Luminar Technologies, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 32

 Sell Stretched

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Luminar Technologies' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Luminar Technologies and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Luminar Technologies' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Luminar Technologies, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Luminar Technologies hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Luminar Technologies from the perspective of Luminar Technologies response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Luminar Technologies on the next trading day is expected to be -0.26 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.16 and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.55.

Luminar Technologies after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 0.12  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as delisted stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.

Luminar Technologies Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Luminar price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Luminar using various technical indicators. When you analyze Luminar charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for Luminar Technologies is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Luminar Technologies value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Luminar Technologies Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 1st of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Luminar Technologies on the next trading day is expected to be -0.26 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.16, mean absolute percentage error of 0.04, and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.55.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Luminar Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Luminar Technologies' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Luminar Technologies Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Luminar Technologies  Luminar Technologies Price Prediction  Buy or Sell Advice  

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Luminar Technologies stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Luminar Technologies stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria114.8931
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.1566
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.2518
SAESum of the absolute errors9.5526
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Luminar Technologies. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Luminar Technologies. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Luminar Technologies

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Luminar Technologies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.1233.15
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0933.12
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
-0.090.591.27
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Luminar Technologies. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Luminar Technologies' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Luminar Technologies' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Luminar Technologies.

Luminar Technologies After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Luminar Technologies at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Luminar Technologies or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Luminar Technologies, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Luminar Technologies Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Luminar Technologies' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Luminar Technologies' historical news coverage. Luminar Technologies' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.01 and 33.15, respectively. We have considered Luminar Technologies' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.09
0.12
After-hype Price
33.15
Upside
Luminar Technologies is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Luminar Technologies is based on 3 months time horizon.

Luminar Technologies Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Luminar Technologies is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Luminar Technologies backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Delisted Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Luminar Technologies, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  2.41 
33.03
  1.66 
  0.09 
16 Events / Month
5 Events / Month
In about 16 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.09
0.12
29.33 
4,787  
Notes

Luminar Technologies Hype Timeline

Luminar Technologies is now traded for 0.09. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 1.66, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.09. Luminar is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 0.12 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price gain on the next news is projected to be 29.33%, whereas the daily expected return is now at -2.41%. The volatility of related hype on Luminar Technologies is about 84934.29%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.18. Luminar Technologies currently holds 534.65 M in liabilities. Luminar Technologies has a current ratio of 9.66, suggesting that it is liquid enough and is able to pay its financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Luminar Technologies' use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 16 days.
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.

Luminar Technologies Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Luminar Technologies' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Luminar Technologies' future price movements. Getting to know how Luminar Technologies' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Luminar Technologies may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Luminar Technologies Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Luminar Technologies stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Luminar Technologies could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Luminar Technologies by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Luminar Technologies Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Luminar Technologies stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Luminar Technologies shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Luminar Technologies stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Luminar Technologies entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Luminar Technologies Risk Indicators

The analysis of Luminar Technologies' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Luminar Technologies' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting luminar stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Luminar Technologies

The number of cover stories for Luminar Technologies depends on current market conditions and Luminar Technologies' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Luminar Technologies is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Luminar Technologies' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Luminar Technologies Short Properties

Luminar Technologies' future price predictability will typically decrease when Luminar Technologies' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Luminar Technologies often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Luminar Technologies' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Luminar Technologies' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding31.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments182.7 M
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.
You can also try the Funds Screener module to find actively-traded funds from around the world traded on over 30 global exchanges.

Other Consideration for investing in Luminar Stock

If you are still planning to invest in Luminar Technologies check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Luminar Technologies' history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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